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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 11 Oct 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Cobresal Win

57%

Cobresal

1.75

22%

Draw

4.57

21%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Cobresal xG

Total xG

3.03

1.09

Universidad de Concepcion xG

57%
22%
21%
CobresalDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.75

57%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

34%

Cobresal

2.97

14%

Universidad de Concepcion

6.98

Win to Nil

19%

Cobresal

5.20

3%

Universidad de Concepcion

33.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.4 10.2 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.9 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.943
λ Away (xG) 1.090
Total xG 3.033
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Cobresal attack strength 0.884
Cobresal defence strength 1.108
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.821
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.365
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15