SCR Altach 0-1 Rapid Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Rapid Vienna at 41%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
SCR Altach host Rapid Vienna at CASHPOINT Arena in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 4 September 2022 at 13:30 UTC.
Form Guide
SCR Altach — All Games: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.10 points per game. Last five: D W L L L. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.20 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, SCR Altach have posted 2W 5D 3L at CASHPOINT Arena — 1.10 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 4W 2D 4L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W W D L L. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Rapid Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, Rapid Vienna have posted 4W 2D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.40 PPG. Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — SCR Altach at 1.10 PPG versus Rapid Vienna's 1.40. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. SCR Altach register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, Rapid Vienna in 80% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for SCR Altach, 1 for Rapid Vienna and 0 shared spoils from 2 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The 2 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 20 Nov 2021, ended 0–1 with Rapid Vienna winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (38 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 84% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (home games); they fail to score in 47% of games.
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (38 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 84% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 57% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 84% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 45% versus Rapid Vienna 71%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 58% | Rapid Vienna 58%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.38 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.51 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 1.019 / defence 1.155 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.941 / defence 0.867. League average goals — home 1.559 / away 1.391. Data: 28 SCR Altach games / 27 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 35% | Draw 25% | Rapid Vienna 41%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.86 | Draw 4.00 | Rapid Vienna 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 2.89. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.89 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Rapid Vienna at 41% — marginal model lean. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.89 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 55% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 58% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: SCR Altach 60% | Rapid Vienna 80% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 7 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 4 Sep 2022, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 35% | Draw 25% | Rapid Vienna 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% | BTTS 58% | xG SCR Altach 1.38 / Rapid Vienna 1.51 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 1.019 / def 1.155 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.941 / def 0.867 | league avg home 1.559 / away 1.391 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.38
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.51
Rapid Vienna xG
58%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 4 September 2022 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
SCR Altach 0 - 1 Rapid Vienna.
Where is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna part of?
SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 7 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 35% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 41% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
Record (2 meetings): SCR Altach 1W | Draws 0 | Rapid Vienna 1W.
What form are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 2.20 | L5 D-W-L-L-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.00 | L5 W-W-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from SCR Altach's attack rating (1.02) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (0.87), the model arrives at 1.38 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 1.51 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 28/27 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.1%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.8%), 2-1 (8.0%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
35%
2.89
25%
4.04
41%
2.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.8%
Away win
0 – 1
8.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.89
1.51
Rapid Vienna xG
2.89
35%
Home win
4.04
25%
Draw
2.46
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.71
42%
BTTS No
2.40
Clean Sheet
22%
4.54
25%
3.97
Win to Nil
8%
13.10
10%
9.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.1%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 1.38 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.51 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 2.89.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 38 games, going 8W 9D 21L for 0.87 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-L-L-L. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Rapid Vienna sit at 1.42 PPG from 38 outings (14W 12D 12L), a run that reads W-W-D-L-L across their last five. It's still early in the season for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Rapid Vienna carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.55 PPG clear of SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
SCR Altach's home form reads 3W 7D 9L across 19 games on their own ground, a 0.84 PPG return.
Away from home, Rapid Vienna have taken 1.16 points per game from 19 outings (5W 7D 7L).
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 0.84 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.50 scored and 1.29 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Rapid Vienna in 71%.
Last 38 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Early Season
Rapid Vienna
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 8W 9D 21L in their last 38 games (0.87 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 14W 12D 12L in their last 38 (1.42 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Rapid Vienna away?
Rapid Vienna's away record (1.16 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.84 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.16 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 1 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
1
SCR Altach
2
Draws
7
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 1, Rapid Vienna have won 7, and 2 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 1 March 2026, when SCR Altach 1-1 Rapid Vienna.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 84% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 16% of those situations.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 84% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 42% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 26% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — SCR Altach at 53%, Rapid Vienna at 84%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 47% (SCR Altach) and 58% (Rapid Vienna).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 47% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Rapid Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 53% of SCR Altach's games and 84% of Rapid Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 47% of SCR Altach's recent games and 58% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 84% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 84% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Rapid Vienna edge out SCR Altach 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat SCR Altach 0-1 at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 7, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.38 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.51 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. SCR Altach fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 1.02 / defence 1.16 against Rapid Vienna attack 0.94 / defence 0.87, drawn from 28/27 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 35% | Draw 25% | Rapid Vienna 41%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 41%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 78% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 58%, Rapid Vienna 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Rapid Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.42 PPG against 0.87. That form edge translated into the three points. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.84 scoring average — below par going forward. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.47 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.