Giresunspor 0-0 Konyaspor – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Konyaspor at 42% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Giresunspor vs Konyaspor encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Giresunspor host Konyaspor at Çotanak Stadyumu in Süper Lig, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 19 September 2021 at 11:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Giresunspor stand at 0W 0D 4L from 4 Süper Lig matches — 0.00 PPG. Last five: L L L L. They are averaging 0.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Giresunspor have played only a handful of Süper Lig games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Konyaspor — All Games: 3W 1D 0L from 4 Süper Lig fixtures this season — 2.50 PPG. Last five: W W D W. They are scoring at 1.75 per game and conceding 0.75. 1 clean sheet from 4 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 75% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. Konyaspor have played only a handful of Süper Lig games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Konyaspor are 2.50 PPG ahead (2.50 vs 0.00), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
In-Play Profile
Giresunspor in-play tendencies (4 games): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 0% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 0% of games; they fail to score in 100% of games.
Konyaspor in-play tendencies (4 games): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures; when trailing at the break they recover to draw or win in 25% of cases; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Giresunspor 0% versus Konyaspor 75%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Giresunspor 0% | Konyaspor 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Giresunspor 0.77 xG and Konyaspor 1.07 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Giresunspor attack 0.672 / defence 1.156 | Konyaspor attack 0.824 / defence 0.985. League average goals — home 1.166 / away 1.123. Giresunspor's attack strength of 0.672 is below the league average — the 0.77 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 4 Giresunspor games / 4 Konyaspor games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Giresunspor 26% | Draw 32% | Konyaspor 42%. Fair-value odds: Giresunspor 3.85 | Draw 3.12 | Konyaspor 2.38. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 28% | BTTS probability 35% | Total xG 1.84. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 72% probability — total xG of 1.84 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS No has firm model support at 65% — Giresunspor's lower xG of 0.77 creates a meaningful probability of a scoring blank, which suppresses the BTTS Yes probability to 35%.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Konyaspor are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Konyaspor offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 1.84 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 28% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 35%. Form rates corroborate: Giresunspor 0% | Konyaspor 75% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Giresunspor vs Konyaspor | Competition: Süper Lig, Regular Season - 5 | Venue: Çotanak Stadyumu • Kick-off: Sunday 19 Sep 2021, 11:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Giresunspor 26% | Draw 32% | Konyaspor 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 28% | BTTS 35% | xG Giresunspor 0.77 / Konyaspor 1.07 • Poisson strength factors: Giresunspor attack 0.672 / def 1.156 | Konyaspor attack 0.824 / def 0.985 | league avg home 1.166 / away 1.123 • Poisson stance: Konyaspor (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.77
Giresunspor xG
Expected Goals
1.07
Konyaspor xG
35%
BTTS
55%
Over 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
12%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Giresunspor vs Konyaspor kick off?
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor kicked off at 11:30 on Sunday 19 September 2021 at Çotanak Stadyumu.
What was the final score in Giresunspor vs Konyaspor?
Giresunspor 0 - 0 Konyaspor.
Where is Giresunspor vs Konyaspor being played?
The match is being played at Çotanak Stadyumu.
What competition is Giresunspor vs Konyaspor part of?
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor is a Regular Season - 5 fixture in the Süper Lig (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Giresunspor vs Konyaspor?
Our statistical model gives Giresunspor a 26% chance of winning, Konyaspor a 42% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Konyaspor the favourite.
Will both teams score in Giresunspor vs Konyaspor?
Our model estimates a 35% probability that both Giresunspor and Konyaspor will score (BTTS).
Will Giresunspor vs Konyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 28%.
What is the head-to-head record between Giresunspor and Konyaspor?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Giresunspor and Konyaspor in?
