Austria Vienna 0-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model projects a closely fought contest — draw probability sits at 37% as Austria Vienna take on SCR Altach.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Austria Vienna host SCR Altach at Generali Arena in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 18 September 2021 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Austria Vienna — All Games: 1W 4D 2L from 7 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.00 points per game. Last five: L D D D W. They are averaging 1.14 goals per game and conceding 1.14 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 7 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 71% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Austria Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
At home at Generali Arena, Austria Vienna have gone 0W 3D 0L this season (3 games, 1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 100% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Across all Bundesliga games this season, SCR Altach have recorded 2W 2D 3L from 7 outings — 1.14 PPG. Last five: L W D L D. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.29 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 7 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 71% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SCR Altach away from home this season: 1W 1D 1L from 3 away games — 1.33 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.00 PPG (Austria Vienna) versus 1.14 (SCR Altach). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Austria Vienna register both teams scoring in 100% of relevant matches, SCR Altach in 67% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
Trading Patterns
Austria Vienna in-play and half-time data (7 games, 3 at home): they score before half-time in 43% of fixtures; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 29% of the time; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 29% of games.
SCR Altach in-play and half-time data (7 games, 3 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Austria Vienna 71% and SCR Altach 71% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Austria Vienna 29% | SCR Altach 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Austria Vienna 1.10 xG and SCR Altach 1.08 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Austria Vienna attack 0.822 / defence 1.100 | SCR Altach attack 0.745 / defence 1.176. League average goals — home 1.137 / away 1.323. Data: 7 Austria Vienna games / 7 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Austria Vienna 32% | Draw 37% | SCR Altach 31%. Fair-value odds: Austria Vienna 3.12 | Draw 2.70 | SCR Altach 3.23. The draw (37%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.18. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.18 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 37% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 32% and away win at 31% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
The Poisson model projects 2.18 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 37% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 48% on No. This conflicts with form data: Austria Vienna 100% | SCR Altach 67% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8 | Venue: Generali Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 18 Sep 2021, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Austria Vienna 32% | Draw 37% | SCR Altach 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 48% | xG Austria Vienna 1.10 / SCR Altach 1.08 • Poisson strength factors: Austria Vienna attack 0.822 / def 1.100 | SCR Altach attack 0.745 / def 1.176 | league avg home 1.137 / away 1.323 • Poisson stance: Draw (37%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.10
Austria Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.08
SCR Altach xG
48%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach kick off?
Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 18 September 2021 at Generali Arena.
What was the final score in Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Austria Vienna 0 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Generali Arena.
What competition is Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach part of?
Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 8 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Austria Vienna a 32% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 31% chance, and a 37% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Austria Vienna and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and SCR Altach?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Austria Vienna and SCR Altach in?
Austria Vienna (all comps): 1W-4D-2L in 7 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.14 / GA 1.14 | L5 L-D-D-D-W. SCR Altach (all comps): 2W-2D-3L in 7 | 1.14 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.29 | L5 L-W-D-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Austria Vienna's attack at 0.82x the league average against SCR Altach's defence at 1.18x — combine the two and it projects 1.10 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Austria Vienna's defence, projects 1.08 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 7/7 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 15.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (13.0%), 1-0 (10.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
32%
3.15
37%
2.68
31%
3.23
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.4%
Home win
0 – 1
12.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.10
Austria Vienna xG
Total xG
2.18
1.08
SCR Altach xG
3.15
32%
Home win
2.68
37%
Draw
3.23
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.93
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
33%
3.00
Win to Nil
11%
9.32
10%
9.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3 | 12.2 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.4 | 13.4 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.2%.
How many goals are Austria Vienna and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.10 expected goals for Austria Vienna and 1.08 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.18.
How confident is the prediction model for Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Austria Vienna's recent record stands at 1W 4D 2L from 7 games, a 1.00 PPG return, with L-D-D-D-W in the last five. It's still early in the season for Austria Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
SCR Altach, meanwhile, have gone 2W 2D 3L across 7 games — 1.14 PPG, with L-W-D-L-D in their last five. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: Austria Vienna on 1.00 PPG, SCR Altach on 1.14. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Austria Vienna have managed 0W 3D 0L from 3 games — 1.00 PPG in front of their own supporters.
SCR Altach's away record stands at 1W 1D 1L across 3 trips, a 1.33 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
Austria Vienna are averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 1.00 scored and 1.29 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Austria Vienna have seen both teams score in 71% of their recent games; SCR Altach in 71%.
Last 7 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Austria Vienna
Early Season
SCR Altach
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Austria Vienna and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Austria Vienna have gone 1W 4D 2L in their last 7 games (1.00 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 3L in their last 7 (1.14 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Austria Vienna at home or SCR Altach away?
SCR Altach's away record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Austria Vienna at home: 1.00 PPG; SCR Altach away: 1.33 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Austria Vienna and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 21 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 8 Dec 2024, when Austria Vienna won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Austria Vienna's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 4W 1D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Austria Vienna
3
Draws
3
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Austria Vienna have won 4, SCR Altach have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Austria Vienna and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 21 February 2026, when SCR Altach 2-1 Austria Vienna.
Who has won more matches between Austria Vienna and SCR Altach?
Austria Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Austria Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Austria Vienna at 100%, SCR Altach at 67%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 0% for Austria Vienna and 67% for SCR Altach.
On the defensive side: SCR Altach in 33%; SCR Altach in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Austria Vienna home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Austria Vienna play SCR Altach?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 100% of Austria Vienna's games and 67% of SCR Altach's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Austria Vienna's recent games and 67% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Austria Vienna and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Austria Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Austria Vienna's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Generali Arena, Regular Season - 8, as Austria Vienna and SCR Altach drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Vienna 1.10 xG and SCR Altach 1.08 xG, a combined 2.18. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Austria Vienna fell 1.1 short of their projected output. SCR Altach landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Vienna attack 0.82 / defence 1.10 against SCR Altach attack 0.74 / defence 1.18, drawn from 7/7 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Austria Vienna 32% | Draw 37% | SCR Altach 31%, with the draw its most likely call at 37%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Vienna 29%, SCR Altach 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 71%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Austria Vienna's trading profile (7 games, 3 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (7 games, 3 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Austria Vienna 1.00 PPG, SCR Altach 1.14 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.