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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 19 April 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 19 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to QPR vs Norwich at 57% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 53%
#3 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#4 Championship Β· England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
2 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 19 April 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by QPR vs Norwich at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.