Al Bataeh 0-0 Sharjah FC – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Sharjah FC at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium plays host to Al Bataeh versus Sharjah FC in Pro League, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off: Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:25 UTC.
Form
Al Bataeh (all games): 1W 5D 4L across 10 Pro League fixtures this term — 0.80 PPG. Last five: D D D L L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Al Bataeh, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Al Bataeh's home record at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium: 1W 3D 6L from 10 Pro League appearances (0.60 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game.
Sharjah FC have collected 0.80 PPG across 10 Pro League outings this season: 2W 2D 6L. Last five: D W D L L. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 2.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.60 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Sharjah FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Sharjah FC's away record: 2W 3D 5L from 10 road trips in Pro League this season (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.80 PPG for Al Bataeh against 0.80 for Sharjah FC. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Al Bataeh lead 2W to 3W over the last 7 encounters, with 2 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
The 7 previous meetings have averaged 2.7 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 14 Jan 2026, ended 2–0 with Al Bataeh winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Data
Al Bataeh goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (50 games, 25 at home): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 92% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Sharjah FC goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (50 games, 25 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Al Bataeh 60% versus Sharjah FC 48%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Al Bataeh 50% | Sharjah FC 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Al Bataeh 1.26 xG and Sharjah FC 1.48 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Al Bataeh attack 0.734 / defence 1.032 | Sharjah FC attack 0.971 / defence 1.184. League average goals — home 1.447 / away 1.479. Al Bataeh's attack strength of 0.734 is below the league average — the 1.26 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 50 Al Bataeh games / 50 Sharjah FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Al Bataeh 31% | Draw 27% | Sharjah FC 42%. Fair-value odds: Al Bataeh 3.23 | Draw 3.70 | Sharjah FC 2.38. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.74. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.74 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Sharjah FC as the most likely outcome at 42% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Sharjah FC if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.74 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 52% — strong confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game and H2H averaging 2.7 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 56% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Al Bataeh 50% | Sharjah FC 60% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 25 | Venue: Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 10 May 2026, 16:25 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Al Bataeh 31% | Draw 27% | Sharjah FC 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 56% | xG Al Bataeh 1.26 / Sharjah FC 1.48 • Poisson strength factors: Al Bataeh attack 0.734 / def 1.032 | Sharjah FC attack 0.971 / def 1.184 | league avg home 1.447 / away 1.479 • Poisson stance: Sharjah FC (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.26
Al Bataeh xG
Expected Goals
1.48
Sharjah FC xG
56%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC kick off?
Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC kicked off at 16:25 on Sunday 10 May 2026 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium.
What was the final score in Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC?
Al Bataeh 0 - 0 Sharjah FC.
Where is Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC being played?
The match is being played at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium.
What competition is Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC part of?
Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC is a Regular Season - 25 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC?
Our statistical model gives Al Bataeh a 31% chance of winning, Sharjah FC a 42% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Sharjah FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC will score (BTTS).
Will Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC?
Record (7 meetings): Al Bataeh 2W | Draws 2 | Sharjah FC 3W.
What form are Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC in?
Al Bataeh (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-D-D-L-L. Sharjah FC (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 2.60 | L5 D-W-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Al Bataeh's attack at 0.73x the league average against Sharjah FC's defence at 1.18x — combine the two and it projects 1.26 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Sharjah FC's attack (0.97x) against Al Bataeh's defence (1.03x) — and the away total comes out at 1.48.
These ratings are built from 50/50 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.6% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.9%), 0-0 (8.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sharjah FC Win
31%
3.19
27%
3.71
42%
2.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
9.6%
Away win
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Al Bataeh xG
Total xG
2.74
1.48
Sharjah FC xG
3.19
31%
Home win
3.71
27%
Draw
2.40
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.78
44%
BTTS No
2.28
Clean Sheet
23%
4.40
28%
3.51
Win to Nil
7%
14.01
12%
8.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 9.6 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 12.0 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC expected to score?
The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Al Bataeh and 1.48 for Sharjah FC, a combined total of 2.74.
How confident is the prediction model for Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Al Bataeh's recent record stands at 11W 13D 26L from 50 games, a 0.92 PPG return, with D-D-D-L-L in the last five. The sample for Al Bataeh is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Sharjah FC, meanwhile, have gone 23W 7D 20L across 50 games — 1.52 PPG, with D-W-D-L-L in their last five. The sample for Sharjah FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Sharjah FC by 0.60 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Al Bataeh heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Al Bataeh have managed 4W 7D 14L from 25 games — 0.76 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Sharjah FC's away record stands at 10W 6D 9L across 25 trips, a 1.44 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sharjah FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Al Bataeh are averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game recently; Sharjah FC are on 1.52 scored and 1.36 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Al Bataeh have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games.
Last 50 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Al Bataeh
Blended
Sharjah FC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC in coming into this match?
Al Bataeh have gone 11W 13D 26L in their last 50 games (0.92 PPG), while Sharjah FC have gone 23W 7D 20L in their last 50 (1.52 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Al Bataeh at home or Sharjah FC away?
Sharjah FC's away record (1.44 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Al Bataeh at home: 0.76 PPG; Sharjah FC away: 1.44 PPG.
Have Al Bataeh or Sharjah FC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Al Bataeh have kept a clean sheet in 16% of their recent games, Sharjah FC in 30%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since October 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 10 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Sharjah FC won 3-0 on 18 Mar 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Al Bataeh have gone 0W 2D 2L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Sharjah FC — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Al Bataeh
3
Draws
3
Sharjah FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC?
From 8 meetings on record, Al Bataeh have won 2, Sharjah FC have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2026, when Al Bataeh 0-0 Sharjah FC.
Who has won more matches between Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC?
Sharjah FC have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Al Bataeh are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches.
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 16% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Al Bataeh 56%, Sharjah FC 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (Al Bataeh) and 56% (Sharjah FC).
On the defensive side: Al Bataeh have failed to score in 32% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Al Bataeh home games / Sharjah FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Al Bataeh play Sharjah FC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 56% of Al Bataeh's games and 60% of Sharjah FC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Al Bataeh vs Sharjah FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of Al Bataeh's recent games and 56% of Sharjah FC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC tend to score early?
Al Bataeh have had a goal before half-time in 76% of their recent matches, Sharjah FC in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Al Bataeh's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC finished level at 0-0 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium, Regular Season - 25, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Bataeh 1.26 xG and Sharjah FC 1.48 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al Bataeh fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Sharjah FC landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Bataeh attack 0.73 / defence 1.03 against Sharjah FC attack 0.97 / defence 1.18, drawn from 50/50 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Al Bataeh 31% | Draw 27% | Sharjah FC 42%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Bataeh 50%, Sharjah FC 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Al Bataeh's trading profile (50 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Sharjah FC's trading profile (50 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.52 PPG against 0.92. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.88 average — tighter than their form line. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.56 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.44 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.