FC Seoul 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Ulsan Hyundai FC at 50% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
FC Seoul host Ulsan Hyundai FC at Seoul World Cup Stadium in K League 1, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 31 July 2021 at 12:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, FC Seoul stand at 1W 5D 4L from 10 K League 1 matches — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L D D L W. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for FC Seoul, so this record blends games from this season and last.
FC Seoul's home record at Seoul World Cup Stadium: 2W 1D 5L from 8 K League 1 appearances (0.88 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game.
Ulsan Hyundai FC — All Games: 4W 5D 1L from 10 K League 1 fixtures this season — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W W W D L. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.30. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Ulsan Hyundai FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Ulsan Hyundai FC have gone 5W 3D 2L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Ulsan Hyundai FC — 0.90 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.70 vs 0.80). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
Trading Patterns
FC Seoul in-play and half-time data (19 games, 8 at home): they score before half-time in 88% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
Ulsan Hyundai FC in-play and half-time data (19 games, 8 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 57% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — FC Seoul 47% versus Ulsan Hyundai FC 53%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (FC Seoul 42% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 47%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Seoul 0.86 xG and Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.48 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Seoul attack 0.766 / defence 1.199 | Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.892 / defence 1.182. League average goals — home 0.950 / away 1.387. FC Seoul's attack strength of 0.766 is below the league average — the 0.86 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 19 FC Seoul games / 20 Ulsan Hyundai FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: FC Seoul 20% | Draw 29% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 50%. Fair-value odds: FC Seoul 5.00 | Draw 3.45 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 2.00. Ulsan Hyundai FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 50% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.34. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.34 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Ulsan Hyundai FC are the pick at 50% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ulsan Hyundai FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.34 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 42% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 46% on No. Form rates corroborate: FC Seoul 38% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 50% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Seoul World Cup Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 31 Jul 2021, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Seoul 20% | Draw 29% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 50% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 46% | xG FC Seoul 0.86 / Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.48 • Poisson strength factors: FC Seoul attack 0.766 / def 1.199 | Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.892 / def 1.182 | league avg home 0.950 / away 1.387 • Poisson stance: Ulsan Hyundai FC (50%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.86
FC Seoul xG
Expected Goals
1.48
Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
46%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC kick off?
FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 31 July 2021 at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
What was the final score in FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
FC Seoul 0 - 0 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
Where is FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC being played?
The match is being played at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
What competition is FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC part of?
FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Our statistical model gives FC Seoul a 20% chance of winning, Ulsan Hyundai FC a 50% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC will score (BTTS).
Will FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC in?
FC Seoul (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-D-D-L-W. Ulsan Hyundai FC (all comps): 4W-5D-1L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-W-W-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
FC Seoul's attacking strength (0.77x league average) is weighed against Ulsan Hyundai FC's defensive record (1.18x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.86. The same calculation in reverse, Ulsan Hyundai FC's attack versus FC Seoul's defence, projects 1.48 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 19/20 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.8%. Close behind: 0-1 (12.6%), 0-0 (11.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC Win
20%
4.88
29%
3.44
50%
1.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.2%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
0 – 2
10.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.86
FC Seoul xG
Total xG
2.34
1.48
Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
4.88
20%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
1.98
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
23%
4.41
42%
2.37
Win to Nil
5%
21.54
21%
4.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 14.2 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.8%.
How many goals are FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC expected to score?
The model projects 0.86 expected goals for FC Seoul and 1.48 for Ulsan Hyundai FC, a combined total of 2.34.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 50%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
FC Seoul's recent record stands at 5W 5D 9L from 19 games, a 1.05 PPG return, with L-D-D-L-W in the last five. The sample for FC Seoul is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Ulsan Hyundai FC, meanwhile, have gone 9W 7D 3L across 19 games — 1.79 PPG, with W-W-W-D-L in their last five. The sample for Ulsan Hyundai FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Ulsan Hyundai FC by 0.74 — a real, if not enormous, edge over FC Seoul heading into this one.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, FC Seoul have managed 2W 1D 5L from 8 games — 0.88 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Ulsan Hyundai FC's away record stands at 4W 2D 2L across 8 trips, a 1.75 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Ulsan Hyundai FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
FC Seoul are averaging 0.95 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game recently; Ulsan Hyundai FC are on 1.42 scored and 1.16 conceded.
Defensively: Ulsan Hyundai FC in 42% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 19 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Seoul
Blended
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC in coming into this match?
FC Seoul have gone 5W 5D 9L in their last 19 games (1.05 PPG), while Ulsan Hyundai FC have gone 9W 7D 3L in their last 19 (1.79 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Seoul at home or Ulsan Hyundai FC away?
Ulsan Hyundai FC's away record (1.75 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Seoul at home: 0.88 PPG; Ulsan Hyundai FC away: 1.75 PPG.
Have FC Seoul or Ulsan Hyundai FC been keeping clean sheets recently?
FC Seoul have kept a clean sheet in 21% of their recent games, Ulsan Hyundai FC in 42%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. The two were last together as recently as 26 July 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 15 Apr 2026, when FC Seoul won 1-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
FC Seoul's record when hosting Ulsan Hyundai FC specifically: 2W 2D 2L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
FC Seoul
4
Draws
3
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC?
From 10 meetings on record, FC Seoul have won 3, Ulsan Hyundai FC have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC last play each other?
They last met on 26 July 2026, when FC Seoul 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
FC Seoul are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 88% of their matches.
Ulsan Hyundai FC see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — FC Seoul 38%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 62% for FC Seoul and 62% for Ulsan Hyundai FC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 12% and 25% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Ulsan Hyundai FC in 38%; FC Seoul have failed to score in 50% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Seoul home games / Ulsan Hyundai FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when FC Seoul play Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 38% of FC Seoul's recent matches and 50% of Ulsan Hyundai FC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 62% of FC Seoul's matches and 62% of Ulsan Hyundai FC's.
Do FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC tend to score early?
FC Seoul have had a goal before half-time in 88% of their recent matches, Ulsan Hyundai FC in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at FC Seoul's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Seoul World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 22, as FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC drew 0-0 in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Seoul 0.86 xG and Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.48 xG, a combined 2.34. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. FC Seoul fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Ulsan Hyundai FC landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Seoul attack 0.77 / defence 1.20 against Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.89 / defence 1.18, drawn from 19/20 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Seoul 20% | Draw 29% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 50%, with Ulsan Hyundai FC to win its most likely call at 50%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Seoul 42%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 47%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Seoul's trading profile (19 games, 8 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Ulsan Hyundai FC's trading profile (19 games, 8 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Ulsan Hyundai FC arrived the stronger side — 1.79 PPG against 1.05. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. FC Seoul (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line. Ulsan Hyundai FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.38 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.