Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Eintracht Frankfurt at 51% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg make the trip to Deutsche Bank Park to face Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 22. The match kicks off on Saturday 12 February 2022 at 14:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Eintracht Frankfurt have collected 1.90 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 6W 1D 3L. Last five: W L D L W. They are averaging 2.10 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Frankfurt, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Eintracht Frankfurt's home record at Deutsche Bank Park: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Bundesliga appearances (1.30 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 1.30 lags behind their overall 1.90 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at Deutsche Bank Park this season.
VfL Wolfsburg's overall Bundesliga record this term: 1W 2D 7L from 10 games (0.50 PPG). Last five: L L D L W. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 2.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.10 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for VfL Wolfsburg, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, VfL Wolfsburg have gone 3W 1D 6L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel. Their away PPG of 1.00 exceeds their overall 0.50 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
The points-per-game gap of 1.40 in Eintracht Frankfurt's favour (1.90 vs 0.50) is a statistically meaningful difference. The hosts are the form pick here, with draw protection the sensible hedge given the away side's competitiveness.
H2H History
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Eintracht Frankfurt lead 0W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 1 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 19 Sep 2021, ended 1–1 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading
Eintracht Frankfurt half-time and goal-timing data (55 games, 27 at home): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 92% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 92% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 82% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
VfL Wolfsburg half-time and goal-timing data (55 games, 27 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Eintracht Frankfurt 80% and VfL Wolfsburg 47% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Frankfurt 58% | VfL Wolfsburg 51%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Frankfurt 1.75 xG and VfL Wolfsburg 1.07 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 0.974 / defence 1.051 | VfL Wolfsburg attack 0.750 / defence 1.033. League average goals — home 1.735 / away 1.362. Data: 55 Eintracht Frankfurt games / 55 VfL Wolfsburg games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 51% | Draw 28% | VfL Wolfsburg 21%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.96 | Draw 3.57 | VfL Wolfsburg 4.76. Eintracht Frankfurt hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 54% | BTTS probability 57% | Total xG 2.82. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 54%/46% — the total xG of 2.82 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 57% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Eintracht Frankfurt as the most likely outcome at 51% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Eintracht Frankfurt if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.82 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 54% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.7 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 57% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Eintracht Frankfurt 70% | VfL Wolfsburg 30%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Deutsche Bank Park • Kick-off: Saturday 12 Feb 2022, 14:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 51% | Draw 28% | VfL Wolfsburg 21% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 54% | BTTS 57% | xG Eintracht Frankfurt 1.75 / VfL Wolfsburg 1.07 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 0.974 / def 1.051 | VfL Wolfsburg attack 0.750 / def 1.033 | league avg home 1.735 / away 1.362 • Poisson stance: Eintracht Frankfurt (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.75
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Expected Goals
1.07
VfL Wolfsburg xG
57%
BTTS
79%
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg kicked off at 14:30 on Saturday 12 February 2022 at Deutsche Bank Park.
What was the final score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg being played?
The match is being played at Deutsche Bank Park.
What competition is Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg part of?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 51% chance of winning, VfL Wolfsburg a 21% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our model estimates a 57% probability that both Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg?
Record (1 meetings): Eintracht Frankfurt 0W | Draws 1 | VfL Wolfsburg 0W.
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg in?
Eintracht Frankfurt (all comps): 6W-1D-3L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 2.10 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-L-D-L-W. VfL Wolfsburg (all comps): 1W-2D-7L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 2.10 | L5 L-L-D-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Eintracht Frankfurt's attack rating (0.97) and VfL Wolfsburg's defence rating (1.03), the model arrives at 1.75 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — VfL Wolfsburg's attack (0.75x) against Eintracht Frankfurt's defence (1.05x) — and the away total comes out at 1.07.
