Al-Wasl FC 3-0 Hatta SC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Al-Wasl FC at 73% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Al-Wasl FC host Hatta SC at Zabeel Stadium in Pro League, Regular Season - 19. Kick-off is scheduled for Monday 15 April 2024 at 15:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Al-Wasl FC stand at 9W 1D 0L from 10 Pro League matches — 2.80 PPG. Last five: W W W W W. They are averaging 2.40 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. Defensively, conceding just 0.60 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. This season is still relatively young for Al-Wasl FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Zabeel Stadium, Al-Wasl FC have gone 8W 1D 1L this season (10 games, 2.50 PPG). They are averaging 2.20 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Hatta SC — All Games: 0W 2D 8L from 10 Pro League fixtures this season — 0.20 PPG. Last five: L L L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.70 per game is modest, conceding 2.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.40 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Hatta SC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Hatta SC away from home this season: 1W 1D 6L from 8 away games — 0.50 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.38 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 75% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
On current form, Al-Wasl FC have the edge — a 2.60 PPG advantage (2.80 vs 0.20) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Al-Wasl FC register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, Hatta SC in 75% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, Al-Wasl FC have won 1, Hatta SC 0, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 1 meetings have averaged 5.0 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 27 Oct 2023, ended 5–0 with Al-Wasl FC winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 5.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Al-Wasl FC in-play tendencies (17 games, 8 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; they lead at the break 59% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 53%.
Hatta SC in-play tendencies (17 games, 8 at away): they score before half-time in 88% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 41%; they fail to score in 53% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Al-Wasl FC 65% versus Hatta SC 47%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Al-Wasl FC 71% | Hatta SC 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Al-Wasl FC 2.56 xG and Hatta SC 0.89 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Al-Wasl FC attack 1.231 / defence 0.609 | Hatta SC attack 0.797 / defence 1.342. League average goals — home 1.550 / away 1.828. Hatta SC bring a strong defensive rating of 1.342 — this is suppressing Al-Wasl FC's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Al-Wasl FC's defence rating of 0.609 is below average — the home backline is amplifying the visitor's projected output. Data: 44 Al-Wasl FC games / 17 Hatta SC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Al-Wasl FC 73% | Draw 16% | Hatta SC 11%. Fair-value odds: Al-Wasl FC 1.37 | Draw 6.25 | Hatta SC 9.09. The model has a clear lean to Al-Wasl FC (73%) — a 62pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 67% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 3.45. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 67% — a total xG of 3.45 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Al-Wasl FC as the most likely outcome at 73% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support.
Poisson projects 3.45 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 67% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.3 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 54%. Form rates corroborate: Al-Wasl FC 60% | Hatta SC 75% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 19 | Venue: Zabeel Stadium • Kick-off: Monday 15 Apr 2024, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Al-Wasl FC 73% | Draw 16% | Hatta SC 11% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 67% | BTTS 54% | xG Al-Wasl FC 2.56 / Hatta SC 0.89 • Poisson strength factors: Al-Wasl FC attack 1.231 / def 0.609 | Hatta SC attack 0.797 / def 1.342 | league avg home 1.550 / away 1.828 • Poisson stance: Al-Wasl FC (73%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.56
Al-Wasl FC xG
Expected Goals
0.89
Hatta SC xG
54%
BTTS
86%
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC kick off?
Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC kicked off at 15:00 on Monday 15 April 2024 at Zabeel Stadium.
What was the final score in Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC?
Al-Wasl FC 3 - 0 Hatta SC.
Where is Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC being played?
The match is being played at Zabeel Stadium.
What competition is Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC part of?
Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC is a Regular Season - 19 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC?
Our statistical model gives Al-Wasl FC a 73% chance of winning, Hatta SC a 11% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw — making Al-Wasl FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC will score (BTTS).
Will Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 67%.
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC?
Record (1 meetings): Al-Wasl FC 1W | Draws 0 | Hatta SC 0W.
What form are Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC in?
