Karlsruher SC 0-2 SV Sandhausen – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Karlsruher SC at 45%, yet other data sources diverge — this Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
SV Sandhausen make the trip to BBBank Wildpark to face Karlsruher SC in 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20. The match kicks off on Tuesday 8 February 2022 at 17:30 UTC.
Form
Karlsruher SC (all games): 2W 4D 4L across 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this term — 1.00 PPG. Last five: L W D D L. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 2.00 conceded. However, 2.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 90% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Karlsruher SC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Karlsruher SC's form when playing at home: 4W 4D 2L across 10 games at BBBank Wildpark this term (1.60 PPG). They are averaging 2.00 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.60 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.00 — Karlsruher SC are significantly better at BBBank Wildpark than their overall form suggests.
SV Sandhausen have collected 1.20 PPG across 10 2. Bundesliga outings this season: 3W 3D 4L. Last five: D D W L W. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for SV Sandhausen, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SV Sandhausen away from home this season: 4W 2D 4L from 10 away games — 1.40 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
A near-identical PPG reading — 1.00 for Karlsruher SC, 1.20 for SV Sandhausen — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
The BTTS picture is exceptionally clear (using home/away splits) — Karlsruher SC register both teams scoring in 70% of relevant games, SV Sandhausen in 70%. Both sides above 70% makes BTTS Yes one of the strongest standalone angles in this fixture.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Karlsruher SC lead 0W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 1 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 1 previous contests averaged 0.0 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 14 Aug 2021, ended 0–0 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading
Karlsruher SC half-time and goal-timing data (20 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 70% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 55%.
SV Sandhausen half-time and goal-timing data (20 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 70% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 35%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Karlsruher SC 80% and SV Sandhausen 60% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Karlsruher SC 80% | SV Sandhausen 60%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Karlsruher SC 1.92 xG and SV Sandhausen 1.55 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Karlsruher SC attack 1.234 / defence 1.202 | SV Sandhausen attack 0.864 / defence 1.353. League average goals — home 1.150 / away 1.495. SV Sandhausen bring a strong defensive rating of 1.353 — this is suppressing Karlsruher SC's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 20 Karlsruher SC games / 20 SV Sandhausen games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Karlsruher SC 45% | Draw 25% | SV Sandhausen 30%. Fair-value odds: Karlsruher SC 2.22 | Draw 4.00 | SV Sandhausen 3.33. Karlsruher SC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 45% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 67% | BTTS probability 69% | Total xG 3.47. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 67% — a total xG of 3.47 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 69% reflects that both xG figures (1.92 / 1.55) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Karlsruher SC at 45% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Karlsruher SC if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.47 combined xG gives a 67% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.4 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 69%. Form rates corroborate: Karlsruher SC 70% | SV Sandhausen 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: BBBank Wildpark • Kick-off: Tuesday 8 Feb 2022, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Karlsruher SC 45% | Draw 25% | SV Sandhausen 30% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 67% | BTTS 69% | xG Karlsruher SC 1.92 / SV Sandhausen 1.55 • Poisson strength factors: Karlsruher SC attack 1.234 / def 1.202 | SV Sandhausen attack 0.864 / def 1.353 | league avg home 1.150 / away 1.495 • Poisson stance: Karlsruher SC (45%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.92
Karlsruher SC xG
Expected Goals
1.55
SV Sandhausen xG
69%
BTTS
88%
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen kick off?
Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen kicked off at 17:30 on Tuesday 8 February 2022 at BBBank Wildpark.
What was the final score in Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen?
Karlsruher SC 0 - 2 SV Sandhausen.
Where is Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen being played?
The match is being played at BBBank Wildpark.
What competition is Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen part of?
Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen?
Our statistical model gives Karlsruher SC a 45% chance of winning, SV Sandhausen a 30% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Karlsruher SC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen?
Our model estimates a 69% probability that both Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen will score (BTTS).
Will Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 67%.
What is the head-to-head record between Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen?
Record (1 meetings): Karlsruher SC 0W | Draws 1 | SV Sandhausen 0W.
What form are Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen in?
Karlsruher SC (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-W-D-D-L. SV Sandhausen (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.80 | L5 D-D-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Karlsruher SC's attack at 1.23x the league average against SV Sandhausen's defence at 1.35x — combine the two and it projects 1.92 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — SV Sandhausen's attack (0.86x) against Karlsruher SC's defence (1.20x) — and the away total comes out at 1.55.
