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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

51%

A. Italiano

1.96

22%

Draw

4.57

27%

Universidad de Chile

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.34

1.38

Universidad de Chile xG

51%
22%
27%
A. ItalianoDrawUniversidad de Chile

1.96

51%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

25%

A. Italiano

3.98

14%

Universidad de Chile

7.12

Win to Nil

13%

A. Italiano

7.80

4%

Universidad de Chile

26.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.9 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 6.9 9.6 6.6 3.0 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.4 6.1 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.2 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.963
λ Away (xG) 1.382
Total xG 3.345
League avg home goals 1.524
League avg away goals 1.132
A. Italiano attack strength 1.312
A. Italiano defence strength 1.105
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.105
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 33