Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Kudrivka at 35% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Kudrivka and Veres Rivne meet at in Premier League, Regular Season - 21. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 3 April 2027 at 15:00 UTC.
Current Form
Kudrivka's overall Premier League record this term: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games (1.30 PPG). Last five: D W D D L. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Kudrivka have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Kudrivka's home record at : 3W 3D 4L from 10 Premier League appearances (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Veres Rivne (all games): 1W 3D 6L across 10 Premier League outings this term — 0.60 points per game. Last five: L L L D W. Their scoring rate of 0.60 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. Veres Rivne have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Veres Rivne's away record: 2W 4D 4L from 10 road trips in Premier League this season (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 10% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
Form favours the hosts. Kudrivka's 1.30 PPG return is 0.70 points per game ahead of Veres Rivne's 0.60 — a genuine gap in recent results that provides a statistically grounded case for backing the home side.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 2 meetings: Kudrivka 0W, Veres Rivne 1W, 1D.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 2 previous contests averaged 1.0 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 14 Mar 2026, ended 0–0 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Data
Kudrivka goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (34 games, 18 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 61% of games (home games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
Veres Rivne goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (34 games, 18 at away): they score before half-time in 56% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 22% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 28% of games (away games); they fail to score in 53% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Kudrivka 53% versus Veres Rivne 29%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Kudrivka 47% | Veres Rivne 32%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Kudrivka 1.01 xG and Veres Rivne 0.93 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Kudrivka attack 1.096 / defence 1.107 | Veres Rivne attack 0.764 / defence 0.794. League average goals — home 1.164 / away 1.103. Veres Rivne's defence strength of 0.794 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 34 Kudrivka games / 34 Veres Rivne games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Kudrivka 35% | Draw 34% | Veres Rivne 31%. Fair-value odds: Kudrivka 2.86 | Draw 2.94 | Veres Rivne 3.23. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 34% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 31% | BTTS probability 40% | Total xG 1.94. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 69% probability — total xG of 1.94 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 40% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Kudrivka as the most likely outcome at 35% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 34% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Kudrivka if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 1.94 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 31% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 1.9 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 40% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Kudrivka 40% | Veres Rivne 10% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 21 | Venue: • Kick-off: Saturday 3 Apr 2027, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Kudrivka 35% | Draw 34% | Veres Rivne 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 31% | BTTS 40% | xG Kudrivka 1.01 / Veres Rivne 0.93 • Poisson strength factors: Kudrivka attack 1.096 / def 1.107 | Veres Rivne attack 0.764 / def 0.794 | league avg home 1.164 / away 1.103 • Poisson stance: Kudrivka (35%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.01
Kudrivka xG
Expected Goals
0.93
Veres Rivne xG
40%
BTTS
59%
Over 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
13%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne kick off?
Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne is scheduled to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday 3 April 2027.
What competition is Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne part of?
Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne is a Regular Season - 21 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Our statistical model gives Kudrivka a 35% chance of winning, Veres Rivne a 31% chance, and a 34% chance of a draw — making Kudrivka the favourite.
Will both teams score in Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Our model estimates a 40% probability that both Kudrivka and Veres Rivne will score (BTTS).
Will Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 31%.
What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Veres Rivne?
Record (2 meetings): Kudrivka 0W | Draws 1 | Veres Rivne 1W.
What form are Kudrivka and Veres Rivne in?
Kudrivka (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.10 | L5 D-W-D-D-L. Veres Rivne (all comps): 1W-3D-6L in 10 | 0.60 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-L-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Kudrivka's attack at 1.10x the league average against Veres Rivne's defence at 0.79x — combine the two and it projects 1.01 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Veres Rivne's attack (0.76x) against Kudrivka's defence (1.11x) — and the away total comes out at 0.93.
These ratings are built from 34/34 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 16.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (15.3%), 1-0 (12.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 44% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Kudrivka Win
35%
2.85
34%
2.94
31%
3.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.3%
Draw
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Kudrivka xG
Total xG
1.94
0.93
Veres Rivne xG
2.85
35%
Home win
2.94
34%
Draw
3.24
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.50
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
39%
2.54
36%
2.75
Win to Nil
14%
7.23
11%
8.93
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.5 | 13.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.1%.
How many goals are Kudrivka and Veres Rivne expected to score?
The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Kudrivka and 0.93 for Veres Rivne, a combined total of 1.94.
How confident is the prediction model for Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Kudrivka come into this having played 34 games, going 7W 11D 16L for 0.94 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-D-D-L. It's still early in the season for Kudrivka, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Veres Rivne sit at 1.03 PPG from 34 outings (8W 11D 15L), a run that reads L-L-L-D-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Veres Rivne, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.94 PPG for Kudrivka against 1.03 for Veres Rivne. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
Kudrivka's home form reads 6W 6D 6L across 18 games on their own ground, a 1.33 PPG return.
Away from home, Veres Rivne have taken 1.06 points per game from 18 outings (4W 7D 7L).
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Kudrivka are averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game recently; Veres Rivne are on 0.82 scored and 1.26 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Veres Rivne in 29%.
Defensively: Veres Rivne in 35% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 34 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Kudrivka
Early Season
Veres Rivne
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Kudrivka and Veres Rivne in coming into this match?
Kudrivka have gone 7W 11D 16L in their last 34 games (0.94 PPG), while Veres Rivne have gone 8W 11D 15L in their last 34 (1.03 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Kudrivka at home or Veres Rivne away?
Kudrivka's home record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Kudrivka at home: 1.33 PPG; Veres Rivne away: 1.06 PPG.
Have Kudrivka or Veres Rivne been keeping clean sheets recently?
Kudrivka have kept a clean sheet in 21% of their recent games, Veres Rivne in 35%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 2 times since September 2025 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. They last met on 14 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Kudrivka
1
Draws
1
Veres Rivne
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Veres Rivne?
From 2 meetings on record, Kudrivka have won 0, Veres Rivne have won 1, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Kudrivka and Veres Rivne last play each other?
They last met on 14 March 2026, when Kudrivka 0-0 Veres Rivne.
Who has won more matches between Kudrivka and Veres Rivne?
Veres Rivne have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 2 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Kudrivka are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
Veres Rivne see a goal before the break in 56% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Kudrivka 61%, Veres Rivne 22% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 61% (Kudrivka) and 28% (Veres Rivne).
On the defensive side: Veres Rivne in 39%; Kudrivka have failed to score in 28% of games; Veres Rivne in 61%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Kudrivka home games / Veres Rivne away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Kudrivka play Veres Rivne?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 61% of Kudrivka's recent matches and 22% of Veres Rivne's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Kudrivka vs Veres Rivne usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 61% of Kudrivka's recent games and 28% of Veres Rivne's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Kudrivka and Veres Rivne tend to score early?
Kudrivka have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Veres Rivne in 56% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.