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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

75%

A. Italiano

1.34

16%

Draw

6.21

9%

D. La Serena

10.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

3 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.09

0.70

D. La Serena xG

75%
16%
A. ItalianoDrawD. La Serena

1.34

75%

Home win

6.21

16%

Draw

10.91

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

49%

A. Italiano

2.02

9%

D. La Serena

10.84

Win to Nil

37%

A. Italiano

2.71

1%

D. La Serena

118.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 10.9 7.7 2.7 0.6 0.1
2 13.0 9.1 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 10.3 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 6.1 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.383
λ Away (xG) 0.704
Total xG 3.087
League avg home goals 1.571
League avg away goals 0.891
A. Italiano attack strength 1.113
A. Italiano defence strength 0.911
D. La Serena attack strength 0.867
D. La Serena defence strength 1.363
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 9