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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

39%

A. Italiano

2.54

26%

Draw

3.86

35%

Palestino

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.68

1.29

Palestino xG

39%
26%
35%
A. ItalianoDrawPalestino

2.54

39%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

A. Italiano

3.63

25%

Palestino

4.01

Win to Nil

11%

A. Italiano

9.21

9%

Palestino

11.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.9 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.3 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.5 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.288
Total xG 2.676
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.090
A. Italiano attack strength 1.166
A. Italiano defence strength 1.057
Palestino attack strength 1.119
Palestino defence strength 0.809
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 46