Obolon'-Brovar 0-0 Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Ruh Lviv at 49% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Ruh Lviv make the trip to Obolon Arena to face Obolon'-Brovar in Premier League, Regular Season - 28. The match kicks off on Saturday 11 May 2024 at 13:30 UTC.
Current Form
Obolon'-Brovar's overall Premier League record this term: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games (1.00 PPG). Last five: D D D D W. They are averaging 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for Obolon'-Brovar, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Obolon Arena, Obolon'-Brovar have gone 3W 3D 4L this season (10 games, 1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Ruh Lviv (all games): 5W 4D 1L across 10 Premier League outings this term — 1.90 points per game. Last five: L D D W D. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.00. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Ruh Lviv's away record: 4W 4D 2L from 10 road trips in Premier League this season (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Ruh Lviv are 0.90 PPG clear of Obolon'-Brovar in recent Premier League fixtures (1.90 vs 1.00). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Obolon'-Brovar lead 0W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 1 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 4.0 goals per game across 1 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 6 Nov 2023, ended 2–2 with a draw.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading
Obolon'-Brovar half-time and goal-timing data (27 games, 13 at home): they score before half-time in 54% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 31% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 23% of games (home games); they fail to score in 56% of games.
Ruh Lviv half-time and goal-timing data (27 games, 13 at away): they score before half-time in 85% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 69% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Obolon'-Brovar 30% versus Ruh Lviv 67%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Obolon'-Brovar 30% | Ruh Lviv 41%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Obolon'-Brovar 0.88 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.40 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.701 / defence 0.985 | Ruh Lviv attack 1.159 / defence 1.012. League average goals — home 1.233 / away 1.222. Obolon'-Brovar's attack strength of 0.701 is below the league average — the 0.88 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 27 Obolon'-Brovar games / 57 Ruh Lviv games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Obolon'-Brovar 23% | Draw 28% | Ruh Lviv 49%. Fair-value odds: Obolon'-Brovar 4.35 | Draw 3.57 | Ruh Lviv 2.04. Ruh Lviv hold a narrow Poisson edge at 49% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 44% | Total xG 2.27. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.27 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 44% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Ruh Lviv at 49% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.27 combined xG gives a 40% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 44%. Form rates corroborate: Obolon'-Brovar 30% | Ruh Lviv 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 28 | Venue: Obolon Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 11 May 2024, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Obolon'-Brovar 23% | Draw 28% | Ruh Lviv 49% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 44% | xG Obolon'-Brovar 0.88 / Ruh Lviv 1.40 • Poisson strength factors: Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.701 / def 0.985 | Ruh Lviv attack 1.159 / def 1.012 | league avg home 1.233 / away 1.222 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (49%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.88
Obolon'-Brovar xG
Expected Goals
1.40
Ruh Lviv xG
44%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 13:30 on Saturday 11 May 2024 at Obolon Arena.
What was the final score in Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv?
Obolon'-Brovar 0 - 0 Ruh Lviv.
Where is Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Obolon Arena.
What competition is Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv is a Regular Season - 28 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Obolon'-Brovar a 23% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 49% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 44% probability that both Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv will score (BTTS).
Will Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv?
Record (1 meetings): Obolon'-Brovar 0W | Draws 1 | Ruh Lviv 0W.
What form are Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv in?
Obolon'-Brovar (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-D-D-D-W. Ruh Lviv (all comps): 5W-4D-1L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-D-D-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Obolon'-Brovar's attacking strength (0.70x league average) is weighed against Ruh Lviv's defensive record (1.01x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.88. Flip it around — Ruh Lviv's attack (1.16x) against Obolon'-Brovar's defence (0.98x) — and the away total comes out at 1.40.
These ratings are built from 27/57 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.2%. Close behind: 0-1 (12.8%), 0-0 (12.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
23%
4.29
28%
3.59
49%
2.05
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.4%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
10.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.88
Obolon'-Brovar xG
Total xG
2.27
1.40
Ruh Lviv xG
4.29
23%
Home win
3.59
28%
Draw
2.05
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
25%
4.03
42%
2.40
Win to Nil
6%
17.30
20%
4.91
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3 | 14.4 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.6 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.2%.
How many goals are Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 0.88 expected goals for Obolon'-Brovar and 1.40 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 2.27.
How confident is the prediction model for Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Obolon'-Brovar come into this having played 27 games, going 5W 10D 12L for 0.93 points per game. Their last five reads D-D-D-D-W. The sample for Obolon'-Brovar is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Ruh Lviv sit at 1.67 PPG from 27 outings (11W 12D 4L), a run that reads L-D-D-W-D across their last five. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Ruh Lviv carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.74 PPG clear of Obolon'-Brovar — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home & Away Splits
Obolon'-Brovar's home form reads 3W 5D 5L across 13 games on their own ground, a 1.08 PPG return.
Away from home, Ruh Lviv have taken 1.69 points per game from 13 outings (6W 4D 3L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Ruh Lviv come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Obolon'-Brovar are averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 1.52 scored and 1.07 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Obolon'-Brovar have seen both teams score in 30% of their recent games; Ruh Lviv in 67%.
Last 27 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Obolon'-Brovar
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Obolon'-Brovar have gone 5W 10D 12L in their last 27 games (0.93 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 11W 12D 4L in their last 27 (1.67 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Obolon'-Brovar at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Ruh Lviv's away record (1.69 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Obolon'-Brovar at home: 1.08 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 1.69 PPG.
Have Obolon'-Brovar or Ruh Lviv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Obolon'-Brovar have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Ruh Lviv in 26%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 6 times since November 2023 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. They last met on 1 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
There's a clear current trend here: Obolon'-Brovar have taken the last 3 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Ruh Lviv won 0-4 on 11 Aug 2024, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Obolon'-Brovar have gone 1W 1D 1L from 3 meetings on their own ground against Ruh Lviv — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
3
Obolon'-Brovar
2
Draws
1
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv?
From 6 meetings on record, Obolon'-Brovar have won 3, Ruh Lviv have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
They last met on 1 March 2026, when Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Ruh Lviv.
Who has won more matches between Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv?
Obolon'-Brovar have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Obolon'-Brovar see a goal before the break in 54% of their matches.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 85% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 38% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Obolon'-Brovar 31%, Ruh Lviv 69% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 23% (Obolon'-Brovar) and 54% (Ruh Lviv).
On the defensive side: Obolon'-Brovar keep a clean sheet in 46% of their matches; Obolon'-Brovar have failed to score in 46% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Obolon'-Brovar home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Obolon'-Brovar play Ruh Lviv?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 31% of Obolon'-Brovar's recent matches and 69% of Ruh Lviv's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Obolon'-Brovar vs Ruh Lviv usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 23% of Obolon'-Brovar's recent games and 54% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv tend to score early?
Obolon'-Brovar have had a goal before half-time in 54% of their recent matches, Ruh Lviv in 85% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Obolon'-Brovar's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 28, as Obolon'-Brovar and Ruh Lviv drew 0-0 in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Obolon'-Brovar 0.88 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.40 xG, a combined 2.27. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Obolon'-Brovar fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Ruh Lviv landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.70 / defence 0.98 against Ruh Lviv attack 1.16 / defence 1.01, drawn from 27/57 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Obolon'-Brovar 23% | Draw 28% | Ruh Lviv 49%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 49%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 66% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 35% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Obolon'-Brovar 30%, Ruh Lviv 41%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Obolon'-Brovar's trading profile (27 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 30% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 56% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (27 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Ruh Lviv arrived the stronger side — 1.67 PPG against 0.93. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Obolon'-Brovar (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.15 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.77 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.31 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.