Sharjah FC 3-0 Baniyas SC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Sharjah FC at 50% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Pro League clash, Regular Season - 2 as Sharjah FC welcome Baniyas SC to Sharjah Stadium. Kick-off is set for Friday 9 September 2022 at 17:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Pro League games this season, Sharjah FC have gone 8W 1D 1L from 10 outings — a 2.50 PPG return. Last five: W W W D W. They are averaging 2.30 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. Defensively, conceding just 0.60 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Sharjah FC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Sharjah FC have posted 8W 0D 2L at Sharjah Stadium — 2.40 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Sharjah Stadium. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Baniyas SC — All Games: 3W 3D 4L from 10 Pro League fixtures this season — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L L L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Baniyas SC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Pro League this season, Baniyas SC have posted 2W 2D 6L from 10 away outings — 0.80 PPG. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game.
Sharjah FC carry the stronger recent momentum — 1.30 PPG ahead of their opponents on 2.50 vs 1.20. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 2 previous encounters have yielded 2 wins for Sharjah FC, 0 for Baniyas SC and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 2 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.5 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 17 May 2022, ended 4–0 with Sharjah FC winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.5 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Sharjah FC in-play tendencies (27 games, 13 at home): they score before half-time in 77% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; they lead at the break 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 69% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time.
Baniyas SC in-play tendencies (27 games, 13 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 62% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (away games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sharjah FC 41% versus Baniyas SC 52%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sharjah FC 56% | Baniyas SC 48%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sharjah FC 1.77 xG and Baniyas SC 1.24 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sharjah FC attack 1.150 / defence 0.905 | Baniyas SC attack 0.969 / defence 1.108. League average goals — home 1.390 / away 1.411. Data: 27 Sharjah FC games / 27 Baniyas SC games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Sharjah FC 50% | Draw 24% | Baniyas SC 26%. Fair-value odds: Sharjah FC 2.00 | Draw 4.17 | Baniyas SC 3.85. Sharjah FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 50% — the draw (24%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 59% | Total xG 3.01. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 3.01 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 59% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Sharjah FC are the pick at 50% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 24% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Sharjah FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 3.01 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 58% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 59%. This conflicts with form data: Sharjah FC 30% | Baniyas SC 50% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (27 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: Sharjah Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 9 Sep 2022, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sharjah FC 50% | Draw 24% | Baniyas SC 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 59% | xG Sharjah FC 1.77 / Baniyas SC 1.24 • Poisson strength factors: Sharjah FC attack 1.150 / def 0.905 | Baniyas SC attack 0.969 / def 1.108 | league avg home 1.390 / away 1.411 • Poisson stance: Sharjah FC (50%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.77
Sharjah FC xG
Expected Goals
1.24
Baniyas SC xG
59%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC kick off?
Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC kicked off at 17:30 on Friday 9 September 2022 at Sharjah Stadium.
What was the final score in Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC?
Sharjah FC 3 - 0 Baniyas SC.
Where is Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC being played?
The match is being played at Sharjah Stadium.
What competition is Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC part of?
Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC?
Our statistical model gives Sharjah FC a 50% chance of winning, Baniyas SC a 26% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making Sharjah FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC will score (BTTS).
Will Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC?
Record (2 meetings): Sharjah FC 2W | Draws 0 | Baniyas SC 0W.
What form are Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC in?
Sharjah FC (all comps): 8W-1D-1L in 10 | 2.50 PPG | GF 2.30 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-W-W-D-W. Baniyas SC (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-L-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Sharjah FC's attack rating (1.15) and Baniyas SC's defence rating (1.11), the model arrives at 1.77 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Baniyas SC's attack versus Sharjah FC's defence, projects 1.24 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (27/27 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.2%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (7.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Sharjah FC Win
50%
2.02
24%
4.15
26%
3.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.77
Sharjah FC xG
Total xG
3.01
1.24
Baniyas SC xG
2.02
50%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
3.80
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.46
Clean Sheet
29%
3.44
17%
5.88
Win to Nil
14%
6.94
4%
22.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 9.6 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.2%.
How many goals are Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC expected to score?
The model projects 1.77 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.24 for Baniyas SC, a combined total of 3.01.
How confident is the prediction model for Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 50%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 27 outings, Sharjah FC have picked up 2.15 PPG on a 18W 4D 5L record — W-W-W-D-W across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Sharjah FC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Baniyas SC's form line: 9W 7D 11L from 27 games, 1.26 PPG, last five L-L-L-D-W. It's still early in the season for Baniyas SC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Sharjah FC are the form team by 0.89 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Baniyas SC.
Venue Form
On home soil, Sharjah FC have posted 2.54 PPG from 13 outings (11W 0D 2L).
On the road, Baniyas SC have gone 3W 4D 6L from 13 away games — 1.00 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sharjah FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Sharjah FC are averaging 1.78 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game recently; Baniyas SC are on 1.26 scored and 1.44 conceded.
Defensively: Sharjah FC have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 27 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sharjah FC
Early Season
Baniyas SC
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC in coming into this match?
Sharjah FC have gone 18W 4D 5L in their last 27 games (2.15 PPG), while Baniyas SC have gone 9W 7D 11L in their last 27 (1.26 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sharjah FC at home or Baniyas SC away?
Sharjah FC's home record (2.54 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sharjah FC at home: 2.54 PPG; Baniyas SC away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Sharjah FC or Baniyas SC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Sharjah FC have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their recent games, Baniyas SC in 19%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to December 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 10 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 28 Oct 2023, when Sharjah FC won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Sharjah FC's record when hosting Baniyas SC specifically: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Sharjah FC
1
Draws
2
Baniyas SC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC?
From 10 meetings on record, Sharjah FC have won 7, Baniyas SC have won 2, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC last play each other?
They last met on 10 April 2026, when Baniyas SC 1-1 Sharjah FC.
Who has won more matches between Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC?
Sharjah FC have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 77% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 46% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 15% of those situations.
Baniyas SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 31% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Sharjah FC 38%, Baniyas SC 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 69% for Sharjah FC and 62% for Baniyas SC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 23% and 38% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Sharjah FC keep a clean sheet in 46% of their matches; Baniyas SC in 31%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sharjah FC home games / Baniyas SC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Sharjah FC play Baniyas SC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 38% of Sharjah FC's recent matches and 62% of Baniyas SC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Sharjah FC vs Baniyas SC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 69% of Sharjah FC's matches and 62% of Baniyas SC's.
Do Sharjah FC and Baniyas SC tend to score early?
Sharjah FC have had a goal before half-time in 77% of their recent matches, Baniyas SC in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Sharjah FC run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Baniyas SC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sharjah FC beat Baniyas SC 3-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 2, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.77 xG and Baniyas SC 1.24 xG, a combined 3.01. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Sharjah FC beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Baniyas SC landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 1.15 / defence 0.91 against Baniyas SC attack 0.97 / defence 1.11, drawn from 27/27 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 50% | Draw 24% | Baniyas SC 26%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 50%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 56%, Baniyas SC 48%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Sharjah FC's trading profile (27 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.
Baniyas SC's trading profile (27 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 2.15 PPG against 1.26. Form held, and they took the win. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.92 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.92 average — tighter than their form line. Baniyas SC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.77 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.