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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 24 February 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Standard Liège II vs Lommel United at 55% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 0 FT
Lommel United
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 3 FT
Kortrijk
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
2 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
2 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 24 February 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liège II vs Lommel United at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.