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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 14 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Forest Green vs Colchester at 61% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
5 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 League Two Β· England
Wrexham
3 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 37%
Draw 19%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 82%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 3 FT
Stockport County
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 League One Β· England
Blackpool
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#9 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
#10 League One Β· England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 14 October 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Forest Green vs Colchester at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.