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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant A. Italiano run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Universidad de Concepcion.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

A. Italiano beat Universidad de Concepcion 3-0 at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Regular Season - 2, in the Primera División. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting A. Italiano 1.76 xG and Universidad de Concepcion 0.91 xG, a combined 2.67. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. A. Italiano beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Universidad de Concepcion landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of A. Italiano attack 1.06 / defence 1.01 against Universidad de Concepcion attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 31/1 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it A. Italiano 58% | Draw 23% | Universidad de Concepcion 19%, with A. Italiano to win its most likely call at 58%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights