WSG Wattens 0-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates WSG Wattens at 57%, yet other data sources diverge — this WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
WSG Wattens and SCR Altach meet at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 10 September 2022 at 16:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
WSG Wattens have collected 1.00 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 3W 1D 6L. Last five: D L W L L. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
WSG Wattens at Tivoli Stadion Tirol this season: 5W 2D 3L from 10 home games — 1.70 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.00 — WSG Wattens are significantly better at Tivoli Stadion Tirol than their overall form suggests.
SCR Altach (all games): 3W 2D 5L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 1.10 points per game. Last five: W L L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SCR Altach's away record: 3W 0D 7L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.00 vs 1.10 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
Trading Data
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (39 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 41%.
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (39 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 37% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (away games); they fail to score in 49% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — WSG Wattens 56% versus SCR Altach 44%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 69% | SCR Altach 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 2.21 xG and SCR Altach 1.36 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.977 / defence 1.169 | SCR Altach attack 0.808 / defence 1.473. League average goals — home 1.537 / away 1.436. SCR Altach bring a strong defensive rating of 1.473 — this is suppressing WSG Wattens's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 29 WSG Wattens games / 29 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 57% | Draw 20% | SCR Altach 23%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 1.75 | Draw 5.00 | SCR Altach 4.35. The model has a clear lean to WSG Wattens (57%) — a 34pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 69% | BTTS probability 66% | Total xG 3.57. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 69% — a total xG of 3.57 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 66% reflects that both xG figures (2.21 / 1.36) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is WSG Wattens at 57% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 20% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.57 combined xG gives a 69% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.3 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 66%. Form rates are neutral: WSG Wattens 60% | SCR Altach 40%.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 10 Sep 2022, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 57% | Draw 20% | SCR Altach 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 69% | BTTS 66% | xG WSG Wattens 2.21 / SCR Altach 1.36 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.977 / def 1.169 | SCR Altach attack 0.808 / def 1.473 | league avg home 1.537 / away 1.436 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (57%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.21
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
1.36
SCR Altach xG
66%
BTTS
87%
Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach kick off?
WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 10 September 2022 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
WSG Wattens 0 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach part of?
WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 8 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 57% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 23% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 66% probability that both WSG Wattens and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 69%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and SCR Altach?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are WSG Wattens and SCR Altach in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 3W-1D-6L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.80 | L5 D-L-W-L-L. SCR Altach (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.90 | L5 W-L-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (0.98) and SCR Altach's defence rating (1.47), the model arrives at 2.21 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — SCR Altach's attack (0.81x) against WSG Wattens's defence (1.17x) — and the away total comes out at 1.36.
These ratings are built from 29/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 9.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.4%), 3-1 (6.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 26% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
57%
1.76
20%
4.95
23%
4.36
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.5%
Draw
2 – 0
6.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.21
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
3.57
1.36
SCR Altach xG
1.76
57%
Home win
4.95
20%
Draw
4.36
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.95
Clean Sheet
26%
3.88
11%
9.13
Win to Nil
15%
6.83
3%
39.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.6%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 2.21 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 1.36 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 3.57.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 57%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
WSG Wattens's recent record stands at 13W 8D 18L from 39 games, a 1.21 PPG return, with D-L-W-L-L in the last five. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
SCR Altach, meanwhile, have gone 8W 9D 22L across 39 games — 0.85 PPG, with W-L-L-L-L in their last five. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.21 PPG for WSG Wattens against 0.85 for SCR Altach. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, WSG Wattens have managed 7W 6D 6L from 19 games — 1.42 PPG in front of their own supporters.
SCR Altach's away record stands at 5W 2D 12L across 19 trips, a 0.89 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, WSG Wattens come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.82 scored and 1.69 conceded.
Last 39 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Early Season
SCR Altach
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 13W 8D 18L in their last 39 games (1.21 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 8W 9D 22L in their last 39 (0.85 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or SCR Altach away?
WSG Wattens's home record (1.42 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 1.42 PPG; SCR Altach away: 0.89 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to May 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 7 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won 3-0 on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, WSG Wattens have gone 2W 1D 2L from 5 meetings on their own ground against SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
4
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 3, SCR Altach have won 4, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 7 August 2026, when SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and SCR Altach?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — WSG Wattens 63%, SCR Altach 37% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 68% for WSG Wattens and 68% for SCR Altach. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 47% and 26% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens have failed to score in 26% of games; SCR Altach in 47%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 63% of WSG Wattens's recent matches and 37% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 68% of WSG Wattens's matches and 68% of SCR Altach's.
Do WSG Wattens and SCR Altach tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 74% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 68% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at WSG Wattens's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 8, as WSG Wattens and SCR Altach drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 2.21 xG and SCR Altach 1.36 xG, a combined 3.57. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 2.2 short of their projected output. SCR Altach landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.98 / defence 1.17 against SCR Altach attack 0.81 / defence 1.47, drawn from 29/29 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 57% | Draw 20% | SCR Altach 23%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 57%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 20% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 69%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 87% and missed. Over 3.5 was 48% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 69%, SCR Altach 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (39 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
SCR Altach's trading profile (39 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 49% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 1.21 PPG, SCR Altach 0.85 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.74 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.47 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.84 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.84 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.