Patro Eisden 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Patro Eisden at 38%, yet other data sources diverge — this Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II meet at Patrostadion in Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 22. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 18 February 2024 at 12:30 UTC.
Form
Patro Eisden (all games): 5W 2D 3L across 10 Challenger Pro League fixtures this term — 1.70 PPG. Last five: L W D W D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for Patro Eisden, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Patrostadion, Patro Eisden have gone 6W 1D 3L this season (10 games, 1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
RSC Anderlecht II's overall Challenger Pro League record this term: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games (1.20 PPG). Last five: D L W D L. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for RSC Anderlecht II, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, RSC Anderlecht II have gone 6W 2D 2L from 10 away fixtures this term (2.00 PPG). Away from home they average 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 2.00 exceeds their overall 1.20 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
The form ledger tips toward Patro Eisden. A 0.50 PPG lead over RSC Anderlecht II (1.70 vs 1.20) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
H2H History
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Patro Eisden lead 1W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 4.0 per game across 1 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 16 Sep 2023, ended 3–1 with Patro Eisden winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading & In-Play
Patro Eisden — key trading statistics (21 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (home games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
RSC Anderlecht II — key trading statistics (21 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Patro Eisden 48% versus RSC Anderlecht II 62%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Patro Eisden 52% | RSC Anderlecht II 48%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Patro Eisden 1.42 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.37 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Patro Eisden attack 1.199 / defence 1.012 | RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.917 / defence 0.991. League average goals — home 1.191 / away 1.479. Data: 21 Patro Eisden games / 43 RSC Anderlecht II games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Patro Eisden 38% | Draw 25% | RSC Anderlecht II 36%. Fair-value odds: Patro Eisden 2.63 | Draw 4.00 | RSC Anderlecht II 2.78. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 53% | BTTS probability 57% | Total xG 2.79. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 53%/47% — the total xG of 2.79 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 57% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Patro Eisden are the pick at 38% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Patro Eisden if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.79 combined xG gives a 53% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 57%. Form rates corroborate: Patro Eisden 60% | RSC Anderlecht II 50% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II | Competition: Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Patrostadion • Kick-off: Sunday 18 Feb 2024, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Patro Eisden 38% | Draw 25% | RSC Anderlecht II 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 53% | BTTS 57% | xG Patro Eisden 1.42 / RSC Anderlecht II 1.37 • Poisson strength factors: Patro Eisden attack 1.199 / def 1.012 | RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.917 / def 0.991 | league avg home 1.191 / away 1.479 • Poisson stance: Patro Eisden (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.42
Patro Eisden xG
Expected Goals
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II xG
57%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II kick off?
Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II kicked off at 12:30 on Sunday 18 February 2024 at Patrostadion.
What was the final score in Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Patro Eisden 0 - 0 RSC Anderlecht II.
Where is Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II being played?
The match is being played at Patrostadion.
What competition is Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II part of?
Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our statistical model gives Patro Eisden a 38% chance of winning, RSC Anderlecht II a 36% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Patro Eisden the favourite.
Will both teams score in Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our model estimates a 57% probability that both Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II will score (BTTS).
Will Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 53%.
What is the head-to-head record between Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II?
Record (1 meetings): Patro Eisden 1W | Draws 0 | RSC Anderlecht II 0W.
What form are Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II in?
Patro Eisden (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 0.90 | L5 L-W-D-W-D. RSC Anderlecht II (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.40 | L5 D-L-W-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Patro Eisden's attack at 1.20x the league average against RSC Anderlecht II's defence at 0.99x — combine the two and it projects 1.42 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — RSC Anderlecht II's attack (0.92x) against Patro Eisden's defence (1.01x) — and the away total comes out at 1.37.
These ratings are built from 21/43 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Patro Eisden Win
38%
2.61
25%
3.95
36%
2.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
8.7%
Home win
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.42
Patro Eisden xG
Total xG
2.79
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II xG
2.61
38%
Home win
3.95
25%
Draw
2.75
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.77
43%
BTTS No
2.30
Clean Sheet
25%
3.95
24%
4.12
Win to Nil
10%
10.31
9%
11.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 12.0 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.5%.
