Bohemians 1905 vs Artis – Pre-Match Analysis
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Poisson rates Bohemians 1905 at 47% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Bohemians 1905 vs Artis encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Bohemians 1905 host Artis at Dolicek in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 13 March 2027 at 14:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Bohemians 1905 stand at 4W 3D 3L from 10 Czech Liga matches — 1.50 PPG. Last five: L W L W W. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. This season is still relatively young for Bohemians 1905, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Bohemians 1905's form when playing at home: 6W 3D 1L across 10 games at Dolicek this term (2.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 7 clean sheets from 10 home games (70%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Dolicek. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle. Their home PPG of 2.10 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.50 — Bohemians 1905 are significantly better at Dolicek than their overall form suggests.
Across all Czech Liga games this season, Artis have recorded 2W 2D 6L from 10 outings — 0.80 PPG. Last five: W L L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Artis, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Artis's away record: 2W 1D 3L from 6 road trips in Czech Liga this season (1.17 PPG). Away from home they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
On current form, Bohemians 1905 have the edge — a 0.70 PPG advantage (1.50 vs 0.80) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
In-Play Profile
Bohemians 1905 in-play tendencies (12 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 33% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 17% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time.
Artis in-play tendencies (12 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in away games; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (away games); they fail to score in 42% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bohemians 1905 50% versus Artis 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Bohemians 1905 50% | Artis 75%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bohemians 1905 1.35 xG and Artis 0.88 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bohemians 1905 attack 0.858 / defence 0.657 | Artis attack 1.137 / defence 1.181. League average goals — home 1.338 / away 1.183. Bohemians 1905's defence rating of 0.657 is below average — the home backline is amplifying the visitor's projected output. Data: 40 Bohemians 1905 games / 10 Artis games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Bohemians 1905 47% | Draw 30% | Artis 24%. Fair-value odds: Bohemians 1905 2.13 | Draw 3.33 | Artis 4.17. Bohemians 1905 hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (30%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 39% | BTTS probability 44% | Total xG 2.24. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 61% — total xG of 2.24 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 44% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Bohemians 1905 at 47% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Bohemians 1905 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.24 combined xG gives a 39% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 44% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Bohemians 1905 30% | Artis 67%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bohemians 1905 vs Artis | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 25 | Venue: Dolicek • Kick-off: Saturday 13 Mar 2027, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bohemians 1905 47% | Draw 30% | Artis 24% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 39% | BTTS 44% | xG Bohemians 1905 1.35 / Artis 0.88 • Poisson strength factors: Bohemians 1905 attack 0.858 / def 0.657 | Artis attack 1.137 / def 1.181 | league avg home 1.338 / away 1.183 • Poisson stance: Bohemians 1905 (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.35
Bohemians 1905 xG
Expected Goals
0.88
Artis xG
44%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Bohemians 1905 vs Artis kick off?
Bohemians 1905 vs Artis is scheduled to kick off at 14:00 on Saturday 13 March 2027 at Dolicek.
Where is Bohemians 1905 vs Artis being played?
The match is being played at Dolicek.
What competition is Bohemians 1905 vs Artis part of?
Bohemians 1905 vs Artis is a Regular Season - 25 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Our statistical model gives Bohemians 1905 a 47% chance of winning, Artis a 24% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Bohemians 1905 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Our model estimates a 44% probability that both Bohemians 1905 and Artis will score (BTTS).
Will Bohemians 1905 vs Artis have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 39%.
What is the head-to-head record between Bohemians 1905 and Artis?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Bohemians 1905 and Artis in?
Bohemians 1905 (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-W-L-W-W. Artis (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 2.00 | L5 W-L-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Bohemians 1905's attack at 0.86x the league average against Artis's defence at 1.18x — combine the two and it projects 1.35 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Artis's attack versus Bohemians 1905's defence, projects 0.88 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 40/10 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (12.8%), 0-0 (12.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 40% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bohemians 1905 Win
47%
2.13
30%
3.38
24%
4.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.35
Bohemians 1905 xG
Total xG
2.24
0.88
Artis xG
2.13
47%
Home win
3.38
30%
Draw
4.24
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.25
56%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
41%
2.42
26%
3.88
Win to Nil
19%
5.16
6%
16.45
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 14.4 | 12.8 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are Bohemians 1905 and Artis expected to score?
The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.88 for Artis, a combined total of 2.24.
How confident is the prediction model for Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Bohemians 1905's recent record stands at 5W 3D 4L from 12 games, a 1.50 PPG return, with L-W-L-W-W in the last five. The sample for Bohemians 1905 is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Artis, meanwhile, have gone 2W 2D 8L across 12 games — 0.67 PPG, with W-L-L-D-W in their last five. The sample for Artis is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Bohemians 1905 by 0.83 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Artis heading into this one.
Venue Form
At home specifically, Bohemians 1905 have managed 3W 2D 1L from 6 games — 1.83 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Artis's away record stands at 2W 1D 3L across 6 trips, a 1.17 PPG haul. That's actually stronger than their 0.67 PPG overall record — Artis travel well.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Bohemians 1905 come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Bohemians 1905 are averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game recently; Artis are on 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded.
Defensively: Bohemians 1905 have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 12 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bohemians 1905
Blended
Artis
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Bohemians 1905 and Artis in coming into this match?
Bohemians 1905 have gone 5W 3D 4L in their last 12 games (1.50 PPG), while Artis have gone 2W 2D 8L in their last 12 (0.67 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Bohemians 1905 at home or Artis away?
Bohemians 1905's home record (1.83 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Bohemians 1905 at home: 1.83 PPG; Artis away: 1.17 PPG.
Have Bohemians 1905 or Artis been keeping clean sheets recently?
Bohemians 1905 have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their recent games, Artis in 8%.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Bohemians 1905 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Artis are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Bohemians 1905 33%, Artis 67% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 17% (Bohemians 1905) and 67% (Artis).
On the defensive side: Bohemians 1905 keep a clean sheet in 67% of their matches; Artis in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bohemians 1905 home games / Artis away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Bohemians 1905 play Artis?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 33% of Bohemians 1905's recent matches and 67% of Artis's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Bohemians 1905 vs Artis usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 17% of Bohemians 1905's recent games and 67% of Artis's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Bohemians 1905 and Artis tend to score early?
Bohemians 1905 have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, Artis in 83% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.