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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 6 Feb 2026

23:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

58%

A. Italiano

1.74

23%

Draw

4.29

19%

Universidad de Concepcion

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.67

0.91

Universidad de Concepcion xG

58%
23%
19%
A. ItalianoDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.74

58%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

40%

A. Italiano

2.48

17%

Universidad de Concepcion

5.84

Win to Nil

23%

A. Italiano

4.32

3%

Universidad de Concepcion

30.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.2 11.1 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.3 5.7 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.8 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.764
λ Away (xG) 0.910
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.063
A. Italiano attack strength 1.060
A. Italiano defence strength 1.008
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.850
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 1