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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

51%

A. Italiano

1.95

25%

Draw

4.02

24%

U. Catolica

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.63

1.01

U. Catolica xG

51%
25%
24%
A. ItalianoDrawU. Catolica

1.95

51%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

36%

A. Italiano

2.75

20%

U. Catolica

5.02

Win to Nil

19%

A. Italiano

5.36

5%

U. Catolica

21.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.3 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 11.8 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.613
λ Away (xG) 1.013
Total xG 2.626
League avg home goals 1.530
League avg away goals 1.039
A. Italiano attack strength 1.219
A. Italiano defence strength 1.082
U. Catolica attack strength 0.902
U. Catolica defence strength 0.865
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45