Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont Foot – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Strasbourg at 39% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Clermont Foot make the trip to Stade de la Meinau to face Strasbourg in Ligue 1, Regular Season - 11. The match kicks off on Sunday 5 November 2023 at 14:00 UTC.
Current Form
Strasbourg's overall Ligue 1 record this term: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games (1.10 PPG). Last five: W L L L D. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Strasbourg, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Strasbourg at Stade de la Meinau this season: 5W 2D 3L from 10 home games — 1.70 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.10 — Strasbourg are significantly better at Stade de la Meinau than their overall form suggests.
Clermont Foot (all games): 2W 2D 6L across 10 Ligue 1 outings this term — 0.80 points per game. Last five: L L D W L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Clermont Foot, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Clermont Foot have gone 4W 2D 4L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 1.40 exceeds their overall 0.80 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.10 PPG for Strasbourg against 0.80 for Clermont Foot. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Strasbourg have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, Clermont Foot in 80%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Strasbourg lead 2W to 0W over the last 4 encounters, with 2 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 4 previous contests averaged 1.2 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 26 Feb 2023, ended 1–1 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 1.2 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading & In-Play
Strasbourg — key trading statistics (47 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 71% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 65% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Clermont Foot — key trading statistics (47 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 65% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (away games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Strasbourg 64% versus Clermont Foot 53%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Strasbourg 53% | Clermont Foot 47%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Strasbourg 1.47 xG and Clermont Foot 1.28 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Strasbourg attack 0.965 / defence 1.107 | Clermont Foot attack 1.076 / defence 1.061. League average goals — home 1.433 / away 1.074. Data: 48 Strasbourg games / 47 Clermont Foot games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Strasbourg 39% | Draw 30% | Clermont Foot 30%. Fair-value odds: Strasbourg 2.56 | Draw 3.33 | Clermont Foot 3.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 2.74. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.74 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Strasbourg are the pick at 39% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Strasbourg if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.74 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 52% — marginal — conflicting signals confidence, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 1.2 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 58% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Strasbourg 60% | Clermont Foot 80% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot | Competition: Ligue 1, Regular Season - 11 | Venue: Stade de la Meinau • Kick-off: Sunday 5 Nov 2023, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Strasbourg 39% | Draw 30% | Clermont Foot 30% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 58% | xG Strasbourg 1.47 / Clermont Foot 1.28 • Poisson strength factors: Strasbourg attack 0.965 / def 1.107 | Clermont Foot attack 1.076 / def 1.061 | league avg home 1.433 / away 1.074 • Poisson stance: Strasbourg (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.47
Strasbourg xG
Expected Goals
1.28
Clermont Foot xG
58%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot kick off?
Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot kicked off at 14:00 on Sunday 5 November 2023 at Stade de la Meinau.
What was the final score in Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Strasbourg 0 - 0 Clermont Foot.
Where is Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot being played?
The match is being played at Stade de la Meinau.
What competition is Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot part of?
Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot is a Regular Season - 11 fixture in the Ligue 1 (France).
Who is favourite to win Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Our statistical model gives Strasbourg a 39% chance of winning, Clermont Foot a 30% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Strasbourg the favourite.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both Strasbourg and Clermont Foot will score (BTTS).
Will Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Clermont Foot?
Record (4 meetings): Strasbourg 2W | Draws 2 | Clermont Foot 0W.
What form are Strasbourg and Clermont Foot in?
Strasbourg (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-L-L-L-D. Clermont Foot (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-L-D-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Strasbourg's attacking strength (0.96x league average) is weighed against Clermont Foot's defensive record (1.06x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.47. Flip it around — Clermont Foot's attack (1.08x) against Strasbourg's defence (1.11x) — and the away total comes out at 1.28.
These ratings are built from 48/47 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (8.8%), 0-0 (8.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Strasbourg Win
39%
2.56
30%
3.28
30%
3.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
Strasbourg xG
Total xG
2.74
1.28
Clermont Foot xG
2.56
39%
Home win
3.28
30%
Draw
3.28
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.38
Clean Sheet
28%
3.59
23%
4.33
Win to Nil
11%
9.19
7%
14.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are Strasbourg and Clermont Foot expected to score?
The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Strasbourg and 1.28 for Clermont Foot, a combined total of 2.74.
How confident is the prediction model for Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Strasbourg come into this having played 47 games, going 12W 15D 20L for 1.09 points per game. Their last five reads W-L-L-L-D. The sample for Strasbourg is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Clermont Foot sit at 1.36 PPG from 47 outings (18W 10D 19L), a run that reads L-L-D-W-L across their last five. The sample for Clermont Foot is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.09 PPG for Strasbourg against 1.36 for Clermont Foot. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
Strasbourg's home form reads 7W 8D 8L across 23 games on their own ground, a 1.26 PPG return.
Away from home, Clermont Foot have taken 1.43 points per game from 23 outings (9W 6D 8L).
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Strasbourg are averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game recently; Clermont Foot are on 1.11 scored and 1.34 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Strasbourg have seen both teams score in 64% of their recent games.
Last 47 Results — Ligue 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Strasbourg
Blended
Clermont Foot
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Strasbourg and Clermont Foot in coming into this match?
Strasbourg have gone 12W 15D 20L in their last 47 games (1.09 PPG), while Clermont Foot have gone 18W 10D 19L in their last 47 (1.36 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Strasbourg at home or Clermont Foot away?
Clermont Foot's away record (1.43 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Strasbourg at home: 1.26 PPG; Clermont Foot away: 1.43 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 6 times since January 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 28 January 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 4 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Strasbourg have gone 1W 2D 0L from 3 meetings on their own ground against Clermont Foot — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
2
Strasbourg
4
Draws
0
Clermont Foot
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Clermont Foot?
From 6 meetings on record, Strasbourg have won 2, Clermont Foot have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Strasbourg and Clermont Foot last play each other?
They last met on 28 January 2024, when Clermont Foot 1-1 Strasbourg.
Who has won more matches between Strasbourg and Clermont Foot?
Strasbourg have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Strasbourg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 13% of those situations.
Clermont Foot are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 65% for Strasbourg, 65% for Clermont Foot — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (Strasbourg) and 52% (Clermont Foot).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Strasbourg home games / Clermont Foot away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Strasbourg play Clermont Foot?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 65% of Strasbourg's games and 65% of Clermont Foot's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of Strasbourg's recent games and 52% of Clermont Foot's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Strasbourg and Clermont Foot tend to score early?
Strasbourg have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Clermont Foot in 74% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Strasbourg's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stade de la Meinau, Regular Season - 11, as Strasbourg and Clermont Foot drew 0-0 in the Ligue 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Strasbourg 1.47 xG and Clermont Foot 1.28 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Strasbourg fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Clermont Foot landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Strasbourg attack 0.96 / defence 1.11 against Clermont Foot attack 1.08 / defence 1.06, drawn from 48/47 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Strasbourg 39% | Draw 30% | Clermont Foot 30%, with Strasbourg to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 78% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Strasbourg 53%, Clermont Foot 47%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Strasbourg's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.
Clermont Foot's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Strasbourg 1.09 PPG, Clermont Foot 1.36 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Strasbourg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.35 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.30 average — tighter than their form line. Clermont Foot (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.30 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.