WSG Wattens 0-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates WSG Wattens at 37%, yet other data sources diverge — this WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
WSG Wattens and SCR Altach meet at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 21 August 2021 at 16:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
WSG Wattens have collected 1.00 PPG across 4 Bundesliga outings this season: 0W 4D 0L. Last five: D D D D. They are averaging 1.25 goals per game and conceding 1.25 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SCR Altach (all games): 2W 0D 2L across 4 Bundesliga outings this term — 1.50 points per game. Last five: L W L W. Their scoring rate of 1.25 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Both teams have scored in 75% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SCR Altach arrive in superior form — a 0.50 PPG advantage (1.50 vs 1.00) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
The BTTS picture is exceptionally clear (using overall form) — WSG Wattens register both teams scoring in 100% of relevant games, SCR Altach in 75%. Both sides above 70% makes BTTS Yes one of the strongest standalone angles in this fixture.
Trading Data
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (4 games): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures; they lead at the break 50% of the time; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 100% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 25% of games.
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (4 games): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 75% of games.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — WSG Wattens 100% and SCR Altach 75% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 25% | SCR Altach 75%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 1.46 xG and SCR Altach 1.29 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.871 / defence 1.089 | SCR Altach attack 0.859 / defence 1.303. League average goals — home 1.288 / away 1.385. SCR Altach bring a strong defensive rating of 1.303 — this is suppressing WSG Wattens's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 4 WSG Wattens games / 4 SCR Altach games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 37% | Draw 33% | SCR Altach 30%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 2.70 | Draw 3.03 | SCR Altach 3.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 33% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 59% | Total xG 2.76. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.76 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 59% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is WSG Wattens at 37% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form SCR Altach (1.50 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. Draw probability of 33% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on WSG Wattens if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.76 combined xG gives a 52% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 59%. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 100% | SCR Altach 75% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (4 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 21 Aug 2021, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 37% | Draw 33% | SCR Altach 30% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 59% | xG WSG Wattens 1.46 / SCR Altach 1.29 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.871 / def 1.089 | SCR Altach attack 0.859 / def 1.303 | league avg home 1.288 / away 1.385 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (37%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.46
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
1.29
SCR Altach xG
59%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach kick off?
WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 21 August 2021 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
WSG Wattens 0 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach part of?
WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 5 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 37% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 30% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both WSG Wattens and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and SCR Altach?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are WSG Wattens and SCR Altach in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 0W-4D-0L in 4 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.25 / GA 1.25 | L5 D-D-D-D. SCR Altach (all comps): 2W-0D-2L in 4 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.25 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (0.87) and SCR Altach's defence rating (1.30), the model arrives at 1.46 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — SCR Altach's attack (0.86x) against WSG Wattens's defence (1.09x) — and the away total comes out at 1.29.
The sample (4/4 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (8.8%), 0-0 (7.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
37%
2.67
33%
3.07
30%
3.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.3%
Home win
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.46
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
2.76
1.29
SCR Altach xG
2.67
37%
Home win
3.07
33%
Draw
3.35
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.68
41%
BTTS No
2.46
Clean Sheet
27%
3.65
23%
4.31
Win to Nil
10%
9.74
7%
14.43
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 12.0 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.46 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 1.29 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.76.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
WSG Wattens's recent record stands at 0W 4D 0L from 4 games, a 1.00 PPG return, with D-D-D-D in the last five. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
SCR Altach, meanwhile, have gone 2W 0D 2L across 4 games — 1.50 PPG, with L-W-L-W in their last five. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours SCR Altach by 0.50 — a real, if not enormous, edge over WSG Wattens heading into this one.
Attack vs Defence
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: WSG Wattens have seen both teams score in 100% of their recent games; SCR Altach in 75%.
Last 4 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Early Season
SCR Altach
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 0W 4D 0L in their last 4 games (1.00 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 2W 0D 2L in their last 4 (1.50 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to May 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 7 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won 3-0 on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, WSG Wattens have gone 2W 1D 2L from 5 meetings on their own ground against SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
4
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 3, SCR Altach have won 4, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 7 August 2026, when SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and SCR Altach?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 50% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 100% for WSG Wattens, 75% for SCR Altach — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 25% (WSG Wattens) and 75% (SCR Altach).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play SCR Altach?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 100% of WSG Wattens's games and 75% of SCR Altach's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is WSG Wattens vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 25% of WSG Wattens's recent games and 75% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do WSG Wattens and SCR Altach tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at WSG Wattens's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 5, as WSG Wattens and SCR Altach drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.46 xG and SCR Altach 1.29 xG, a combined 2.76. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 1.5 short of their projected output. SCR Altach landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.87 / defence 1.09 against SCR Altach attack 0.86 / defence 1.30, drawn from 4/4 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 37% | Draw 33% | SCR Altach 30%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 25%, SCR Altach 75%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 88%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 100% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 75% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, SCR Altach arrived the stronger side — 1.50 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. WSG Wattens managed 0 against a 1.25 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach managed 0 against a 1.25 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.