Göztepe 0-2 Konyaspor – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Konyaspor at 39% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Göztepe vs Konyaspor encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Süper Lig clash, Regular Season - 12 as Göztepe welcome Konyaspor to Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı. Kick-off is set for Sunday 7 November 2021 at 10:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Göztepe stand at 2W 2D 6L from 10 Süper Lig matches — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L L W L D. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Göztepe, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Göztepe at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı this season: 1W 0D 4L from 5 home games — 0.60 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. At home, both teams have scored in only 20% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Konyaspor — All Games: 4W 5D 1L from 10 Süper Lig fixtures this season — 1.70 PPG. Last five: D D L W W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.00. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Konyaspor, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Konyaspor's away record: 1W 3D 1L from 5 road trips in Süper Lig this season (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 2 clean sheets from 5 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Their away PPG of 1.20 is notably below their overall 1.70 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Form points away from home here. Konyaspor's 1.70 PPG return is 0.90 points per game ahead of Göztepe's 0.80 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
In-Play Data
Göztepe trading profile (11 games, 5 at home): they score before half-time in 40% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; when trailing at the break they recover to draw or win in 36% of cases; BTTS occurs in 20% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 20% of games (home games); they fail to score in 36% of games.
Konyaspor trading profile (11 games, 5 at away): they score before half-time in 40% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 20% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Göztepe 64% and Konyaspor 64% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Göztepe 54% | Konyaspor 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Göztepe 0.77 xG and Konyaspor 0.97 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Göztepe attack 0.634 / defence 1.160 | Konyaspor attack 0.755 / defence 1.007. League average goals — home 1.198 / away 1.106. Göztepe's attack strength of 0.634 is below the league average — the 0.77 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 11 Göztepe games / 11 Konyaspor games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Göztepe 28% | Draw 33% | Konyaspor 39%. Fair-value odds: Göztepe 3.57 | Draw 3.03 | Konyaspor 2.56. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 33% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 25% | BTTS probability 33% | Total xG 1.73. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 75% probability — total xG of 1.73 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS No has firm model support at 67% — Göztepe's lower xG of 0.77 creates a meaningful probability of a scoring blank, which suppresses the BTTS Yes probability to 33%.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Konyaspor as the most likely outcome at 39% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 33% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Konyaspor offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 1.73 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 25% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 1.6 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 33% on No. Form rates corroborate: Göztepe 20% | Konyaspor 40% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Göztepe vs Konyaspor | Competition: Süper Lig, Regular Season - 12 | Venue: Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı • Kick-off: Sunday 7 Nov 2021, 10:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Göztepe 28% | Draw 33% | Konyaspor 39% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 25% | BTTS 33% | xG Göztepe 0.77 / Konyaspor 0.97 • Poisson strength factors: Göztepe attack 0.634 / def 1.160 | Konyaspor attack 0.755 / def 1.007 | league avg home 1.198 / away 1.106 • Poisson stance: Konyaspor (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.77
Göztepe xG
Expected Goals
0.97
Konyaspor xG
33%
BTTS
52%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
10%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Göztepe vs Konyaspor kick off?
Göztepe vs Konyaspor kicked off at 10:30 on Sunday 7 November 2021 at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı.
What was the final score in Göztepe vs Konyaspor?
Göztepe 0 - 2 Konyaspor.
Where is Göztepe vs Konyaspor being played?
The match is being played at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı.
What competition is Göztepe vs Konyaspor part of?
Göztepe vs Konyaspor is a Regular Season - 12 fixture in the Süper Lig (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Göztepe vs Konyaspor?
Our statistical model gives Göztepe a 28% chance of winning, Konyaspor a 39% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw — making Konyaspor the favourite.
Will both teams score in Göztepe vs Konyaspor?
Our model estimates a 33% probability that both Göztepe and Konyaspor will score (BTTS).
Will Göztepe vs Konyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 25%.
What is the head-to-head record between Göztepe and Konyaspor?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Göztepe and Konyaspor in?
