FC Sion 2-2 Grasshoppers – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Grasshoppers at 43%, yet other data sources diverge — this FC Sion vs Grasshoppers fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Super League clash, Regular Season - 5 as FC Sion welcome Grasshoppers to Stade de Tourbillon. Kick-off is set for Saturday 13 August 2022 at 17:00 UTC.
Form Guide
FC Sion — All Games: 4W 2D 4L from 10 Super League outings this season, averaging 1.40 points per game. Last five: D W L D W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.90 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. FC Sion have played only a handful of Super League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, FC Sion have posted 1W 4D 5L at Stade de Tourbillon — 0.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 0.70 lags behind their overall 1.40 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at Stade de Tourbillon this season.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Grasshoppers stand at 4W 4D 2L from 10 Super League matches — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L W D W D. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.40. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. Grasshoppers have played only a handful of Super League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Grasshoppers have gone 2W 5D 3L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 1.10 is notably below their overall 1.60 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.40 PPG (FC Sion) versus 1.60 (Grasshoppers). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
In-Play Data
FC Sion trading profile (40 games, 20 at home): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; BTTS occurs in 45% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 35%.
Grasshoppers trading profile (40 games, 20 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 89% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 35% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 42%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Sion 60% and Grasshoppers 72% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (FC Sion 58% | Grasshoppers 52%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Sion 0.87 xG and Grasshoppers 1.31 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Sion attack 0.702 / defence 1.129 | Grasshoppers attack 0.907 / defence 0.848. League average goals — home 1.460 / away 1.284. FC Sion's attack strength of 0.702 is below the league average — the 0.87 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 40 FC Sion games / 40 Grasshoppers games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: FC Sion 21% | Draw 36% | Grasshoppers 43%. Fair-value odds: FC Sion 4.76 | Draw 2.78 | Grasshoppers 2.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 36% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.18. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.18 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Grasshoppers as the most likely outcome at 43% — marginal model lean. With a 36% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Grasshoppers offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.18 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 37% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 46%. Form rates corroborate: FC Sion 40% | Grasshoppers 50% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (40 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Sion vs Grasshoppers | Competition: Super League, Regular Season - 5 | Venue: Stade de Tourbillon • Kick-off: Saturday 13 Aug 2022, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Sion 21% | Draw 36% | Grasshoppers 43% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 46% | xG FC Sion 0.87 / Grasshoppers 1.31 • Poisson strength factors: FC Sion attack 0.702 / def 1.129 | Grasshoppers attack 0.907 / def 0.848 | league avg home 1.460 / away 1.284 • Poisson stance: Grasshoppers (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.87
FC Sion xG
Expected Goals
1.31
Grasshoppers xG
46%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Sion vs Grasshoppers kick off?
FC Sion vs Grasshoppers kicked off at 17:00 on Saturday 13 August 2022 at Stade de Tourbillon.
What was the final score in FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
FC Sion 2 - 2 Grasshoppers.
Where is FC Sion vs Grasshoppers being played?
The match is being played at Stade de Tourbillon.
What competition is FC Sion vs Grasshoppers part of?
FC Sion vs Grasshoppers is a Regular Season - 5 fixture in the Super League (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Our statistical model gives FC Sion a 21% chance of winning, Grasshoppers a 43% chance, and a 36% chance of a draw — making Grasshoppers the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both FC Sion and Grasshoppers will score (BTTS).
Will FC Sion vs Grasshoppers have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Sion and Grasshoppers?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are FC Sion and Grasshoppers in?
FC Sion (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.90 | L5 D-W-L-D-W. Grasshoppers (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-W-D-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
FC Sion's attacking strength (0.70x league average) is weighed against Grasshoppers's defensive record (0.85x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.87. The same calculation in reverse, Grasshoppers's attack versus FC Sion's defence, projects 1.31 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (40/40 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.5%. Close behind: 0-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (12.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Grasshoppers Win
21%
4.80
36%
2.78
43%
2.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
11.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.87
FC Sion xG
Total xG
2.18
1.31
Grasshoppers xG
4.80
21%
Home win
2.78
36%
Draw
2.32
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.16
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
27%
3.72
42%
2.38
Win to Nil
6%
17.88
18%
5.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 12.9 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are FC Sion and Grasshoppers expected to score?
The model projects 0.87 expected goals for FC Sion and 1.31 for Grasshoppers, a combined total of 2.18.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
FC Sion's recent record stands at 13W 9D 18L from 40 games, a 1.20 PPG return, with D-W-L-D-W in the last five. It's still early in the season for FC Sion, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Grasshoppers, meanwhile, have gone 11W 15D 14L across 40 games — 1.20 PPG, with L-W-D-W-D in their last five. It's still early in the season for Grasshoppers, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: FC Sion on 1.20 PPG, Grasshoppers on 1.20. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, FC Sion have managed 6W 5D 9L from 20 games — 1.15 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Grasshoppers's away record stands at 4W 9D 7L across 20 trips, a 1.05 PPG haul.
Goals in Recent Form
FC Sion are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game recently; Grasshoppers are on 1.52 scored and 1.58 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Sion have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games; Grasshoppers in 72%.
Last 40 Results — Super League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Sion
Early Season
Grasshoppers
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are FC Sion and Grasshoppers in coming into this match?
FC Sion have gone 13W 9D 18L in their last 40 games (1.20 PPG), while Grasshoppers have gone 11W 15D 14L in their last 40 (1.20 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Sion at home or Grasshoppers away?
FC Sion's home record (1.15 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Sion at home: 1.15 PPG; Grasshoppers away: 1.05 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League. They last met on 6 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Streaks & Records
There's a clear current trend here: FC Sion have taken the last 4 head-to-head results.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 6 Apr 2026, when FC Sion won 0-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
FC Sion's record when hosting Grasshoppers specifically: 2W 0D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
5
FC Sion
2
Draws
3
Grasshoppers
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Sion and Grasshoppers?
From 10 meetings on record, FC Sion have won 5, Grasshoppers have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Sion and Grasshoppers last play each other?
They last met on 6 April 2026, when Grasshoppers 0-4 FC Sion.
Who has won more matches between FC Sion and Grasshoppers?
FC Sion have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
FC Sion are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches.
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 15% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — FC Sion 45%, Grasshoppers 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (FC Sion) and 35% (Grasshoppers).
On the defensive side: FC Sion have failed to score in 35% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Sion home games / Grasshoppers away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when FC Sion play Grasshoppers?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 45% of FC Sion's recent matches and 60% of Grasshoppers's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is FC Sion vs Grasshoppers usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of FC Sion's recent games and 35% of Grasshoppers's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do FC Sion and Grasshoppers tend to score early?
FC Sion have had a goal before half-time in 65% of their recent matches, Grasshoppers in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
FC Sion and Grasshoppers share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Sion and Grasshoppers finished level at 2-2 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 5, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 0.87 xG and Grasshoppers 1.31 xG, a combined 2.18. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. FC Sion beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.70 / defence 1.13 against Grasshoppers attack 0.91 / defence 0.85, drawn from 40/40 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it FC Sion 21% | Draw 36% | Grasshoppers 43%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 36%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. Over 3.5 was 18% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 58%, Grasshoppers 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Sion's trading profile (40 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.
Grasshoppers's trading profile (40 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 72% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.20 PPG, Grasshoppers 1.20 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. FC Sion (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.05 average — above their attacking norm. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.15 average — above their attacking norm.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.