Clermont Foot 0-0 Reims – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Reims at 35%, yet other data sources diverge — this Clermont Foot vs Reims fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Reims make the trip to Stade Gabriel Montpied to face Clermont Foot in Ligue 2, Regular Season - 1. The match kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:45 UTC.
Current Form
Clermont Foot's overall Ligue 2 record this term: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games (1.20 PPG). Last five: D L D W W. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Clermont Foot haven't played a Ligue 2 game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Clermont Foot have posted 3W 3D 4L at Stade Gabriel Montpied — 1.20 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Reims have collected 1.50 PPG across 10 Ligue 2 outings this season: 3W 6D 1L. Last five: D W D D W. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.20. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Reims haven't played a Ligue 2 game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
Reims away from home this season: 3W 6D 1L from 10 away games — 1.50 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.20 PPG for Clermont Foot against 1.50 for Reims. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 8 meetings: Clermont Foot 3W, Reims 4W, 1D.
The 8 previous meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 30 Jan 2026, ended 0–1 with Reims winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading
Clermont Foot half-time and goal-timing data (34 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 59% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; BTTS occurs in 65% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (home games).
Reims half-time and goal-timing data (34 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 36% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Clermont Foot 59% versus Reims 53%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Clermont Foot 47% | Reims 44%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Clermont Foot 1.18 xG and Reims 1.21 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Clermont Foot attack 0.938 / defence 0.950 | Reims attack 1.011 / defence 0.916. League average goals — home 1.370 / away 1.258. Data: 34 Clermont Foot games / 34 Reims games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Clermont Foot 34% | Draw 31% | Reims 35%. Fair-value odds: Clermont Foot 2.94 | Draw 3.23 | Reims 2.86. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 31% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.39. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.39 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Reims are the pick at 35% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 31% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Reims if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.39 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 43% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Clermont Foot 60% | Reims 50% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects. The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (34 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Clermont Foot vs Reims | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 1 | Venue: Stade Gabriel Montpied • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Aug 2026, 18:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Clermont Foot 34% | Draw 31% | Reims 35% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 50% | xG Clermont Foot 1.18 / Reims 1.21 • Poisson strength factors: Clermont Foot attack 0.938 / def 0.950 | Reims attack 1.011 / def 0.916 | league avg home 1.370 / away 1.258 • Poisson stance: Reims (35%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.18
Clermont Foot xG
Expected Goals
1.21
Reims xG
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Clermont Foot vs Reims kick off?
Clermont Foot vs Reims kicked off at 18:45 on Saturday 8 August 2026 at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
What was the final score in Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Clermont Foot 0 - 0 Reims.
Where is Clermont Foot vs Reims being played?
The match is being played at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
What competition is Clermont Foot vs Reims part of?
Clermont Foot vs Reims is a Regular Season - 1 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Our statistical model gives Clermont Foot a 34% chance of winning, Reims a 35% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Reims the favourite.
Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Clermont Foot and Reims will score (BTTS).
Will Clermont Foot vs Reims have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Reims?
Record (8 meetings): Clermont Foot 3W | Draws 1 | Reims 4W.
What form are Clermont Foot and Reims in?
No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data. Clermont Foot (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-L-D-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Clermont Foot's attacking strength (0.94x league average) is weighed against Reims's defensive record (0.92x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.18. Flip it around — Reims's attack (1.01x) against Clermont Foot's defence (0.95x) — and the away total comes out at 1.21.
These ratings are built from 34/34 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.8%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.9%), 0-1 (9.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Reims Win
34%
2.96
31%
3.24
35%
2.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.1%
Away win
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.18
Clermont Foot xG
Total xG
2.39
1.21
Reims xG
2.96
34%
Home win
3.24
31%
Draw
2.83
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
30%
3.35
31%
3.24
Win to Nil
10%
9.92
11%
9.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 11.1 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Clermont Foot and Reims expected to score?
The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Clermont Foot and 1.21 for Reims, a combined total of 2.39.
How confident is the prediction model for Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 34 outings, Clermont Foot have picked up 1.09 PPG on a 9W 10D 15L record — D-L-D-W-W across the most recent five. Clermont Foot haven't played enough this season for a current-season-only sample, so this includes results carried over from last season.
Reims's form line: 14W 14D 6L from 34 games, 1.65 PPG, last five D-W-D-D-W. Reims haven't played enough this season for a current-season-only sample, so this includes results carried over from last season.
Put side by side, Reims are the form team by 0.56 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Clermont Foot.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Clermont Foot have posted 1.24 PPG from 17 outings (5W 6D 6L).
On the road, Reims have gone 5W 9D 3L from 17 away games — 1.41 PPG when travelling.
Attack vs Defence
Clermont Foot are averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game recently; Reims are on 1.56 scored and 1.03 conceded.
Defensively: Reims in 44% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 34 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Clermont Foot
Pre-Season
Reims
Pre-Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Clermont Foot and Reims in coming into this match?
Clermont Foot have gone 9W 10D 15L in their last 34 games (1.09 PPG), while Reims have gone 14W 14D 6L in their last 34 (1.65 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Clermont Foot at home or Reims away?
Reims's away record (1.41 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Clermont Foot at home: 1.24 PPG; Reims away: 1.41 PPG.
Have Clermont Foot or Reims been keeping clean sheets recently?
Clermont Foot have kept a clean sheet in 18% of their recent games, Reims in 44%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 9 times that we have on record, stretching back to November 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. The pairing has crossed competitions too — Ligue 1, Ligue 2 all feature in the head-to-head log. The two were last together as recently as 8 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Clermont Foot won 4-1 on 28 Apr 2024, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Clermont Foot have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Reims — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
3
Clermont Foot
2
Draws
4
Reims
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Reims?
From 9 meetings on record, Clermont Foot have won 3, Reims have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Clermont Foot and Reims last play each other?
They last met on 8 August 2026, when Clermont Foot 0-0 Reims.
Who has won more matches between Clermont Foot and Reims?
Reims have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Clermont Foot see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Reims are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 18% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Clermont Foot 65%, Reims 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 41% (Clermont Foot) and 41% (Reims).
On the defensive side: Reims in 35%; Clermont Foot have failed to score in 29% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Clermont Foot home games / Reims away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Clermont Foot play Reims?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 65% of Clermont Foot's games and 59% of Reims's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Clermont Foot vs Reims usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 41% of Clermont Foot's recent games and 41% of Reims's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Clermont Foot and Reims tend to score early?
Clermont Foot have had a goal before half-time in 59% of their recent matches, Reims in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Clermont Foot's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Regular Season - 1, as Clermont Foot and Reims drew 0-0 in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Clermont Foot 1.18 xG and Reims 1.21 xG, a combined 2.39. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Clermont Foot fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Reims landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Clermont Foot attack 0.94 / defence 0.95 against Reims attack 1.01 / defence 0.92, drawn from 34/34 games (PrevSeason).
On the result, the model split it Clermont Foot 34% | Draw 31% | Reims 35%, with Reims to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Clermont Foot 47%, Reims 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Clermont Foot's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Reims's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Reims arrived the stronger side — 1.65 PPG against 1.09. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Clermont Foot (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.12 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.06 average — tighter than their form line. Reims (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.47 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.12 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.