Göztepe (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-W-L-D. Konyaspor (all comps): 4W-5D-1L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-D-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Göztepe's attacking strength (0.63x league average) is weighed against Konyaspor's defensive record (1.01x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.77. The same calculation in reverse, Konyaspor's attack versus Göztepe's defence, projects 0.97 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 11/11 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-0, at 19.4%. Close behind: 0-1 (15.4%), 1-1 (14.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 50% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Konyaspor Win
28%
3.61
33%
3.00
39%
2.57
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
17.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
17.1%
Away win
1 – 0
13.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Göztepe xG
Total xG
1.73
0.97
Konyaspor xG
3.61
28%
Home win
3.00
33%
Draw
2.57
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
52%
Over 1.5
1.92
48%
Under 1.5
2.08
25%
Over 2.5
4.00
75%
Under 2.5
1.33
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
33%
BTTS Yes
3.01
67%
BTTS No
1.50
Clean Sheet
38%
2.64
47%
2.15
Win to Nil
10%
9.52
18%
5.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.7 | 17.1 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.5 | 13.1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Göztepe vs Konyaspor?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 19.4%.
How many goals are Göztepe and Konyaspor expected to score?
The model projects 0.77 expected goals for Göztepe and 0.97 for Konyaspor, a combined total of 1.73.
How confident is the prediction model for Göztepe vs Konyaspor?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Göztepe come into this having played 11 games, going 2W 3D 6L for 0.82 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-L-D. The sample for Göztepe is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Konyaspor sit at 1.82 PPG from 11 outings (5W 5D 1L), a run that reads D-D-L-W-W across their last five. The sample for Konyaspor is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Konyaspor carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.00 PPG clear of Göztepe — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
Göztepe's home form reads 1W 0D 4L across 5 games on their own ground, a 0.60 PPG return.
Away from home, Konyaspor have taken 1.20 points per game from 5 outings (1W 3D 1L). That's a step down from their 1.82 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Konyaspor's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Konyaspor come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Göztepe are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game recently; Konyaspor are on 1.45 scored and 0.91 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Göztepe have seen both teams score in 64% of their recent games; Konyaspor in 64%.
Last 11 Results — Süper Lig
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Göztepe
Blended
Konyaspor
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Göztepe and Konyaspor in coming into this match?
Göztepe have gone 2W 3D 6L in their last 11 games (0.82 PPG), while Konyaspor have gone 5W 5D 1L in their last 11 (1.82 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Göztepe at home or Konyaspor away?
Konyaspor's away record (1.20 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Göztepe at home: 0.60 PPG; Konyaspor away: 1.20 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Göztepe and Konyaspor runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Süper Lig. They last met on 8 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 3 Apr 2022, when Konyaspor won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Göztepe's record when hosting Konyaspor specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
1
Göztepe
2
Draws
3
Konyaspor
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Göztepe and Konyaspor?
From 6 meetings on record, Göztepe have won 1, Konyaspor have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Göztepe and Konyaspor last play each other?
They last met on 8 February 2026, when Konyaspor 0-0 Göztepe.
Who has won more matches between Göztepe and Konyaspor?
Konyaspor have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Göztepe see a goal before the break in 40% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Konyaspor see a goal before the break in 40% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
Clean sheets have been more common than shared scoring for these two — Göztepe 20% BTTS, Konyaspor 40%. That points toward BTTS No as the trading lean.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 20% for Göztepe and 20% for Konyaspor.
On the defensive side: Konyaspor in 40%; Göztepe have failed to score in 80% of games; Konyaspor in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Göztepe home games / Konyaspor away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Göztepe play Konyaspor?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 20% of Göztepe's recent matches and 40% of Konyaspor's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Göztepe vs Konyaspor usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 20% of Göztepe's recent games and 20% of Konyaspor's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Konyaspor cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Göztepe.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Konyaspor beat Göztepe 0-2 at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı, Regular Season - 12, in the Süper Lig. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Göztepe 0.77 xG and Konyaspor 0.97 xG, a combined 1.73. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Konyaspor outscored their 0.97 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Göztepe attack 0.63 / defence 1.16 against Konyaspor attack 0.76 / defence 1.01, drawn from 11/11 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Göztepe 28% | Draw 33% | Konyaspor 39%, with Konyaspor to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 25%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 52% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 33% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Göztepe 54%, Konyaspor 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Göztepe's trading profile (11 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Konyaspor's trading profile (11 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Konyaspor arrived the stronger side — 1.82 PPG against 0.82. Form held, and they took the win. Göztepe (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.20 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Konyaspor (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.80 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.