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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Cobresal cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Deportes Limache.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Cobresal beat Deportes Limache 3-1 at Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, Regular Season - 9, in the Primera División. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Cobresal 1.93 xG and Deportes Limache 0.86 xG, a combined 2.79. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Cobresal beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Cobresal attack 1.00 / defence 0.98 against Deportes Limache attack 0.96 / defence 1.27, drawn from 38/8 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Cobresal 62% | Draw 23% | Deportes Limache 16%, with Cobresal to win its most likely call at 62%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 31% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights