Le Mans 0-0 RED Star FC 93 – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates RED Star FC 93 at 40% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 meet at Stade Marie-Marvingt in Ligue 2, Regular Season - 14. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 8 November 2025 at 13:00 UTC.
Current Form
Le Mans's overall Ligue 2 record this term: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games (1.60 PPG). Last five: D W W D W. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Le Mans, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Le Mans's home record at Stade Marie-Marvingt: 4W 1D 2L from 7 Ligue 2 appearances (1.86 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 7 home games (57%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Stade Marie-Marvingt. At home, both teams have scored in only 29% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
RED Star FC 93 (all games): 7W 1D 2L across 10 Ligue 2 outings this term — 2.20 points per game. Last five: D W W L W. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 0.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for RED Star FC 93, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, RED Star FC 93 have gone 5W 4D 1L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
RED Star FC 93 arrive in superior form — a 0.60 PPG advantage (2.20 vs 1.60) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
Trading Data
Le Mans goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (13 games, 7 at home): they score before half-time in 14% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 29% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 29% of games (home games).
RED Star FC 93 goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (13 games, 7 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 29% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 46% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Le Mans 54% versus RED Star FC 93 46%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Le Mans 38% | RED Star FC 93 54%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Le Mans 0.90 xG and RED Star FC 93 1.11 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Le Mans attack 0.806 / defence 0.880 | RED Star FC 93 attack 1.054 / defence 0.857. League average goals — home 1.302 / away 1.199. Data: 13 Le Mans games / 47 RED Star FC 93 games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Le Mans 29% | Draw 30% | RED Star FC 93 40%. Fair-value odds: Le Mans 3.45 | Draw 3.33 | RED Star FC 93 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 33% | BTTS probability 40% | Total xG 2.01. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 67% probability — total xG of 2.01 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 40% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, RED Star FC 93 are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on RED Star FC 93 if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.01 combined xG gives a 33% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 40%. Form rates corroborate: Le Mans 29% | RED Star FC 93 50% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Nov 2025, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Le Mans 29% | Draw 30% | RED Star FC 93 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 33% | BTTS 40% | xG Le Mans 0.90 / RED Star FC 93 1.11 • Poisson strength factors: Le Mans attack 0.806 / def 0.880 | RED Star FC 93 attack 1.054 / def 0.857 | league avg home 1.302 / away 1.199 • Poisson stance: RED Star FC 93 (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.90
Le Mans xG
Expected Goals
1.11
RED Star FC 93 xG
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
15%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 kick off?
Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 kicked off at 13:00 on Saturday 8 November 2025 at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
What was the final score in Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93?
Le Mans 0 - 0 RED Star FC 93.
Where is Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 being played?
The match is being played at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
What competition is Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 part of?
Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93?
Our statistical model gives Le Mans a 29% chance of winning, RED Star FC 93 a 40% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making RED Star FC 93 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93?
Our model estimates a 40% probability that both Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 will score (BTTS).
Will Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 33%.
What is the head-to-head record between Le Mans and RED Star FC 93?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 in?
Le Mans (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-W-W-D-W. RED Star FC 93 (all comps): 7W-1D-2L in 10 | 2.20 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 0.90 | L5 D-W-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Le Mans's attack rating (0.81) and RED Star FC 93's defence rating (0.86), the model arrives at 0.90 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — RED Star FC 93's attack (1.05x) against Le Mans's defence (0.88x) — and the away total comes out at 1.11.
These ratings are built from 13/47 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 15.1%. Close behind: 0-0 (15.1%), 0-1 (13.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 43% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
RED Star FC 93 Win
29%
3.42
30%
3.28
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.4%
Draw
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.90
Le Mans xG
Total xG
2.01
1.11
RED Star FC 93 xG
3.42
29%
Home win
3.28
30%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
33%
3.04
41%
2.46
Win to Nil
10%
10.42
16%
6.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4 | 14.9 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 13.4 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.1%.
How many goals are Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 expected to score?
The model projects 0.90 expected goals for Le Mans and 1.11 for RED Star FC 93, a combined total of 2.01.
How confident is the prediction model for Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Le Mans's recent record stands at 5W 5D 3L from 13 games, a 1.54 PPG return, with D-W-W-D-W in the last five. The sample for Le Mans is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
RED Star FC 93, meanwhile, have gone 8W 2D 3L across 13 games — 2.00 PPG, with D-W-W-L-W in their last five. The sample for RED Star FC 93 is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours RED Star FC 93 by 0.46 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Le Mans heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Le Mans have managed 4W 1D 2L from 7 games — 1.86 PPG in front of their own supporters.
RED Star FC 93's away record stands at 5W 1D 1L across 7 trips, a 2.29 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, RED Star FC 93 come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Le Mans are averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game recently; RED Star FC 93 are on 1.46 scored and 1.00 conceded.
Defensively: RED Star FC 93 in 46% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 13 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Le Mans
Blended
RED Star FC 93
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 in coming into this match?
Le Mans have gone 5W 5D 3L in their last 13 games (1.54 PPG), while RED Star FC 93 have gone 8W 2D 3L in their last 13 (2.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Le Mans at home or RED Star FC 93 away?
RED Star FC 93's away record (2.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Le Mans at home: 1.86 PPG; RED Star FC 93 away: 2.29 PPG.
Have Le Mans or RED Star FC 93 been keeping clean sheets recently?
Le Mans have kept a clean sheet in 31% of their recent games, RED Star FC 93 in 46%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 2 times since November 2025 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. They last met on 28 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Le Mans
2
Draws
0
RED Star FC 93
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Le Mans and RED Star FC 93?
From 2 meetings on record, Le Mans have won 0, RED Star FC 93 have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 last play each other?
They last met on 28 February 2026, when RED Star FC 93 0-0 Le Mans.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Le Mans tend to start slowly — only 14% of their games have a goal by half-time.
RED Star FC 93 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
Neither side has been leaking BTTS chances often — 29% (Le Mans) and 29% (RED Star FC 93) both sit on the low side, favouring BTTS No.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 29% (Le Mans) and 57% (RED Star FC 93).
On the defensive side: Le Mans keep a clean sheet in 57% of their matches; RED Star FC 93 in 57%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Le Mans home games / RED Star FC 93 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Le Mans play RED Star FC 93?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 29% of Le Mans's recent matches and 29% of RED Star FC 93's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Le Mans vs RED Star FC 93 usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 29% of Le Mans's recent games and 57% of RED Star FC 93's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 tend to score early?
Le Mans have had a goal before half-time in 14% of their recent matches, RED Star FC 93 in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Le Mans's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Regular Season - 14, as Le Mans and RED Star FC 93 drew 0-0 in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Le Mans 0.90 xG and RED Star FC 93 1.11 xG, a combined 2.01. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Le Mans fell 0.9 short of their projected output. RED Star FC 93 landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Le Mans attack 0.81 / defence 0.88 against RED Star FC 93 attack 1.05 / defence 0.86, drawn from 13/47 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Le Mans 29% | Draw 30% | RED Star FC 93 40%, with RED Star FC 93 to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 33%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 60% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Le Mans 38%, RED Star FC 93 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Le Mans's trading profile (13 games, 7 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.
RED Star FC 93's trading profile (13 games, 7 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 46% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, RED Star FC 93 arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 1.54. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Le Mans (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. RED Star FC 93 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.71 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.