Hannover 96 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Fortuna Düsseldorf at 35%, yet other data sources diverge — this Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf meet at HDI-Arena in 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 30. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 16 April 2022 at 12:30 UTC.
Current Form
Hannover 96's overall 2. Bundesliga record this term: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games (1.20 PPG). Last five: L L L D W. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home at HDI-Arena, Hannover 96 have gone 2W 5D 3L this season (10 games, 1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Fortuna Düsseldorf have collected 1.60 PPG across 10 2. Bundesliga outings this season: 4W 4D 2L. Last five: W D D D W. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 0.80. Defensively, 0.80 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
On the road, Fortuna Düsseldorf have gone 2W 4D 4L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.00 is notably below their overall 1.60 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.20 vs 1.60 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
H2H History
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Hannover 96 lead 0W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 1 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 6 Nov 2021, ended 1–1 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading & In-Play
Hannover 96 — key trading statistics (29 games, 14 at home): they score before half-time in 57% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; BTTS occurs in 36% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 36% of games (home games); they fail to score in 31% of games.
Fortuna Düsseldorf — key trading statistics (29 games, 14 at away): they score before half-time in 57% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 89% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Hannover 96 45% versus Fortuna Düsseldorf 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Hannover 96 52% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 48%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Hannover 96 0.97 xG and Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.08 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Hannover 96 attack 0.733 / defence 1.137 | Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 0.690 / defence 1.127. League average goals — home 1.174 / away 1.376. Hannover 96's attack strength of 0.733 is below the league average — the 0.97 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 29 Hannover 96 games / 29 Fortuna Düsseldorf games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Hannover 96 30% | Draw 35% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 35%. Fair-value odds: Hannover 96 3.33 | Draw 2.86 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.86. The draw (35%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 34% | BTTS probability 43% | Total xG 2.05. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 66% probability — total xG of 2.05 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 43% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 35% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 30% and away win at 35% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.05 combined xG gives a 34% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 43%. Form rates are neutral: Hannover 96 40% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 60%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 30 | Venue: HDI-Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 16 Apr 2022, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Hannover 96 30% | Draw 35% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 35% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 34% | BTTS 43% | xG Hannover 96 0.97 / Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.08 • Poisson strength factors: Hannover 96 attack 0.733 / def 1.137 | Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 0.690 / def 1.127 | league avg home 1.174 / away 1.376 • Poisson stance: Draw (35%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.97
Hannover 96 xG
Expected Goals
1.08
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
43%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
15%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf kick off?
Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf kicked off at 12:30 on Saturday 16 April 2022 at HDI-Arena.
What was the final score in Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Hannover 96 0 - 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where is Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf being played?
The match is being played at HDI-Arena.
What competition is Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf part of?
Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is a Regular Season - 30 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our statistical model gives Hannover 96 a 30% chance of winning, Fortuna Düsseldorf a 35% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our model estimates a 43% probability that both Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf will score (BTTS).
Will Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 34%.
What is the head-to-head record between Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Record (1 meetings): Hannover 96 0W | Draws 1 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 0W.
What form are Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf in?
Hannover 96 (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-L-D-W. Fortuna Düsseldorf (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 0.80 | L5 W-D-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Hannover 96's attack at 0.73x the league average against Fortuna Düsseldorf's defence at 1.13x — combine the two and it projects 0.97 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Fortuna Düsseldorf's attack (0.69x) against Hannover 96's defence (1.14x) — and the away total comes out at 1.08.
These ratings are built from 29/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 15.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (14.6%), 0-1 (12.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 42% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win
30%
3.38
35%
2.85
35%
2.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
0 – 0
12.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.97
Hannover 96 xG
Total xG
2.05
1.08
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
3.38
30%
Home win
2.85
35%
Draw
2.83
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.31
57%
BTTS No
1.77
Clean Sheet
34%
2.94
38%
2.64
Win to Nil
10%
9.94
13%
7.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.9 | 13.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.2%.
How many goals are Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected to score?
The model projects 0.97 expected goals for Hannover 96 and 1.08 for Fortuna Düsseldorf, a combined total of 2.05.
How confident is the prediction model for Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 29 outings, Hannover 96 have picked up 1.21 PPG on a 9W 8D 12L record — L-L-L-D-W across the most recent five.
Fortuna Düsseldorf's form line: 9W 9D 11L from 29 games, 1.24 PPG, last five W-D-D-D-W.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.21 PPG for Hannover 96 against 1.24 for Fortuna Düsseldorf. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Hannover 96 have posted 1.21 PPG from 14 outings (4W 5D 5L).
On the road, Fortuna Düsseldorf have gone 4W 4D 6L from 14 away games — 1.14 PPG when travelling.
Attack vs Defence
Hannover 96 are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game recently; Fortuna Düsseldorf are on 1.31 scored and 1.24 conceded.
Last 29 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Hannover 96
Current Season
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf in coming into this match?
Hannover 96 have gone 9W 8D 12L in their last 29 games (1.21 PPG), while Fortuna Düsseldorf have gone 9W 9D 11L in their last 29 (1.24 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Hannover 96 at home or Fortuna Düsseldorf away?
Hannover 96's home record (1.21 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Hannover 96 at home: 1.21 PPG; Fortuna Düsseldorf away: 1.14 PPG.
Have Hannover 96 or Fortuna Düsseldorf been keeping clean sheets recently?
Hannover 96 have kept a clean sheet in 34% of their recent games, Fortuna Düsseldorf in 17%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to November 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 24 January 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Notable Numbers
Hannover 96 have won the last 2 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Hannover 96 have gone 2W 3D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Fortuna Düsseldorf — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Hannover 96
6
Draws
1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
From 10 meetings on record, Hannover 96 have won 3, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 1, and 6 have been drawn.
When did Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf last play each other?
They last met on 24 January 2026, when Hannover 96 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Who has won more matches between Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Hannover 96 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Hannover 96 see a goal before the break in 57% of their matches.
Fortuna Düsseldorf see a goal before the break in 57% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Hannover 96 36%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 36% (Hannover 96) and 43% (Fortuna Düsseldorf).
On the defensive side: Hannover 96 keep a clean sheet in 43% of their matches; Hannover 96 have failed to score in 36% of games; Fortuna Düsseldorf in 36%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Hannover 96 home games / Fortuna Düsseldorf away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Hannover 96 play Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 36% of Hannover 96's recent matches and 50% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 36% of Hannover 96's recent games and 43% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Stalemate at Hannover 96's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at HDI-Arena, Regular Season - 30, as Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf drew 0-0 in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Hannover 96 0.97 xG and Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.08 xG, a combined 2.05. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Hannover 96 fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Fortuna Düsseldorf landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hannover 96 attack 0.73 / defence 1.14 against Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 0.69 / defence 1.13, drawn from 29/29 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Hannover 96 30% | Draw 35% | Fortuna Düsseldorf 35%, with Fortuna Düsseldorf to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 63% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hannover 96 52%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 48%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Hannover 96's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Fortuna Düsseldorf's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Hannover 96 1.21 PPG, Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.24 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Hannover 96 (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.21 average — tighter than their form line. Fortuna Düsseldorf (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.