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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

58%

A. Italiano

1.73

21%

Draw

4.72

21%

Nublense

4.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.20

1.16

Nublense xG

58%
21%
21%
A. ItalianoDrawNublense

1.73

58%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

4.73

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

31%

A. Italiano

3.19

13%

Nublense

7.70

Win to Nil

18%

A. Italiano

5.53

3%

Nublense

36.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.3 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.7 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.041
λ Away (xG) 1.160
Total xG 3.201
League avg home goals 1.444
League avg away goals 1.158
A. Italiano attack strength 1.172
A. Italiano defence strength 1.097
Nublense attack strength 0.913
Nublense defence strength 1.206
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58