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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

67%

A. Italiano

1.49

17%

Draw

5.84

16%

Cobresal

6.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.58

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.79

1.21

Cobresal xG

67%
17%
16%
A. ItalianoDrawCobresal

1.49

67%

Home win

5.84

17%

Draw

6.28

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

30%

A. Italiano

3.35

8%

Cobresal

13.24

Win to Nil

20%

A. Italiano

5.01

1%

Cobresal

83.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
1 5.8 7.0 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 7.5 9.1 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.5 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 4.2 5.1 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.583
λ Away (xG) 1.210
Total xG 3.793
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.122
A. Italiano attack strength 1.176
A. Italiano defence strength 1.104
Cobresal attack strength 0.978
Cobresal defence strength 1.371
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42