Konyaspor 0-0 Göztepe – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Göztepe at 41% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Konyaspor vs Göztepe encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Süper Lig encounter, Regular Season - 21 sees Göztepe travel to Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium to take on Konyaspor. The game is scheduled for Sunday 8 February 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Konyaspor — All Games: 0W 5D 5L from 10 Süper Lig outings this season, averaging 0.50 points per game. Last five: L D D D L. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Konyaspor, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konyaspor have gone 2W 4D 4L this season (10 games, 1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.00 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.50 — Konyaspor are significantly better at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium than their overall form suggests.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Göztepe stand at 7W 2D 1L from 10 Süper Lig matches — 2.30 PPG. Last five: W W W D W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 0.60. Defensively, 0.60 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Göztepe, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Göztepe's away record: 5W 3D 2L from 10 road trips in Süper Lig this season (1.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Göztepe are 1.80 PPG ahead (2.30 vs 0.50), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 5 previous encounters have yielded 3 wins for Konyaspor, 1 for Göztepe and 1 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 5 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 29 Aug 2025, ended 1–1 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Konyaspor in-play tendencies (56 games, 28 at home): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; BTTS occurs in 64% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
Göztepe in-play tendencies (56 games, 28 at away): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 61% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Konyaspor 66% and Göztepe 55% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Konyaspor 52% | Göztepe 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Konyaspor 0.94 xG and Göztepe 1.29 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Konyaspor attack 0.891 / defence 1.048 | Göztepe attack 0.949 / defence 0.814. League average goals — home 1.296 / away 1.299. Data: 56 Konyaspor games / 56 Göztepe games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41%. Fair-value odds: Konyaspor 4.35 | Draw 2.78 | Göztepe 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 36% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 39% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.23. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 61% — total xG of 2.23 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
Konyaspor dominate the H2H record, yet Göztepe are the in-form side right now — historical edge versus current momentum creates a genuine dilemma.
On the Poisson output, Göztepe are the pick at 41% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 36% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Göztepe offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.23 combined xG gives a 39% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 48% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Konyaspor 70% | Göztepe 40%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Konyaspor vs Göztepe | Competition: Süper Lig, Regular Season - 21 | Venue: Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 8 Feb 2026, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 39% | BTTS 48% | xG Konyaspor 0.94 / Göztepe 1.29 • Poisson strength factors: Konyaspor attack 0.891 / def 1.048 | Göztepe attack 0.949 / def 0.814 | league avg home 1.296 / away 1.299 • Poisson stance: Göztepe (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.94
Konyaspor xG
Expected Goals
1.29
Göztepe xG
48%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Konyaspor vs Göztepe kick off?
Konyaspor vs Göztepe kicked off at 14:00 on Sunday 8 February 2026 at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium.
What was the final score in Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Konyaspor 0 - 0 Göztepe.
Where is Konyaspor vs Göztepe being played?
The match is being played at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium.
What competition is Konyaspor vs Göztepe part of?
Konyaspor vs Göztepe is a Regular Season - 21 fixture in the Süper Lig (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Our statistical model gives Konyaspor a 23% chance of winning, Göztepe a 41% chance, and a 36% chance of a draw — making Göztepe the favourite.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Konyaspor and Göztepe will score (BTTS).
Will Konyaspor vs Göztepe have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 39%.
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Göztepe?
Record (5 meetings): Konyaspor 3W | Draws 1 | Göztepe 1W.
What form are Konyaspor and Göztepe in?
Konyaspor (all comps): 0W-5D-5L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-D-D-D-L. Göztepe (all comps): 7W-2D-1L in 10 | 2.30 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-W-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Konyaspor's attacking strength (0.89x league average) is weighed against Göztepe's defensive record (0.81x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.94. The same calculation in reverse, Göztepe's attack versus Konyaspor's defence, projects 1.29 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 56/56 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.7%. Close behind: 0-0 (12.4%), 0-1 (12.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Göztepe Win
23%
4.31
36%
2.77
41%
2.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.94
Konyaspor xG
Total xG
2.23
1.29
Göztepe xG
4.31
23%
Home win
2.77
36%
Draw
2.46
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.93
Clean Sheet
27%
3.64
39%
2.56
Win to Nil
6%
15.68
16%
6.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 13.9 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.7%.
How many goals are Konyaspor and Göztepe expected to score?
The model projects 0.94 expected goals for Konyaspor and 1.29 for Göztepe, a combined total of 2.23.
How confident is the prediction model for Konyaspor vs Göztepe?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Konyaspor come into this having played 56 games, going 17W 14D 25L for 1.16 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-D-L. The sample for Konyaspor is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Göztepe sit at 1.59 PPG from 56 outings (24W 17D 15L), a run that reads W-W-W-D-W across their last five. The sample for Göztepe is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Göztepe carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.43 PPG clear of Konyaspor — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Konyaspor's home form reads 11W 9D 8L across 28 games on their own ground, a 1.50 PPG return.
Away from home, Göztepe have taken 1.14 points per game from 28 outings (8W 8D 12L). That's a step down from their 1.59 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Göztepe's season.
Goals in Recent Form
Konyaspor are averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game recently; Göztepe are on 1.54 scored and 1.11 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Konyaspor have seen both teams score in 66% of their recent games.
Last 56 Results — Süper Lig
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Konyaspor
Blended
Göztepe
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Konyaspor and Göztepe in coming into this match?
Konyaspor have gone 17W 14D 25L in their last 56 games (1.16 PPG), while Göztepe have gone 24W 17D 15L in their last 56 (1.59 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Konyaspor at home or Göztepe away?
Konyaspor's home record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Konyaspor at home: 1.50 PPG; Göztepe away: 1.14 PPG.
Have Konyaspor or Göztepe been keeping clean sheets recently?
Konyaspor have kept a clean sheet in 18% of their recent games, Göztepe in 34%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
6 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Süper Lig. They last met on 8 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 3 Apr 2022, when Konyaspor won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Konyaspor's record when hosting Göztepe specifically: 2W 1D 0L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
3
Konyaspor
2
Draws
1
Göztepe
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Göztepe?
From 6 meetings on record, Konyaspor have won 3, Göztepe have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Konyaspor and Göztepe last play each other?
They last met on 8 February 2026, when Konyaspor 0-0 Göztepe.
Who has won more matches between Konyaspor and Göztepe?
Konyaspor have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Konyaspor are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time.
Göztepe are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Konyaspor 64%, Göztepe 61% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Konyaspor) and 46% (Göztepe).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Konyaspor home games / Göztepe away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Konyaspor play Göztepe?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 64% of Konyaspor's games and 61% of Göztepe's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Konyaspor vs Göztepe usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Konyaspor's recent games and 46% of Göztepe's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Konyaspor and Göztepe tend to score early?
Konyaspor have had a goal before half-time in 68% of their recent matches, Göztepe in 68% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Konyaspor's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Regular Season - 21, as Konyaspor and Göztepe drew 0-0 in the Süper Lig. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Konyaspor 0.94 xG and Göztepe 1.29 xG, a combined 2.23. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Konyaspor fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Göztepe landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Konyaspor attack 0.89 / defence 1.05 against Göztepe attack 0.95 / defence 0.81, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Konyaspor 23% | Draw 36% | Göztepe 41%, with Göztepe to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 36%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Konyaspor 52%, Göztepe 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Konyaspor's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.
Göztepe's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Göztepe arrived the stronger side — 1.59 PPG against 1.16. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Konyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line. Göztepe (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.29 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.46 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.