SCR Altach 1-2 Wolfsberger AC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates SCR Altach at 43%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 6 sees Wolfsberger AC travel to CASHPOINT Arena to take on SCR Altach. The game is scheduled for Saturday 28 August 2021, 16:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Bundesliga games this season, SCR Altach have gone 2W 1D 2L from 5 outings — a 1.40 PPG return. Last five: L W L W D. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 5 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Wolfsberger AC — All Games: 1W 2D 2L from 5 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.00 PPG. Last five: D L L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 5 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Wolfsberger AC have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.40 PPG (SCR Altach) versus 1.00 (Wolfsberger AC). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. SCR Altach register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, Wolfsberger AC in 60% (using overall form) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
Trading Patterns
SCR Altach in-play and half-time data (5 games): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games; they fail to score in 40% of games.
Wolfsberger AC in-play and half-time data (5 games): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games; Over 3.5 in 40%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — SCR Altach 60% and Wolfsberger AC 60% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (SCR Altach 60% | Wolfsberger AC 80%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.40 xG and Wolfsberger AC 0.96 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.875 / defence 1.109 | Wolfsberger AC attack 0.692 / defence 1.240. League average goals — home 1.291 / away 1.253. Wolfsberger AC bring a strong defensive rating of 1.240 — this is suppressing SCR Altach's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 5 SCR Altach games / 5 Wolfsberger AC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 43% | Draw 35% | Wolfsberger AC 22%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.33 | Draw 2.86 | Wolfsberger AC 4.55. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 35% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.36. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.36 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates SCR Altach as the most likely outcome at 43% — marginal model lean. With a 35% draw probability, Draw No Bet on SCR Altach offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.36 combined xG gives a 42% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: SCR Altach 60% | Wolfsberger AC 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 6 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 28 Aug 2021, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 43% | Draw 35% | Wolfsberger AC 22% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 50% | xG SCR Altach 1.40 / Wolfsberger AC 0.96 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.875 / def 1.109 | Wolfsberger AC attack 0.692 / def 1.240 | league avg home 1.291 / away 1.253 • Poisson stance: SCR Altach (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.40
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
0.96
Wolfsberger AC xG
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC kick off?
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 28 August 2021 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
SCR Altach 1 - 2 Wolfsberger AC.
Where is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC part of?
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC is a Regular Season - 6 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 43% chance of winning, Wolfsberger AC a 22% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw — making SCR Altach the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 2W-1D-2L in 5 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-W-L-W-D. Wolfsberger AC (all comps): 1W-2D-2L in 5 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 2.00 | L5 D-L-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates SCR Altach's attack at 0.88x the league average against Wolfsberger AC's defence at 1.24x — combine the two and it projects 1.40 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Wolfsberger AC's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 0.96 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 5/5 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (11.6%), 0-0 (11.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SCR Altach Win
43%
2.31
35%
2.88
22%
4.54
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
9.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.36
0.96
Wolfsberger AC xG
2.31
43%
Home win
2.88
35%
Draw
4.54
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
38%
2.61
25%
4.06
Win to Nil
17%
6.04
5%
18.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.4 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.2 | 12.7 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC expected to score?
The model projects 1.40 expected goals for SCR Altach and 0.96 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 2.36.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 5 games, going 2W 1D 2L for 1.40 points per game. Their last five reads L-W-L-W-D. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Wolfsberger AC sit at 1.00 PPG from 5 outings (1W 2D 2L), a run that reads D-L-L-D-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Wolfsberger AC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: SCR Altach on 1.40 PPG, Wolfsberger AC on 1.00. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game recently; Wolfsberger AC are on 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: SCR Altach have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games; Wolfsberger AC in 60%.
Last 5 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Early Season
Wolfsberger AC
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 games (1.40 PPG), while Wolfsberger AC have gone 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 (1.00 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 4 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 4 May 2026, when Wolfsberger AC won 1-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Wolfsberger AC specifically: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
SCR Altach
4
Draws
3
Wolfsberger AC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 3, Wolfsberger AC have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when SCR Altach 1-4 Wolfsberger AC.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches.
Wolfsberger AC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 60%, Wolfsberger AC 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 60% for SCR Altach and 80% for Wolfsberger AC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 20% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 40% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Wolfsberger AC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Wolfsberger AC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 60% of SCR Altach's games and 60% of Wolfsberger AC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of SCR Altach's matches and 80% of Wolfsberger AC's.
Do SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 60% of their recent matches, Wolfsberger AC in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Wolfsberger AC defy the odds to beat SCR Altach 1-2.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Wolfsberger AC beat SCR Altach 1-2 at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 6, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.40 xG and Wolfsberger AC 0.96 xG, a combined 2.36. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Wolfsberger AC outscored their 0.96 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.88 / defence 1.11 against Wolfsberger AC attack 0.69 / defence 1.24, drawn from 5/5 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 43% | Draw 35% | Wolfsberger AC 22%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 43%. Instead the game produced a Wolfsberger AC win, an outcome the model had rated at just 22% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 70% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 60%, Wolfsberger AC 80%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.
Wolfsberger AC's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 1.40 PPG, Wolfsberger AC 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Wolfsberger AC win broke the near-deadlock. SCR Altach shipped 2 against a 1.20 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Wolfsberger AC conceded 1 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.