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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cobresal Win

61%

Cobresal

1.64

21%

Draw

4.68

18%

D. La Serena

5.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Cobresal xG

Total xG

3.07

1.02

D. La Serena xG

61%
21%
18%
CobresalDrawD. La Serena

1.64

61%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

5.63

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

36%

Cobresal

2.77

13%

D. La Serena

7.77

Win to Nil

22%

Cobresal

4.54

2%

D. La Serena

43.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.050
λ Away (xG) 1.018
Total xG 3.068
League avg home goals 1.672
League avg away goals 1.159
Cobresal attack strength 1.066
Cobresal defence strength 1.033
D. La Serena attack strength 0.850
D. La Serena defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 1