Emirates Club 0-1 Al-Wasl FC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Al-Wasl FC at 48% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC meet at Emirates Club Stadium in Pro League, Regular Season - 8. This fixture gets under way on Friday 29 October 2021 at 15:15 UTC.
Form
Emirates Club (all games): 0W 1D 6L across 7 Pro League fixtures this term — 0.14 PPG. Last five: D L L L L. They are averaging 0.71 goals per game and conceding 2.43 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.43 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Emirates Club have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Emirates Club's form when playing at home: 0W 1D 2L across 3 games at Emirates Club Stadium this term (0.33 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game.
Al-Wasl FC's overall Pro League record this term: 2W 3D 2L from 7 games (1.29 PPG). Last five: L D D W L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.14 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 7 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Al-Wasl FC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Al-Wasl FC's form when playing away from home: 1W 1D 1L across 3 road games this term (1.33 PPG). Away from home they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Al-Wasl FC are 1.15 PPG clear of Emirates Club in recent Pro League fixtures (1.29 vs 0.14). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
Trading & In-Play
Emirates Club — key trading statistics (7 games, 3 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games; Over 3.5 in 43%; they fail to score in 43% of games.
Al-Wasl FC — key trading statistics (7 games, 3 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 14% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Emirates Club 57% versus Al-Wasl FC 57%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Emirates Club 57% | Al-Wasl FC 14%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Emirates Club 0.95 xG and Al-Wasl FC 1.52 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Emirates Club attack 0.717 / defence 1.362 | Al-Wasl FC attack 0.861 / defence 1.229. League average goals — home 1.084 / away 1.299. Emirates Club's attack strength of 0.717 is below the league average — the 0.95 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Al-Wasl FC bring a strong defensive rating of 1.229 — this is suppressing Emirates Club's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 7 Emirates Club games / 7 Al-Wasl FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Emirates Club 21% | Draw 30% | Al-Wasl FC 48%. Fair-value odds: Emirates Club 4.76 | Draw 3.33 | Al-Wasl FC 2.08. Al-Wasl FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 48% — the draw (30%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.48. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.48 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Al-Wasl FC as the most likely outcome at 48% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Al-Wasl FC if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.48 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 45% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Emirates Club 33% | Al-Wasl FC 67%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 8 | Venue: Emirates Club Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 29 Oct 2021, 15:15 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Emirates Club 21% | Draw 30% | Al-Wasl FC 48% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% | BTTS 50% | xG Emirates Club 0.95 / Al-Wasl FC 1.52 • Poisson strength factors: Emirates Club attack 0.717 / def 1.362 | Al-Wasl FC attack 0.861 / def 1.229 | league avg home 1.084 / away 1.299 • Poisson stance: Al-Wasl FC (48%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.95
Emirates Club xG
Expected Goals
1.52
Al-Wasl FC xG
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC kick off?
Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC kicked off at 15:15 on Friday 29 October 2021 at Emirates Club Stadium.
What was the final score in Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC?
Emirates Club 0 - 1 Al-Wasl FC.
Where is Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC being played?
The match is being played at Emirates Club Stadium.
What competition is Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC part of?
Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC is a Regular Season - 8 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC?
Our statistical model gives Emirates Club a 21% chance of winning, Al-Wasl FC a 48% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Al-Wasl FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC will score (BTTS).
Will Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%.
What is the head-to-head record between Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC in?
Emirates Club (all comps): 0W-1D-6L in 7 | 0.14 PPG | GF 0.71 / GA 2.43 | L5 D-L-L-L-L. Al-Wasl FC (all comps): 2W-3D-2L in 7 | 1.29 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.14 | L5 L-D-D-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Emirates Club's attack at 0.72x the league average against Al-Wasl FC's defence at 1.23x — combine the two and it projects 0.95 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Al-Wasl FC's attack (0.86x) against Emirates Club's defence (1.36x) — and the away total comes out at 1.52.
