FC Anyang 0-7 FC Seoul – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates FC Seoul at 46% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this FC Anyang vs FC Seoul encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
FC Seoul make the trip to Anyang Stadium to face FC Anyang in K League 1, Regular Season - 24. The match kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:30 UTC.
Current Form
FC Anyang's overall K League 1 record this term: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games (1.40 PPG). Last five: W W L L L. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.70 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for FC Anyang, so this record blends games from this season and last.
FC Anyang's form when playing at home: 1W 5D 4L across 10 games at Anyang Stadium this term (0.80 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 0.80 lags behind their overall 1.40 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at Anyang Stadium this season.
FC Seoul (all games): 6W 3D 1L across 10 K League 1 outings this term — 2.10 points per game. Last five: W L D D W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 0.80. Defensively, 0.80 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for FC Seoul, so this record blends games from this season and last.
FC Seoul's form when playing away from home: 6W 3D 1L across 10 road games this term (2.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
FC Seoul arrive in superior form — a 0.70 PPG advantage (2.10 vs 1.40) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — FC Anyang have seen both teams score in 80% of their games, FC Seoul in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Head-to-Head
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 5 head-to-head meetings have produced 1 wins for FC Anyang, 1 for FC Seoul and 3 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
The 5 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 5 May 2026, ended 0–0 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading & In-Play
FC Anyang — key trading statistics (61 games, 30 at home): they score before half-time in 63% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 54% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
FC Seoul — key trading statistics (61 games, 30 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 61% of the time; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Anyang 66% and FC Seoul 59% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (FC Anyang 51% | FC Seoul 52%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Anyang 0.92 xG and FC Seoul 1.44 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Anyang attack 1.046 / defence 1.092 | FC Seoul attack 0.983 / defence 0.772. League average goals — home 1.141 / away 1.337. FC Seoul's defence strength of 0.772 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 56 FC Anyang games / 56 FC Seoul games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: FC Anyang 21% | Draw 34% | FC Seoul 46%. Fair-value odds: FC Anyang 4.76 | Draw 2.94 | FC Seoul 2.17. FC Seoul hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (34%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 49% | Total xG 2.36. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.36 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 49% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is FC Seoul at 46% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 34% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on FC Seoul if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 2.36 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 42% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 49% on No. This conflicts with form data: FC Anyang 80% | FC Seoul 60% from recent games — a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Anyang vs FC Seoul | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 24 | Venue: Anyang Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 22 Aug 2026, 10:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Anyang 21% | Draw 34% | FC Seoul 46% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 49% | xG FC Anyang 0.92 / FC Seoul 1.44 • Poisson strength factors: FC Anyang attack 1.046 / def 1.092 | FC Seoul attack 0.983 / def 0.772 | league avg home 1.141 / away 1.337 • Poisson stance: FC Seoul (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.92
FC Anyang xG
Expected Goals
1.44
FC Seoul xG
49%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Anyang vs FC Seoul kick off?
FC Anyang vs FC Seoul kicked off at 10:30 on Saturday 22 August 2026 at Anyang Stadium.
What was the final score in FC Anyang vs FC Seoul?
FC Anyang 0 - 7 FC Seoul.
Where is FC Anyang vs FC Seoul being played?
The match is being played at Anyang Stadium.
What competition is FC Anyang vs FC Seoul part of?
FC Anyang vs FC Seoul is a Regular Season - 24 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win FC Anyang vs FC Seoul?
Our statistical model gives FC Anyang a 21% chance of winning, FC Seoul a 46% chance, and a 34% chance of a draw — making FC Seoul the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Anyang vs FC Seoul?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both FC Anyang and FC Seoul will score (BTTS).
Will FC Anyang vs FC Seoul have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Anyang and FC Seoul?
Record (5 meetings): FC Anyang 1W | Draws 3 | FC Seoul 1W.
What form are FC Anyang and FC Seoul in?
FC Anyang (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.70 | L5 W-W-L-L-L. FC Seoul (all comps): 6W-3D-1L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 0.80 | L5 W-L-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates FC Anyang's attack at 1.05x the league average against FC Seoul's defence at 0.77x — combine the two and it projects 0.92 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — FC Seoul's attack (0.98x) against FC Anyang's defence (1.09x) — and the away total comes out at 1.44.
