Sharjah FC 2-0 Al Ain – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Al Ain at 51% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Sharjah FC vs Al Ain encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Pro League encounter, Regular Season - 13 sees Al Ain travel to Sharjah Stadium to take on Sharjah FC. The game is scheduled for Saturday 8 January 2022, 15:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Pro League games this season, Sharjah FC have gone 4W 2D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.40 PPG return. Last five: D L W W D. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.90 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Sharjah FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Sharjah Stadium, Sharjah FC have gone 4W 0D 2L this season (6 games, 2.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 2.00 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.40 — Sharjah FC are significantly better at Sharjah Stadium than their overall form suggests.
Al Ain — All Games: 7W 3D 0L from 10 Pro League fixtures this season — 2.40 PPG. Last five: D W W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.30 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Al Ain, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Al Ain away from home this season: 4W 2D 0L from 6 away games — 2.33 PPG on the road. They are averaging 2.50 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Form points away from home here. Al Ain's 2.40 PPG return is 1.00 points per game ahead of Sharjah FC's 1.40 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
In-Play Profile
Sharjah FC in-play tendencies (12 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 33% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 83% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 42%.
Al Ain in-play tendencies (12 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; they lead at the break 58% of the time; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 42%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sharjah FC 50% versus Al Ain 67%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sharjah FC 75% | Al Ain 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sharjah FC 1.23 xG and Al Ain 1.89 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sharjah FC attack 1.029 / defence 1.185 | Al Ain attack 1.264 / defence 0.978. League average goals — home 1.224 / away 1.263. Al Ain have an above-average attack strength of 1.264 — the away xG of 1.89 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 12 Sharjah FC games / 12 Al Ain games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Sharjah FC 23% | Draw 25% | Al Ain 51%. Fair-value odds: Sharjah FC 4.35 | Draw 4.00 | Al Ain 1.96. Al Ain hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 60% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 3.12. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 60% — the 3.12 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.23 / 1.89) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Al Ain are the pick at 51% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Al Ain offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 3.12 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 60% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 61%. Form rates are neutral: Sharjah FC 33% | Al Ain 67%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sharjah FC vs Al Ain | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Sharjah Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Jan 2022, 15:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sharjah FC 23% | Draw 25% | Al Ain 51% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 60% | BTTS 61% | xG Sharjah FC 1.23 / Al Ain 1.89 • Poisson strength factors: Sharjah FC attack 1.029 / def 1.185 | Al Ain attack 1.264 / def 0.978 | league avg home 1.224 / away 1.263 • Poisson stance: Al Ain (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.23
Sharjah FC xG
Expected Goals
1.89
Al Ain xG
61%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sharjah FC vs Al Ain kick off?
Sharjah FC vs Al Ain kicked off at 15:30 on Saturday 8 January 2022 at Sharjah Stadium.
What was the final score in Sharjah FC vs Al Ain?
Sharjah FC 2 - 0 Al Ain.
Where is Sharjah FC vs Al Ain being played?
The match is being played at Sharjah Stadium.
What competition is Sharjah FC vs Al Ain part of?
Sharjah FC vs Al Ain is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Sharjah FC vs Al Ain?
Our statistical model gives Sharjah FC a 23% chance of winning, Al Ain a 51% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Al Ain the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sharjah FC vs Al Ain?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Sharjah FC and Al Ain will score (BTTS).
Will Sharjah FC vs Al Ain have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Al Ain?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Sharjah FC and Al Ain in?
Sharjah FC (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.90 | L5 D-L-W-W-D. Al Ain (all comps): 7W-3D-0L in 10 | 2.40 PPG | GF 2.30 / GA 0.90 | L5 D-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Sharjah FC's attacking strength (1.03x league average) is weighed against Al Ain's defensive record (0.98x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.23. The same calculation in reverse, Al Ain's attack versus Sharjah FC's defence, projects 1.89 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 12/12 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 11.6%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.7%), 0-2 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al Ain Win
23%
4.26
25%
3.99
51%
1.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
0 – 1
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Sharjah FC xG
Total xG
3.12
1.89
Al Ain xG
4.26
23%
Home win
3.99
25%
Draw
1.94
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.63
39%
BTTS No
2.60
Clean Sheet
15%
6.63
29%
3.43
Win to Nil
4%
28.26
15%
6.66
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sharjah FC vs Al Ain?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.6%.
How many goals are Sharjah FC and Al Ain expected to score?
The model projects 1.23 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.89 for Al Ain, a combined total of 3.12.
How confident is the prediction model for Sharjah FC vs Al Ain?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 12 outings, Sharjah FC have picked up 1.67 PPG on a 6W 2D 4L record — D-L-W-W-D across the most recent five. The sample for Sharjah FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Al Ain's form line: 9W 3D 0L from 12 games, 2.50 PPG, last five D-W-W-W-W. The sample for Al Ain is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Al Ain are the form team by 0.83 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Sharjah FC.
Venue Form
On home soil, Sharjah FC have posted 2.00 PPG from 6 outings (4W 0D 2L).
On the road, Al Ain have gone 4W 2D 0L from 6 away games — 2.33 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Sharjah FC are averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game recently; Al Ain are on 2.33 scored and 0.83 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Al Ain in 67%.
Last 12 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sharjah FC
Blended
Al Ain
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Sharjah FC and Al Ain in coming into this match?
Sharjah FC have gone 6W 2D 4L in their last 12 games (1.67 PPG), while Al Ain have gone 9W 3D 0L in their last 12 (2.50 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sharjah FC at home or Al Ain away?
Al Ain's away record (2.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sharjah FC at home: 2.00 PPG; Al Ain away: 2.33 PPG.
Have Sharjah FC or Al Ain been keeping clean sheets recently?
Sharjah FC have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their recent games, Al Ain in 33%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to January 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 6 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Al Ain have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 6 May 2026, when Al Ain won 0-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Sharjah FC's record when hosting Al Ain specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
1
Sharjah FC
4
Draws
5
Al Ain
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Al Ain?
From 10 meetings on record, Sharjah FC have won 1, Al Ain have won 5, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Sharjah FC and Al Ain last play each other?
They last met on 6 May 2026, when Sharjah FC 0-5 Al Ain.
Who has won more matches between Sharjah FC and Al Ain?
Al Ain have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
Al Ain are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 83% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Sharjah FC 33%, Al Ain 67% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 83% for Sharjah FC and 50% for Al Ain. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 17% and 50% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Sharjah FC keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Al Ain in 33%; Sharjah FC have failed to score in 33% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sharjah FC home games / Al Ain away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Sharjah FC play Al Ain?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 33% of Sharjah FC's recent matches and 67% of Al Ain's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Sharjah FC vs Al Ain usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 83% of Sharjah FC's matches and 50% of Al Ain's.
Do Sharjah FC and Al Ain tend to score early?
Sharjah FC have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, Al Ain in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Sharjah FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al Ain.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sharjah FC beat Al Ain 2-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 13, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.23 xG and Al Ain 1.89 xG, a combined 3.12. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al Ain landed 1.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 1.03 / defence 1.19 against Al Ain attack 1.26 / defence 0.98, drawn from 12/12 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 23% | Draw 25% | Al Ain 51%, with Al Ain to win its most likely call at 51%. Instead the game produced a Sharjah FC win, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 75%, Al Ain 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Sharjah FC's trading profile (12 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not.
Al Ain's trading profile (12 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.
Form vs Result
On form, Al Ain arrived the stronger side — 2.50 PPG against 1.67. Form was overturned, with Sharjah FC winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. Al Ain (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.50 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.