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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

60%

A. Italiano

1.68

21%

Draw

4.75

19%

Deportes Limache

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.11

1.07

Deportes Limache xG

60%
21%
19%
A. ItalianoDrawDeportes Limache

1.68

60%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

34%

A. Italiano

2.92

13%

Deportes Limache

7.64

Win to Nil

20%

A. Italiano

4.91

3%

Deportes Limache

39.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 9.1 9.8 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.3 6.7 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.034
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 3.107
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.122
A. Italiano attack strength 1.240
A. Italiano defence strength 1.120
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.854
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.076
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 3