Giresunspor (all comps): 0W-0D-4L in 4 | 0.00 PPG | GF 0.00 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-L-L. Konyaspor (all comps): 3W-1D-0L in 4 | 2.50 PPG | GF 1.75 / GA 0.75 | L5 W-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Giresunspor's attacking strength (0.67x league average) is weighed against Konyaspor's defensive record (0.98x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.77. The same calculation in reverse, Konyaspor's attack versus Giresunspor's defence, projects 1.07 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 4/4 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-0, at 17.6%. Close behind: 0-1 (15.3%), 1-1 (14.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 48% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Konyaspor Win
26%
3.85
32%
3.13
42%
2.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.0%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.9%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Giresunspor xG
Total xG
1.84
1.07
Konyaspor xG
3.85
26%
Home win
3.13
32%
Draw
2.38
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
55%
Over 1.5
1.82
45%
Under 1.5
2.22
28%
Over 2.5
3.57
72%
Under 2.5
1.39
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.83
65%
BTTS No
1.55
Clean Sheet
34%
2.92
46%
2.16
Win to Nil
9%
11.21
19%
5.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.9 | 17.0 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 13.1 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Giresunspor vs Konyaspor?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 17.6%.
How many goals are Giresunspor and Konyaspor expected to score?
The model projects 0.77 expected goals for Giresunspor and 1.07 for Konyaspor, a combined total of 1.84.
How confident is the prediction model for Giresunspor vs Konyaspor?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Giresunspor's recent record stands at 0W 0D 4L from 4 games, a 0.00 PPG return, with L-L-L-L in the last five. It's still early in the season for Giresunspor, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Konyaspor, meanwhile, have gone 3W 1D 0L across 4 games — 2.50 PPG, with W-W-D-W in their last five. It's still early in the season for Konyaspor, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Konyaspor by 2.50 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Giresunspor heading into this one.
The Goals Picture
Giresunspor are averaging 0.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game recently; Konyaspor are on 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Giresunspor have seen both teams score in 0% of their recent games; Konyaspor in 75%.
Last 4 Results — Süper Lig
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Giresunspor
Early Season
Konyaspor
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Giresunspor and Konyaspor in coming into this match?
Giresunspor have gone 0W 0D 4L in their last 4 games (0.00 PPG), while Konyaspor have gone 3W 1D 0L in their last 4 (2.50 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Giresunspor and Konyaspor runs to 4 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to September 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Süper Lig. It has been a while since the last meeting — 5 March 2023, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
Giresunspor's record when hosting Konyaspor specifically: 0W 1D 1L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 4 Meetings
0
Giresunspor
2
Draws
2
Konyaspor
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Giresunspor and Konyaspor?
From 4 meetings on record, Giresunspor have won 0, Konyaspor have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Giresunspor and Konyaspor last play each other?
They last met on 5 March 2023, when Konyaspor 0-0 Giresunspor.
Who has won more matches between Giresunspor and Konyaspor?
Konyaspor have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Giresunspor are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches.
Konyaspor see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Giresunspor 0%, Konyaspor 75% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 0% for Giresunspor and 50% for Konyaspor.
On the defensive side: Giresunspor have failed to score in 100% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Giresunspor home games / Konyaspor away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Giresunspor play Konyaspor?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Giresunspor's recent matches and 75% of Konyaspor's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Giresunspor vs Konyaspor usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Giresunspor's recent games and 50% of Konyaspor's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Giresunspor and Konyaspor tend to score early?
Giresunspor have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, Konyaspor in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Giresunspor's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Çotanak Stadyumu, Regular Season - 5, as Giresunspor and Konyaspor drew 0-0 in the Süper Lig. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Giresunspor 0.77 xG and Konyaspor 1.07 xG, a combined 1.84. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Konyaspor landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Giresunspor attack 0.67 / defence 1.16 against Konyaspor attack 0.82 / defence 0.98, drawn from 4/4 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Giresunspor 26% | Draw 32% | Konyaspor 42%, with Konyaspor to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 28%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 55% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 35% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 25% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Giresunspor 0%, Konyaspor 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 38%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Giresunspor's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 0% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 100% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Konyaspor's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 75% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Konyaspor arrived the stronger side — 2.50 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Giresunspor conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. Konyaspor managed 0 against a 1.75 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.