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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

22:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

49%

A. Italiano

2.03

29%

Draw

3.50

22%

Union La Calera

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.09

0.78

Union La Calera xG

49%
29%
22%
A. ItalianoDrawUnion La Calera

2.03

49%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

46%

A. Italiano

2.18

27%

Union La Calera

3.71

Win to Nil

23%

A. Italiano

4.44

6%

Union La Calera

16.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
1 16.2 12.6 4.9 1.3 0.2
2 10.6 8.3 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.311
λ Away (xG) 0.780
Total xG 2.091
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.102
A. Italiano attack strength 1.013
A. Italiano defence strength 0.979
Union La Calera attack strength 0.723
Union La Calera defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53