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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 9 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

46%

A. Italiano

2.17

25%

Draw

4.01

29%

Nublense

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.76

1.19

Nublense xG

46%
25%
29%
A. ItalianoDrawNublense

2.17

46%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

30%

A. Italiano

3.29

21%

Nublense

4.81

Win to Nil

14%

A. Italiano

7.14

6%

Nublense

16.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.5 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.9 11.8 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 4.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.570
λ Away (xG) 1.191
Total xG 2.761
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
A. Italiano attack strength 1.001
A. Italiano defence strength 1.014
Nublense attack strength 0.981
Nublense defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45