These ratings are built from 7/7 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (11.2%), 0-0 (10.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Wasl FC Win
21%
4.68
30%
3.28
48%
2.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
0 – 2
9.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Emirates Club xG
Total xG
2.48
1.52
Al-Wasl FC xG
4.68
21%
Home win
3.28
30%
Draw
2.08
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.98
50%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
22%
4.59
38%
2.60
Win to Nil
5%
21.45
19%
5.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 12.8 | 9.7 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.8%.
How many goals are Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC expected to score?
The model projects 0.95 expected goals for Emirates Club and 1.52 for Al-Wasl FC, a combined total of 2.48.
How confident is the prediction model for Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 48%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 7 outings, Emirates Club have picked up 0.14 PPG on a 0W 1D 6L record — D-L-L-L-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Emirates Club, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Al-Wasl FC's form line: 2W 3D 2L from 7 games, 1.29 PPG, last five L-D-D-W-L. It's still early in the season for Al-Wasl FC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Al-Wasl FC are the form team by 1.15 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Emirates Club.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Emirates Club have posted 0.33 PPG from 3 outings (0W 1D 2L).
On the road, Al-Wasl FC have gone 1W 1D 1L from 3 away games — 1.33 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Al-Wasl FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Emirates Club are averaging 0.71 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game recently; Al-Wasl FC are on 1.00 scored and 1.14 conceded.
Last 7 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Emirates Club
Early Season
Al-Wasl FC
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC in coming into this match?
Emirates Club have gone 0W 1D 6L in their last 7 games (0.14 PPG), while Al-Wasl FC have gone 2W 3D 2L in their last 7 (1.29 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Emirates Club at home or Al-Wasl FC away?
Al-Wasl FC's away record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Emirates Club at home: 0.33 PPG; Al-Wasl FC away: 1.33 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 4 times that we have on record, stretching back to October 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 24 February 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Notable Numbers
Al-Wasl FC have won the last 4 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Al-Wasl FC won 3-0 on 23 Apr 2022, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Emirates Club have gone 0W 0D 2L from 2 meetings on their own ground against Al-Wasl FC — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 4 Meetings
0
Emirates Club
0
Draws
4
Al-Wasl FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC?
From 4 meetings on record, Emirates Club have won 0, Al-Wasl FC have won 4, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC last play each other?
They last met on 24 February 2024, when Emirates Club 0-2 Al-Wasl FC.
Who has won more matches between Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC?
Al-Wasl FC have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Emirates Club see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
Al-Wasl FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Emirates Club 33%, Al-Wasl FC 67% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 33% for Emirates Club and 33% for Al-Wasl FC.
On the defensive side: Al-Wasl FC in 33%; Emirates Club have failed to score in 67% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Emirates Club home games / Al-Wasl FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Emirates Club play Al-Wasl FC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 33% of Emirates Club's recent matches and 67% of Al-Wasl FC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Emirates Club vs Al-Wasl FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 33% of Emirates Club's recent games and 33% of Al-Wasl FC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Emirates Club and Al-Wasl FC tend to score early?
Emirates Club have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Al-Wasl FC in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Al-Wasl FC edge out Emirates Club 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Al-Wasl FC beat Emirates Club 0-1 at Emirates Club Stadium, Regular Season - 8, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Emirates Club 0.95 xG and Al-Wasl FC 1.52 xG, a combined 2.48. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Emirates Club fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Emirates Club attack 0.72 / defence 1.36 against Al-Wasl FC attack 0.86 / defence 1.23, drawn from 7/7 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Emirates Club 21% | Draw 30% | Al-Wasl FC 48%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 36% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Emirates Club 57%, Al-Wasl FC 14%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Emirates Club's trading profile (7 games, 3 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 43% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (7 games, 3 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 1.29 PPG against 0.14. Form held, and they took the win. Emirates Club (home/away splits) conceded 1 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.