Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 FC Augsburg – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Eintracht Frankfurt at 58% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt host FC Augsburg at Deutsche Bank Park in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 21 August 2021 at 14:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Eintracht Frankfurt stand at 5W 1D 4L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L D L W L. They are averaging 2.30 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. However, 2.40 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. Eintracht Frankfurt have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Eintracht Frankfurt have posted 8W 2D 0L at Deutsche Bank Park — 2.60 PPG. They are averaging 2.60 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 2.60 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.60 — Eintracht Frankfurt are significantly better at Deutsche Bank Park than their overall form suggests.
FC Augsburg — All Games: 2W 1D 7L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 0.70 PPG. Last five: L L W L L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. FC Augsburg have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
FC Augsburg's away record: 1W 0D 9L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (0.30 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game.
On current form, Eintracht Frankfurt have the edge — a 0.90 PPG advantage (1.60 vs 0.70) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
In-Play Data
Eintracht Frankfurt trading profile (35 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 100% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 88% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 49%.
FC Augsburg trading profile (35 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games); they fail to score in 34% of games.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Eintracht Frankfurt 83% and FC Augsburg 51% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Frankfurt 66% | FC Augsburg 49%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Frankfurt 2.10 xG and FC Augsburg 1.11 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 1.145 / defence 0.993 | FC Augsburg attack 0.913 / defence 1.035. League average goals — home 1.774 / away 1.224. Data: 35 Eintracht Frankfurt games / 35 FC Augsburg games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 58% | Draw 24% | FC Augsburg 18%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.72 | Draw 4.17 | FC Augsburg 5.56. The model has a clear lean to Eintracht Frankfurt (58%) — a 40pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 62% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 3.21. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 62% — the 3.21 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (2.10 / 1.11) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Eintracht Frankfurt as the most likely outcome at 58% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 24% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
Poisson projects 3.21 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 62% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 61%. Form rates corroborate: Eintracht Frankfurt 80% | FC Augsburg 50% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (35 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: Deutsche Bank Park • Kick-off: Saturday 21 Aug 2021, 14:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 58% | Draw 24% | FC Augsburg 18% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 62% | BTTS 61% | xG Eintracht Frankfurt 2.10 / FC Augsburg 1.11 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 1.145 / def 0.993 | FC Augsburg attack 0.913 / def 1.035 | league avg home 1.774 / away 1.224 • Poisson stance: Eintracht Frankfurt (58%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.10
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Expected Goals
1.11
FC Augsburg xG
61%
BTTS
85%
Over 1.5
62%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg kick off?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg kicked off at 14:30 on Saturday 21 August 2021 at Deutsche Bank Park.
What was the final score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg?
Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 0 FC Augsburg.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg being played?
The match is being played at Deutsche Bank Park.
What competition is Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg part of?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 58% chance of winning, FC Augsburg a 18% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 62%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg in?
Eintracht Frankfurt (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 2.30 / GA 2.40 | L5 L-D-L-W-L. FC Augsburg (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-L-W-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Eintracht Frankfurt's attacking strength (1.15x league average) is weighed against FC Augsburg's defensive record (1.03x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 2.10. The same calculation in reverse, FC Augsburg's attack versus Eintracht Frankfurt's defence, projects 1.11 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (35/35 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 10.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.9%), 2-0 (8.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
58%
1.71
24%
4.18
18%
5.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.4%
Draw
2 – 0
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.10
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Total xG
3.21
1.11
FC Augsburg xG
1.71
58%
Home win
4.18
24%
Draw
5.68
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.53
Clean Sheet
33%
3.03
12%
8.18
Win to Nil
19%
5.19
2%
46.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.6%.
How many goals are Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg expected to score?
The model projects 2.10 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.11 for FC Augsburg, a combined total of 3.21.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 58%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Eintracht Frankfurt come into this having played 35 games, going 16W 12D 7L for 1.71 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-L-W-L. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Frankfurt, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, FC Augsburg sit at 1.03 PPG from 35 outings (10W 6D 19L), a run that reads L-L-W-L-L across their last five. It's still early in the season for FC Augsburg, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Eintracht Frankfurt carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.68 PPG clear of FC Augsburg — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
Eintracht Frankfurt's home form reads 10W 7D 0L across 17 games on their own ground, a 2.18 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.71 PPG overall — Eintracht Frankfurt are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, FC Augsburg have taken 0.82 points per game from 17 outings (4W 2D 11L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Frankfurt come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Frankfurt are averaging 2.03 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game recently; FC Augsburg are on 1.03 scored and 1.66 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Frankfurt have seen both teams score in 83% of their recent games.
Last 35 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early Season
FC Augsburg
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg in coming into this match?
Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 16W 12D 7L in their last 35 games (1.71 PPG), while FC Augsburg have gone 10W 6D 19L in their last 35 (1.03 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Frankfurt at home or FC Augsburg away?
Eintracht Frankfurt's home record (2.18 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Frankfurt at home: 2.18 PPG; FC Augsburg away: 0.82 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 25 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Eintracht Frankfurt's record when hosting FC Augsburg specifically: 2W 3D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
6
Draws
1
FC Augsburg
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg?
From 10 meetings on record, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 3, FC Augsburg have won 1, and 6 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg last play each other?
They last met on 25 April 2026, when FC Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg?
Eintracht Frankfurt have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Eintracht Frankfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 41% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
FC Augsburg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Eintracht Frankfurt at 88%, FC Augsburg at 53%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 53% (Eintracht Frankfurt) and 47% (FC Augsburg).
On the defensive side: FC Augsburg in 29%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Frankfurt home games / FC Augsburg away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Frankfurt play FC Augsburg?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 88% of Eintracht Frankfurt's games and 53% of FC Augsburg's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 53% of Eintracht Frankfurt's recent games and 47% of FC Augsburg's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg tend to score early?
Eintracht Frankfurt have had a goal before half-time in 65% of their recent matches, FC Augsburg in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Eintracht Frankfurt's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Augsburg finished level at 0-0 at Deutsche Bank Park, Regular Season - 2, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Frankfurt 2.10 xG and FC Augsburg 1.11 xG, a combined 3.21. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Eintracht Frankfurt fell 2.1 short of their projected output. FC Augsburg landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Frankfurt attack 1.15 / defence 0.99 against FC Augsburg attack 0.91 / defence 1.03, drawn from 35/35 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Frankfurt 58% | Draw 24% | FC Augsburg 18%, with Eintracht Frankfurt to win its most likely call at 58%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 24% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 40% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Frankfurt 66%, FC Augsburg 49%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 67%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Frankfurt's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 83% of their matches — today it did not.
FC Augsburg's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Eintracht Frankfurt arrived the stronger side — 1.71 PPG against 1.03. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Eintracht Frankfurt (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line. FC Augsburg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.71 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.