Al-Wasl FC (all comps): 9W-1D-0L in 10 | 2.80 PPG | GF 2.40 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-W-W-W-W. Hatta SC (all comps): 0W-2D-8L in 10 | 0.20 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 2.40 | L5 L-L-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Al-Wasl FC's attack at 1.23x the league average against Hatta SC's defence at 1.34x — combine the two and it projects 2.56 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Hatta SC's attack versus Al-Wasl FC's defence, projects 0.89 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 44/17 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 2-0 carries the highest individual probability at 10.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.3%), 3-0 (8.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Wasl FC Win
73%
1.36
16%
6.28
11%
9.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
3 – 0
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.56
Al-Wasl FC xG
Total xG
3.45
0.89
Hatta SC xG
1.36
73%
Home win
6.28
16%
Draw
9.35
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.84
46%
BTTS No
2.19
Clean Sheet
41%
2.43
8%
12.94
Win to Nil
30%
3.31
1%
120.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 8.2 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 8.9 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.4%.
How many goals are Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC expected to score?
The model projects 2.56 expected goals for Al-Wasl FC and 0.89 for Hatta SC, a combined total of 3.45.
How confident is the prediction model for Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 73%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Al-Wasl FC's recent record stands at 14W 3D 0L from 17 games, a 2.65 PPG return, with W-W-W-W-W in the last five. The sample for Al-Wasl FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Hatta SC, meanwhile, have gone 1W 2D 14L across 17 games — 0.29 PPG, with L-L-L-L-L in their last five. The sample for Hatta SC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Al-Wasl FC by 2.36 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Hatta SC heading into this one.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Al-Wasl FC have managed 7W 1D 0L from 8 games — 2.75 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Hatta SC's away record stands at 1W 1D 6L across 8 trips, a 0.50 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Al-Wasl FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Al-Wasl FC are averaging 2.71 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game recently; Hatta SC are on 0.76 scored and 2.41 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Al-Wasl FC have seen both teams score in 65% of their recent games.
Defensively: Al-Wasl FC have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 17 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Al-Wasl FC
Blended
Hatta SC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC in coming into this match?
Al-Wasl FC have gone 14W 3D 0L in their last 17 games (2.65 PPG), while Hatta SC have gone 1W 2D 14L in their last 17 (0.29 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Al-Wasl FC at home or Hatta SC away?
Al-Wasl FC's home record (2.75 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Al-Wasl FC at home: 2.75 PPG; Hatta SC away: 0.50 PPG.
Have Al-Wasl FC or Hatta SC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Al-Wasl FC have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their recent games, Hatta SC in 6%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC runs to 2 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 15 April 2024, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
2
Al-Wasl FC
0
Draws
0
Hatta SC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC?
From 2 meetings on record, Al-Wasl FC have won 2, Hatta SC have won 0, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC last play each other?
They last met on 15 April 2024, when Al-Wasl FC 3-0 Hatta SC.
Who has won more matches between Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC?
Al-Wasl FC have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 2 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Al-Wasl FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 38% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Hatta SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 88% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Al-Wasl FC at 62%, Hatta SC at 75%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 62% for Al-Wasl FC and 62% for Hatta SC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 38% and 38% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Al-Wasl FC keep a clean sheet in 38% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Al-Wasl FC home games / Hatta SC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Al-Wasl FC play Hatta SC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 62% of Al-Wasl FC's games and 75% of Hatta SC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 62% of Al-Wasl FC's matches and 62% of Hatta SC's.
Do Al-Wasl FC and Hatta SC tend to score early?
Al-Wasl FC have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Hatta SC in 88% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Al-Wasl FC run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Hatta SC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Al-Wasl FC beat Hatta SC 3-0 at Zabeel Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Wasl FC 2.56 xG and Hatta SC 0.89 xG, a combined 3.45. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Hatta SC landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Wasl FC attack 1.23 / defence 0.61 against Hatta SC attack 0.80 / defence 1.34, drawn from 44/17 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Al-Wasl FC 73% | Draw 16% | Hatta SC 11%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 73%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 45% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Wasl FC 71%, Hatta SC 59%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (17 games, 8 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.
Hatta SC's trading profile (17 games, 8 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 53% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 2.65 PPG against 0.29. That form edge translated into the three points. Hatta SC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.38 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 2.12 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.