These ratings are built from 56/56 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (12.0%), 0-0 (11.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Seoul Win
21%
4.82
34%
2.97
46%
2.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
0 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.92
FC Anyang xG
Total xG
2.36
1.44
FC Seoul xG
4.82
21%
Home win
2.97
34%
Draw
2.20
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.03
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
24%
4.20
40%
2.51
Win to Nil
5%
20.23
18%
5.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 13.6 | 9.8 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 12.5 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Anyang vs FC Seoul?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.2%.
How many goals are FC Anyang and FC Seoul expected to score?
The model projects 0.92 expected goals for FC Anyang and 1.44 for FC Seoul, a combined total of 2.36.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Anyang vs FC Seoul?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
FC Anyang come into this having played 61 games, going 21W 16D 24L for 1.30 points per game. Their last five reads W-W-L-L-L. The sample for FC Anyang is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, FC Seoul sit at 1.57 PPG from 61 outings (26W 18D 17L), a run that reads W-L-D-D-W across their last five. The sample for FC Seoul is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.30 PPG for FC Anyang against 1.57 for FC Seoul. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
FC Anyang's home form reads 10W 9D 11L across 30 games on their own ground, a 1.30 PPG return.
Away from home, FC Seoul have taken 1.63 points per game from 30 outings (13W 10D 7L).
Scoring & Defensive Trends
FC Anyang are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game recently; FC Seoul are on 1.46 scored and 1.16 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Anyang have seen both teams score in 66% of their recent games.
Last 61 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Anyang
Blended
FC Seoul
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are FC Anyang and FC Seoul in coming into this match?
FC Anyang have gone 21W 16D 24L in their last 61 games (1.30 PPG), while FC Seoul have gone 26W 18D 17L in their last 61 (1.57 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Anyang at home or FC Seoul away?
FC Seoul's away record (1.63 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Anyang at home: 1.30 PPG; FC Seoul away: 1.63 PPG.
Have FC Anyang or FC Seoul been keeping clean sheets recently?
FC Anyang have kept a clean sheet in 15% of their recent games, FC Seoul in 34%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 6 times since February 2025 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. The two were last together as recently as 22 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: FC Seoul won 0-7 on 22 Aug 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, FC Anyang have gone 0W 2D 1L from 3 meetings on their own ground against FC Seoul — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
1
FC Anyang
3
Draws
2
FC Seoul
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Anyang and FC Seoul?
From 6 meetings on record, FC Anyang have won 1, FC Seoul have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did FC Anyang and FC Seoul last play each other?
They last met on 22 August 2026, when FC Anyang 0-7 FC Seoul.
Who has won more matches between FC Anyang and FC Seoul?
FC Seoul have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
FC Anyang are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 63% of their matches.
FC Seoul see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — FC Anyang 67%, FC Seoul 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (FC Anyang) and 43% (FC Seoul).
On the defensive side: FC Seoul in 40%; FC Anyang have failed to score in 27% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Anyang home games / FC Seoul away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when FC Anyang play FC Seoul?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 67% of FC Anyang's games and 57% of FC Seoul's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is FC Anyang vs FC Seoul usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of FC Anyang's recent games and 43% of FC Seoul's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do FC Anyang and FC Seoul tend to score early?
FC Anyang have had a goal before half-time in 63% of their recent matches, FC Seoul in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant FC Seoul run riot with a 0-7 hammering of FC Anyang.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Seoul beat FC Anyang 0-7 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 24, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 0.92 xG and FC Seoul 1.44 xG, a combined 2.36. The scoreboard read 0-7 for 7 actual goals. FC Anyang fell 0.9 short of their projected output. FC Seoul outscored their 1.44 projection by 5.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 1.05 / defence 1.09 against FC Seoul attack 0.98 / defence 0.77, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 21% | Draw 34% | FC Seoul 46%, with FC Seoul to win its most likely call at 46%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 7, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 21% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Anyang 51%, FC Seoul 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Anyang's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.
FC Seoul's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — FC Anyang 1.30 PPG, FC Seoul 1.57 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Seoul win broke the near-deadlock. FC Anyang (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 7 against a 1.23 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Seoul (home/away splits) scored 7 against a 1.23 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.03 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.