Landskrona BoIS 2-0 Utsikten – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Landskrona BoIS at 51% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Landskrona Idrottsplats plays host to Landskrona BoIS versus Utsikten in Superettan, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off: Saturday 5 November 2022 at 16:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Landskrona BoIS have collected 1.90 PPG across 10 Superettan outings this season: 5W 4D 1L. Last five: W D W D D. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Landskrona BoIS's form when playing at home: 6W 3D 1L across 10 games at Landskrona Idrottsplats this term (2.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Utsikten's overall Superettan record this term: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games (1.10 PPG). Last five: L W W D D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Utsikten away from home this season: 4W 1D 5L from 10 away games — 1.30 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Form favours the hosts. Landskrona BoIS's 1.90 PPG return is 0.80 points per game ahead of Utsikten's 1.10 — a genuine gap in recent results that provides a statistically grounded case for backing the home side.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Landskrona BoIS have seen both teams score in 80% of their games, Utsikten in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 1 meetings: Landskrona BoIS 0W, Utsikten 0W, 1D.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 4.0 goals per game across 1 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 18 May 2022, ended 2–2 with a draw.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading & In-Play
Landskrona BoIS — key trading statistics (29 games, 14 at home): they score before half-time in 86% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 62% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 86% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (home games).
Utsikten — key trading statistics (29 games, 14 at away): they score before half-time in 79% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Landskrona BoIS 66% and Utsikten 55% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Landskrona BoIS 52% | Utsikten 52%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Landskrona BoIS 1.74 xG and Utsikten 1.10 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Landskrona BoIS attack 1.010 / defence 0.952 | Utsikten attack 0.906 / defence 1.180. League average goals — home 1.459 / away 1.273. Data: 59 Landskrona BoIS games / 29 Utsikten games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 51% | Draw 26% | Utsikten 23%. Fair-value odds: Landskrona BoIS 1.96 | Draw 3.85 | Utsikten 4.35. Landskrona BoIS hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 54% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.84. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 54%/46% — the total xG of 2.84 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Landskrona BoIS are the pick at 51% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 26% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Landskrona BoIS if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.84 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 54% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 56% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Landskrona BoIS 80% | Utsikten 60% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten | Competition: Superettan, Regular Season - 30 | Venue: Landskrona Idrottsplats • Kick-off: Saturday 5 Nov 2022, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 51% | Draw 26% | Utsikten 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 54% | BTTS 56% | xG Landskrona BoIS 1.74 / Utsikten 1.10 • Poisson strength factors: Landskrona BoIS attack 1.010 / def 0.952 | Utsikten attack 0.906 / def 1.180 | league avg home 1.459 / away 1.273 • Poisson stance: Landskrona BoIS (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.74
Landskrona BoIS xG
Expected Goals
1.10
Utsikten xG
56%
BTTS
79%
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten kick off?
Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 5 November 2022 at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
What was the final score in Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten?
Landskrona BoIS 2 - 0 Utsikten.
Where is Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten being played?
The match is being played at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
What competition is Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten part of?
Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten is a Regular Season - 30 fixture in the Superettan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten?
Our statistical model gives Landskrona BoIS a 51% chance of winning, Utsikten a 23% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Landskrona BoIS the favourite.
Will both teams score in Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten will score (BTTS).
Will Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten?
Record (1 meetings): Landskrona BoIS 0W | Draws 1 | Utsikten 0W.
What form are Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten in?
Landskrona BoIS (all comps): 5W-4D-1L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-D-W-D-D. Utsikten (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-W-W-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Landskrona BoIS's attack rating (1.01) and Utsikten's defence rating (1.18), the model arrives at 1.74 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Utsikten's attack (0.91x) against Landskrona BoIS's defence (0.95x) — and the away total comes out at 1.10.
These ratings are built from 59/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (8.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Landskrona BoIS Win
51%
1.96
26%
3.78
23%
4.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.74
Landskrona BoIS xG
Total xG
2.84
1.10
Utsikten xG
1.96
51%
Home win
3.78
26%
Draw
4.44
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.77
44%
BTTS No
2.29
Clean Sheet
33%
3.00
18%
5.69
Win to Nil
17%
5.88
4%
25.25
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.6%.
How many goals are Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten expected to score?
The model projects 1.74 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.10 for Utsikten, a combined total of 2.84.
How confident is the prediction model for Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 29 outings, Landskrona BoIS have picked up 1.41 PPG on a 10W 11D 8L record — W-D-W-D-D across the most recent five.
Utsikten's form line: 10W 7D 12L from 29 games, 1.28 PPG, last five L-W-W-D-D.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.41 PPG for Landskrona BoIS against 1.28 for Utsikten. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Landskrona BoIS have posted 1.86 PPG from 14 outings (7W 5D 2L). That's noticeably better than their 1.41 PPG overall — Landskrona BoIS are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
On the road, Utsikten have gone 6W 1D 7L from 14 away games — 1.36 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Landskrona BoIS come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Landskrona BoIS are averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game recently; Utsikten are on 1.38 scored and 1.52 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Landskrona BoIS have seen both teams score in 66% of their recent games.
Last 29 Results — Superettan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Landskrona BoIS
Current Season
Utsikten
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten in coming into this match?
Landskrona BoIS have gone 10W 11D 8L in their last 29 games (1.41 PPG), while Utsikten have gone 10W 7D 12L in their last 29 (1.28 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Landskrona BoIS at home or Utsikten away?
Landskrona BoIS's home record (1.86 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Landskrona BoIS at home: 1.86 PPG; Utsikten away: 1.36 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since May 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Superettan. They last met on 20 September 2025, roughly 10 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Utsikten won 5-1 on 12 Aug 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Landskrona BoIS have gone 3W 0D 1L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Utsikten — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
3
Landskrona BoIS
1
Draws
4
Utsikten
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten?
From 8 meetings on record, Landskrona BoIS have won 3, Utsikten have won 4, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten last play each other?
They last met on 20 September 2025, when Utsikten 4-0 Landskrona BoIS.
Who has won more matches between Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten?
Utsikten have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Landskrona BoIS are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 29% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Utsikten are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 79% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 86% for Landskrona BoIS, 50% for Utsikten — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 57% (Landskrona BoIS) and 57% (Utsikten). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 36% and 36% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Utsikten in 36%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Landskrona BoIS home games / Utsikten away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Landskrona BoIS play Utsikten?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 86% of Landskrona BoIS's games and 50% of Utsikten's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Landskrona BoIS vs Utsikten usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 57% of Landskrona BoIS's matches and 57% of Utsikten's.
Do Landskrona BoIS and Utsikten tend to score early?
Landskrona BoIS have had a goal before half-time in 86% of their recent matches, Utsikten in 79% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Landskrona BoIS cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Utsikten.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Landskrona BoIS beat Utsikten 2-0 at Landskrona Idrottsplats, Regular Season - 30, in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Landskrona BoIS 1.74 xG and Utsikten 1.10 xG, a combined 2.84. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Utsikten landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Landskrona BoIS attack 1.01 / defence 0.95 against Utsikten attack 0.91 / defence 1.18, drawn from 59/29 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Landskrona BoIS 51% | Draw 26% | Utsikten 23%, with Landskrona BoIS to win its most likely call at 51%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Landskrona BoIS 52%, Utsikten 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.
Utsikten's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Landskrona BoIS 1.41 PPG, Utsikten 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Landskrona BoIS win broke the near-deadlock. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line. Utsikten (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.43 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.