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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

50%

A. Italiano

1.99

23%

Draw

4.32

27%

Everton de Vina

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.04

1.25

Everton de Vina xG

50%
23%
27%
A. ItalianoDrawEverton de Vina

1.99

50%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

29%

A. Italiano

3.47

17%

Everton de Vina

6.03

Win to Nil

14%

A. Italiano

6.90

4%

Everton de Vina

22.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.9 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.6 10.7 6.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.7 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.797
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 3.042
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.176
A. Italiano attack strength 1.168
A. Italiano defence strength 1.209
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.876
Everton de Vina defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57