These ratings are built from 55/55 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
51%
1.96
28%
3.57
21%
4.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.4%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Total xG
2.82
1.07
VfL Wolfsburg xG
1.96
51%
Home win
3.57
28%
Draw
4.74
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.77
43%
BTTS No
2.30
Clean Sheet
34%
2.93
17%
5.73
Win to Nil
17%
5.75
4%
27.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.6%.
How many goals are Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg expected to score?
The model projects 1.75 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.07 for VfL Wolfsburg, a combined total of 2.82.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record stands at 24W 19D 12L from 55 games, a 1.65 PPG return, with W-L-D-L-W in the last five. The sample for Eintracht Frankfurt is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
VfL Wolfsburg, meanwhile, have gone 24W 13D 18L across 55 games — 1.55 PPG, with L-L-D-L-W in their last five. The sample for VfL Wolfsburg is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.65 PPG for Eintracht Frankfurt against 1.55 for VfL Wolfsburg. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Eintracht Frankfurt have managed 13W 11D 3L from 27 games — 1.85 PPG in front of their own supporters.
VfL Wolfsburg's away record stands at 10W 7D 10L across 27 trips, a 1.37 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Frankfurt come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Eintracht Frankfurt are averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game recently; VfL Wolfsburg are on 1.49 scored and 1.27 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Frankfurt have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent games.
Defensively: VfL Wolfsburg in 36% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 55 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Frankfurt
Blended
VfL Wolfsburg
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg in coming into this match?
Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 24W 19D 12L in their last 55 games (1.65 PPG), while VfL Wolfsburg have gone 24W 13D 18L in their last 55 (1.55 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Frankfurt at home or VfL Wolfsburg away?
Eintracht Frankfurt's home record (1.85 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Frankfurt at home: 1.85 PPG; VfL Wolfsburg away: 1.37 PPG.
Have Eintracht Frankfurt or VfL Wolfsburg been keeping clean sheets recently?
Eintracht Frankfurt have kept a clean sheet in 13% of their recent games, VfL Wolfsburg in 36%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 10 times since September 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 11 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 0W 3D 2L from 5 meetings on their own ground against VfL Wolfsburg — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
5
Draws
3
VfL Wolfsburg
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg?
From 10 meetings on record, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, VfL Wolfsburg have won 3, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg last play each other?
They last met on 11 April 2026, when VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg?
VfL Wolfsburg have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Eintracht Frankfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 37% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
VfL Wolfsburg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 82% for Eintracht Frankfurt, 52% for VfL Wolfsburg — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 48% (Eintracht Frankfurt) and 52% (VfL Wolfsburg).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Frankfurt home games / VfL Wolfsburg away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Frankfurt play VfL Wolfsburg?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 82% of Eintracht Frankfurt's games and 52% of VfL Wolfsburg's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 48% of Eintracht Frankfurt's recent games and 52% of VfL Wolfsburg's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Frankfurt and VfL Wolfsburg tend to score early?
Eintracht Frankfurt have had a goal before half-time in 70% of their recent matches, VfL Wolfsburg in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
VfL Wolfsburg cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
VfL Wolfsburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 at Deutsche Bank Park, Regular Season - 22, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Frankfurt 1.75 xG and VfL Wolfsburg 1.07 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Eintracht Frankfurt fell 1.7 short of their projected output. VfL Wolfsburg outscored their 1.07 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Frankfurt attack 0.97 / defence 1.05 against VfL Wolfsburg attack 0.75 / defence 1.03, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Frankfurt 51% | Draw 28% | VfL Wolfsburg 21%, with Eintracht Frankfurt to win its most likely call at 51%. Instead the game produced a VfL Wolfsburg win, an outcome the model had rated at just 21% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Frankfurt 58%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Frankfurt's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 80% of their matches — today it did not.
VfL Wolfsburg's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Eintracht Frankfurt 1.65 PPG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.55 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the VfL Wolfsburg win broke the near-deadlock. Eintracht Frankfurt (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.89 scoring average — below par going forward. VfL Wolfsburg (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.44 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.