Bryne 0-1 Bodo/Glimt – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Bodo/Glimt at 40%, yet other data sources diverge — this Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Bryne host Bodo/Glimt at Bryne Stadion in Eliteserien, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 30 March 2025 at 18:15 UTC.
Form Guide
Across all Eliteserien games this season, Bodo/Glimt have recorded 5W 3D 2L from 10 outings — 1.80 PPG. Last five: L D D W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.30 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not.
Bodo/Glimt's form when playing away from home: 4W 4D 2L across 10 road games this term (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bryne 1.32 xG and Bodo/Glimt 1.44 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bryne attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Bodo/Glimt attack 1.054 / defence 0.950. League average goals — home 1.629 / away 1.183. Data: 0 Bryne games / 30 Bodo/Glimt games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Bryne 35% | Draw 25% | Bodo/Glimt 40%. Fair-value odds: Bryne 2.86 | Draw 4.00 | Bodo/Glimt 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.75. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.75 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Bodo/Glimt are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Bodo/Glimt offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.75 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 52% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects. The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (0 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt | Competition: Eliteserien, Regular Season - 1 | Venue: Bryne Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 30 Mar 2025, 18:15 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bryne 35% | Draw 25% | Bodo/Glimt 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 56% | xG Bryne 1.32 / Bodo/Glimt 1.44 • Poisson strength factors: Bryne attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Bodo/Glimt attack 1.054 / def 0.950 | league avg home 1.629 / away 1.183 • Poisson stance: Bodo/Glimt (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.32
Bryne xG
Expected Goals
1.44
Bodo/Glimt xG
56%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt kick off?
Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt kicked off at 18:15 on Sunday 30 March 2025 at Bryne Stadion.
What was the final score in Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bryne 0 - 1 Bodo/Glimt.
Where is Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt being played?
The match is being played at Bryne Stadion.
What competition is Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt part of?
Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt is a Regular Season - 1 fixture in the Eliteserien (Norway).
Who is favourite to win Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our statistical model gives Bryne a 35% chance of winning, Bodo/Glimt a 40% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Bodo/Glimt the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Bryne and Bodo/Glimt will score (BTTS).
Will Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Bryne and Bodo/Glimt?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Bryne and Bodo/Glimt in?
Bodo/Glimt (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 2.30 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-D-D-W-W. Bodo/Glimt away split: 1.60 PPG from 10 | GF 1.30 / GA 1.20 | CS 4.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Bryne's attacking strength (0.85x league average) is weighed against Bodo/Glimt's defensive record (0.95x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.32. The same calculation in reverse, Bodo/Glimt's attack versus Bryne's defence, projects 1.44 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 0/30 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.6%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.7%), 0-0 (8.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bodo/Glimt Win
35%
2.90
25%
3.92
40%
2.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
9.2%
Away win
1 – 2
8.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.32
Bryne xG
Total xG
2.75
1.44
Bodo/Glimt xG
2.90
35%
Home win
3.92
25%
Draw
2.50
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
24%
4.20
27%
3.73
Win to Nil
8%
12.16
11%
9.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 12.1 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are Bryne and Bodo/Glimt expected to score?
The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Bryne and 1.44 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined total of 2.75.
How confident is the prediction model for Bryne vs Bodo/Glimt?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — Eliteserien
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bryne
Pre-Season
Bodo/Glimt
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Bryne and Bodo/Glimt runs to 2 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to March 2025. Every recorded meeting has come in Eliteserien. They last met on 9 November 2025, roughly 8 months ago.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Bryne
0
Draws
2
Bodo/Glimt
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Bryne and Bodo/Glimt?
From 2 meetings on record, Bryne have won 0, Bodo/Glimt have won 2, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Bryne and Bodo/Glimt last play each other?
They last met on 9 November 2025, when Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Bryne.
Who has won more matches between Bryne and Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 2 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bryne home games / Bodo/Glimt away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Prediction vindicated as Bodo/Glimt edge out Bryne 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Bodo/Glimt beat Bryne 0-1 at Bryne Stadion, Regular Season - 1, in the Eliteserien. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Bryne 1.32 xG and Bodo/Glimt 1.44 xG, a combined 2.75. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Bryne fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bryne attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Bodo/Glimt attack 1.05 / defence 0.95, drawn from 0/30 games (PrevSeason).
On the result, the model split it Bryne 35% | Draw 25% | Bodo/Glimt 40%, with Bodo/Glimt to win its most likely call at 40%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 76% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.