How many goals are Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II expected to score?
The model projects 1.42 expected goals for Patro Eisden and 1.37 for RSC Anderlecht II, a combined total of 2.79.
How confident is the prediction model for Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Patro Eisden's recent record stands at 10W 6D 5L from 21 games, a 1.71 PPG return, with L-W-D-W-D in the last five. The sample for Patro Eisden is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
RSC Anderlecht II, meanwhile, have gone 7W 7D 7L across 21 games — 1.33 PPG, with D-L-W-D-L in their last five. The sample for RSC Anderlecht II is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.71 PPG for Patro Eisden against 1.33 for RSC Anderlecht II. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Patro Eisden have managed 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — 1.90 PPG in front of their own supporters.
RSC Anderlecht II's away record stands at 6W 2D 2L across 10 trips, a 2.00 PPG haul. That's actually stronger than their 1.33 PPG overall record — RSC Anderlecht II travel well.
Attack vs Defence
Patro Eisden are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game recently; RSC Anderlecht II are on 1.38 scored and 1.43 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: RSC Anderlecht II in 62%.
Last 21 Results — Challenger Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Patro Eisden
Blended
RSC Anderlecht II
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II in coming into this match?
Patro Eisden have gone 10W 6D 5L in their last 21 games (1.71 PPG), while RSC Anderlecht II have gone 7W 7D 7L in their last 21 (1.33 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Patro Eisden at home or RSC Anderlecht II away?
RSC Anderlecht II's away record (2.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Patro Eisden at home: 1.90 PPG; RSC Anderlecht II away: 2.00 PPG.
Have Patro Eisden or RSC Anderlecht II been keeping clean sheets recently?
Patro Eisden have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, RSC Anderlecht II in 24%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 6 times that we have on record, stretching back to September 2023 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Challenger Pro League. They last met on 7 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
The last 3 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Patro Eisden have gone 1W 2D 0L from 3 meetings on their own ground against RSC Anderlecht II — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
2
Patro Eisden
4
Draws
0
RSC Anderlecht II
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II?
From 6 meetings on record, Patro Eisden have won 2, RSC Anderlecht II have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II last play each other?
They last met on 7 March 2026, when RSC Anderlecht II 0-0 Patro Eisden.
Who has won more matches between Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II?
Patro Eisden have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Patro Eisden are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time.
RSC Anderlecht II are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Patro Eisden 60%, RSC Anderlecht II 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 70% (Patro Eisden) and 40% (RSC Anderlecht II). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 40% and 20% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Patro Eisden have failed to score in 30% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Patro Eisden home games / RSC Anderlecht II away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Patro Eisden play RSC Anderlecht II?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Patro Eisden's games and 50% of RSC Anderlecht II's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 70% of Patro Eisden's matches and 40% of RSC Anderlecht II's.
Do Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II tend to score early?
Patro Eisden have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, RSC Anderlecht II in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Patro Eisden's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Patro Eisden and RSC Anderlecht II finished level at 0-0 at Patrostadion, Regular Season - 22, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Patro Eisden 1.42 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.37 xG, a combined 2.79. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Patro Eisden fell 1.4 short of their projected output. RSC Anderlecht II landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Patro Eisden attack 1.20 / defence 1.01 against RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.92 / defence 0.99, drawn from 21/43 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Patro Eisden 38% | Draw 25% | RSC Anderlecht II 36%, with Patro Eisden to win its most likely call at 38%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Patro Eisden 52%, RSC Anderlecht II 48%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Patro Eisden's trading profile (21 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (21 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Patro Eisden 1.71 PPG, RSC Anderlecht II 1.33 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Patro Eisden (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.80 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.30 average — tighter than their form line. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.10 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.