These ratings are built from 20/20 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 10.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.9%), 1-2 (7.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Karlsruher SC Win
45%
2.22
25%
4.02
30%
3.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
1 – 2
7.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.92
Karlsruher SC xG
Total xG
3.47
1.55
SV Sandhausen xG
2.22
45%
Home win
4.02
25%
Draw
3.33
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.46
31%
BTTS No
3.19
Clean Sheet
21%
4.72
15%
6.81
Win to Nil
10%
10.48
4%
22.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.5%.
How many goals are Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen expected to score?
The model projects 1.92 expected goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.55 for SV Sandhausen, a combined total of 3.47.
How confident is the prediction model for Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 20 outings, Karlsruher SC have picked up 1.30 PPG on a 6W 8D 6L record — L-W-D-D-L across the most recent five. The sample for Karlsruher SC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
SV Sandhausen's form line: 5W 5D 10L from 20 games, 1.00 PPG, last five D-D-W-L-W. The sample for SV Sandhausen is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.30 PPG for Karlsruher SC against 1.00 for SV Sandhausen. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Karlsruher SC have posted 1.60 PPG from 10 outings (4W 4D 2L).
On the road, SV Sandhausen have gone 4W 2D 4L from 10 away games — 1.40 PPG when travelling.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Karlsruher SC are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game recently; SV Sandhausen are on 1.10 scored and 1.95 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Karlsruher SC have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent games; SV Sandhausen in 60%.
Last 20 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Karlsruher SC
Blended
SV Sandhausen
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen in coming into this match?
Karlsruher SC have gone 6W 8D 6L in their last 20 games (1.30 PPG), while SV Sandhausen have gone 5W 5D 10L in their last 20 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Karlsruher SC at home or SV Sandhausen away?
Karlsruher SC's home record (1.60 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Karlsruher SC at home: 1.60 PPG; SV Sandhausen away: 1.40 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 4 times since August 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 19 February 2023, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
There's a clear current trend here: Karlsruher SC have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Karlsruher SC won 0-3 on 19 Feb 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Karlsruher SC have gone 1W 0D 1L from 2 meetings on their own ground against SV Sandhausen — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 4 Meetings
2
Karlsruher SC
1
Draws
1
SV Sandhausen
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen?
From 4 meetings on record, Karlsruher SC have won 2, SV Sandhausen have won 1, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen last play each other?
They last met on 19 February 2023, when SV Sandhausen 0-3 Karlsruher SC.
Who has won more matches between Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen?
Karlsruher SC have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Karlsruher SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
SV Sandhausen see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 70% for Karlsruher SC, 70% for SV Sandhausen — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 80% for Karlsruher SC and 70% for SV Sandhausen. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 60% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Karlsruher SC home games / SV Sandhausen away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Karlsruher SC play SV Sandhausen?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 70% of Karlsruher SC's games and 70% of SV Sandhausen's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Karlsruher SC vs SV Sandhausen usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of Karlsruher SC's matches and 70% of SV Sandhausen's.
Do Karlsruher SC and SV Sandhausen tend to score early?
Karlsruher SC have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, SV Sandhausen in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
SV Sandhausen cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Karlsruher SC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SV Sandhausen beat Karlsruher SC 0-2 at BBBank Wildpark, Regular Season - 20, in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Karlsruher SC 1.92 xG and SV Sandhausen 1.55 xG, a combined 3.47. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Karlsruher SC fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Karlsruher SC attack 1.23 / defence 1.20 against SV Sandhausen attack 0.86 / defence 1.35, drawn from 20/20 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Karlsruher SC 45% | Draw 25% | SV Sandhausen 30%, with Karlsruher SC to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual SV Sandhausen win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 46% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 69% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 70% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Karlsruher SC 80%, SV Sandhausen 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 70%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Karlsruher SC's trading profile (20 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 80% of their matches — today it did not.
SV Sandhausen's trading profile (20 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Karlsruher SC 1.30 PPG, SV Sandhausen 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the SV Sandhausen win broke the near-deadlock. Karlsruher SC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward. SV Sandhausen (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.80 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.