Sunderland 0-0 Blackpool – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Sunderland at 45% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Sunderland vs Blackpool encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Stadium of Light plays host to Sunderland versus Blackpool in Championship, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off: Tuesday 4 October 2022 at 19:45 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Sunderland have collected 1.50 PPG across 10 Championship outings this season: 4W 3D 3L. Last five: W L W D D. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.00 conceded. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for Sunderland, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Sunderland's home record at Stadium of Light: 5W 4D 1L from 10 Championship appearances (1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Blackpool's overall Championship record this term: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games (0.80 PPG). Last five: L W L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. This season is still relatively young for Blackpool, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Blackpool's away record: 3W 2D 5L from 10 road trips in Championship this season (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game.
The points-per-game gap of 0.70 in Sunderland's favour (1.50 vs 0.80) is a statistically meaningful difference. The hosts are the form pick here, with draw protection the sensible hedge given the away side's competitiveness.
Trading Data
Sunderland goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (57 games, 29 at home): they score before half-time in 66% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (home games).
Blackpool goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (57 games, 29 at away): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sunderland 51% versus Blackpool 49%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sunderland 54% | Blackpool 40%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sunderland 1.34 xG and Blackpool 1.00 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sunderland attack 0.905 / defence 0.987 | Blackpool attack 0.923 / defence 1.185. League average goals — home 1.254 / away 1.099. Data: 11 Sunderland games / 57 Blackpool games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Sunderland 45% | Draw 28% | Blackpool 28%. Fair-value odds: Sunderland 2.22 | Draw 3.57 | Blackpool 3.57. Sunderland hold a narrow Poisson edge at 45% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 47% | Total xG 2.35. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.35 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 47% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Sunderland are the pick at 45% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Sunderland if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.35 combined xG gives a 42% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 47%. Form rates corroborate: Sunderland 50% | Blackpool 40% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sunderland vs Blackpool | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Stadium of Light • Kick-off: Tuesday 4 Oct 2022, 19:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sunderland 45% | Draw 28% | Blackpool 28% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 47% | xG Sunderland 1.34 / Blackpool 1.00 • Poisson strength factors: Sunderland attack 0.905 / def 0.987 | Blackpool attack 0.923 / def 1.185 | league avg home 1.254 / away 1.099 • Poisson stance: Sunderland (45%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.34
Sunderland xG
Expected Goals
1.00
Blackpool xG
47%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sunderland vs Blackpool kick off?
Sunderland vs Blackpool kicked off at 19:45 on Tuesday 4 October 2022 at Stadium of Light.
What was the final score in Sunderland vs Blackpool?
Sunderland 0 - 0 Blackpool.
Where is Sunderland vs Blackpool being played?
The match is being played at Stadium of Light.
What competition is Sunderland vs Blackpool part of?
Sunderland vs Blackpool is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win Sunderland vs Blackpool?
Our statistical model gives Sunderland a 45% chance of winning, Blackpool a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Sunderland the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Blackpool?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both Sunderland and Blackpool will score (BTTS).
Will Sunderland vs Blackpool have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Blackpool?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Sunderland and Blackpool in?
Sunderland (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.00 | L5 W-L-W-D-D. Blackpool (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-W-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Sunderland's attacking strength (0.91x league average) is weighed against Blackpool's defensive record (1.19x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.34. Flip it around — Blackpool's attack (0.92x) against Sunderland's defence (0.99x) — and the away total comes out at 1.00.
These ratings are built from 11/57 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (11.3%), 1-0 (11.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sunderland Win
45%
2.24
28%
3.63
28%
3.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
9.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Sunderland xG
Total xG
2.35
1.00
Blackpool xG
2.24
45%
Home win
3.63
28%
Draw
3.59
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.14
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
26%
3.84
Win to Nil
16%
6.10
7%
13.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sunderland vs Blackpool?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are Sunderland and Blackpool expected to score?
The model projects 1.34 expected goals for Sunderland and 1.00 for Blackpool, a combined total of 2.35.
How confident is the prediction model for Sunderland vs Blackpool?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Sunderland's recent record stands at 28W 17D 12L from 57 games, a 1.77 PPG return, with W-L-W-D-D in the last five. The sample for Sunderland is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Blackpool, meanwhile, have gone 19W 14D 24L across 57 games — 1.25 PPG, with L-W-L-L-L in their last five. The sample for Blackpool is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Sunderland by 0.52 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Blackpool heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Sunderland have managed 18W 6D 5L from 29 games — 2.07 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Blackpool's away record stands at 7W 10D 12L across 29 trips, a 1.07 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sunderland come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Sunderland are averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game recently; Blackpool are on 1.12 scored and 1.30 conceded.
Defensively: Sunderland have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 57 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sunderland
Blended
Blackpool
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Sunderland and Blackpool in coming into this match?
Sunderland have gone 28W 17D 12L in their last 57 games (1.77 PPG), while Blackpool have gone 19W 14D 24L in their last 57 (1.25 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sunderland at home or Blackpool away?
Sunderland's home record (2.07 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sunderland at home: 2.07 PPG; Blackpool away: 1.07 PPG.
Have Sunderland or Blackpool been keeping clean sheets recently?
Sunderland have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their recent games, Blackpool in 25%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 2 times since October 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. It has been a while since the last meeting — 1 January 2023, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Sunderland
2
Draws
0
Blackpool
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Blackpool?
From 2 meetings on record, Sunderland have won 0, Blackpool have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Sunderland and Blackpool last play each other?
They last met on 1 January 2023, when Blackpool 1-1 Sunderland.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Sunderland are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 66% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 45% of the time.
Blackpool are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 31% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Sunderland 48%, Blackpool 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 48% (Sunderland) and 41% (Blackpool).
On the defensive side: Sunderland keep a clean sheet in 45% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sunderland home games / Blackpool away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Sunderland play Blackpool?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 48% of Sunderland's games and 62% of Blackpool's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Sunderland vs Blackpool usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 48% of Sunderland's recent games and 41% of Blackpool's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Sunderland and Blackpool tend to score early?
Sunderland have had a goal before half-time in 66% of their recent matches, Blackpool in 83% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Sunderland's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sunderland and Blackpool finished level at 0-0 at Stadium of Light, Regular Season - 13, in the Championship. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Sunderland 1.34 xG and Blackpool 1.00 xG, a combined 2.35. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Sunderland fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Blackpool landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sunderland attack 0.91 / defence 0.99 against Blackpool attack 0.92 / defence 1.19, drawn from 11/57 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Sunderland 45% | Draw 28% | Blackpool 28%, with Sunderland to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sunderland 54%, Blackpool 40%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Sunderland's trading profile (57 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and duly kept one.
Blackpool's trading profile (57 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Sunderland arrived the stronger side — 1.77 PPG against 1.25. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Sunderland (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.93 scoring average — below par going forward. Blackpool (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.07 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.