WSG Wattens 0-0 Austria Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Austria Vienna at 58%, yet other data sources diverge — this WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
WSG Wattens host Austria Vienna at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 6 November 2022 at 13:30 UTC.
Form Guide
WSG Wattens — All Games: 5W 1D 4L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.60 points per game. Last five: L L W W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.90 goals per game, with 1.90 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, WSG Wattens have gone 5W 2D 3L this season (10 games, 1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Austria Vienna stand at 5W 3D 2L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.80 PPG. Last five: L W L D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.00 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Austria Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Austria Vienna's away record: 4W 3D 3L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (1.50 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: WSG Wattens 1.60 PPG, Austria Vienna 1.80 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
Both teams score in over 70% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
Head to Head
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, WSG Wattens have won 0, Austria Vienna 1, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 1 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 13 Aug 2022, ended 1–2 with Austria Vienna winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Patterns
WSG Wattens in-play and half-time data (46 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 46%.
Austria Vienna in-play and half-time data (46 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — WSG Wattens 59% and Austria Vienna 67% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 72% | Austria Vienna 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 1.40 xG and Austria Vienna 2.33 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.901 / defence 1.226 | Austria Vienna attack 1.090 / defence 1.073. League average goals — home 1.451 / away 1.744. Data: 36 WSG Wattens games / 36 Austria Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 22% | Draw 21% | Austria Vienna 58%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 4.55 | Draw 4.76 | Austria Vienna 1.72. The model has a clear lean to Austria Vienna (58%) — a 36pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 72% | BTTS probability 69% | Total xG 3.74. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 72% — a total xG of 3.74 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 69% reflects that both xG figures (1.40 / 2.33) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Austria Vienna as the most likely outcome at 58% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 21% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 3.74 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 72% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.7 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 69% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 70% | Austria Vienna 70% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 15 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Sunday 6 Nov 2022, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 22% | Draw 21% | Austria Vienna 58% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 72% | BTTS 69% | xG WSG Wattens 1.40 / Austria Vienna 2.33 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.901 / def 1.226 | Austria Vienna attack 1.090 / def 1.073 | league avg home 1.451 / away 1.744 • Poisson stance: Austria Vienna (58%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.40
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
2.33
Austria Vienna xG
69%
BTTS
89%
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 6 November 2022 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna?
WSG Wattens 0 - 0 Austria Vienna.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna part of?
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna is a Regular Season - 15 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 22% chance of winning, Austria Vienna a 58% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw — making Austria Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna?
Our model estimates a 69% probability that both WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 72%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna?
Record (1 meetings): WSG Wattens 0W | Draws 0 | Austria Vienna 1W.
What form are WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.90 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-W-W-W. Austria Vienna (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-W-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates WSG Wattens's attack at 0.90x the league average against Austria Vienna's defence at 1.07x — combine the two and it projects 1.40 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Austria Vienna's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 2.33 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 36/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-2 carries the highest individual probability at 9.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (8.8%), 1-3 (7.1%). Together the top three scorelines make up 25% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Austria Vienna Win
22%
4.62
21%
4.81
58%
1.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.8%
Draw
1 – 3
7.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
3.74
2.33
Austria Vienna xG
4.62
22%
Home win
4.81
21%
Draw
1.74
58%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.45
31%
BTTS No
3.20
Clean Sheet
10%
10.30
25%
4.07
Win to Nil
2%
47.55
14%
7.07
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 1 | 3.3 | 7.8 | 9.1 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 2.4 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-2 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.1%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 1.40 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 2.33 for Austria Vienna, a combined total of 3.74.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 58%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
WSG Wattens's recent record stands at 17W 9D 20L from 46 games, a 1.30 PPG return, with L-L-W-W-W in the last five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Austria Vienna, meanwhile, have gone 17W 17D 12L across 46 games — 1.48 PPG, with L-W-L-D-W in their last five. The sample for Austria Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: WSG Wattens on 1.30 PPG, Austria Vienna on 1.48. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, WSG Wattens have managed 8W 7D 7L from 22 games — 1.41 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Austria Vienna's away record stands at 8W 8D 6L across 22 trips, a 1.45 PPG haul.
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game recently; Austria Vienna are on 1.50 scored and 1.37 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Austria Vienna in 67%.
Last 46 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Blended
Austria Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 17W 9D 20L in their last 46 games (1.30 PPG), while Austria Vienna have gone 17W 17D 12L in their last 46 (1.48 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Austria Vienna away?
Austria Vienna's away record (1.45 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 1.41 PPG; Austria Vienna away: 1.45 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 29 November 2025, roughly 8 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 20 Apr 2024, when Austria Vienna won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Austria Vienna specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
1
WSG Wattens
2
Draws
7
Austria Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 1, Austria Vienna have won 7, and 2 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 29 November 2025, when Austria Vienna 0-0 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna?
Austria Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time.
Austria Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — WSG Wattens 59%, Austria Vienna 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 68% for WSG Wattens and 54% for Austria Vienna. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 50% and 27% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens have failed to score in 32% of games; Austria Vienna in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Austria Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Austria Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 59% of WSG Wattens's games and 59% of Austria Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 68% of WSG Wattens's matches and 54% of Austria Vienna's.
Do WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 73% of their recent matches, Austria Vienna in 68% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at WSG Wattens's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 15, as WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.40 xG and Austria Vienna 2.33 xG, a combined 3.74. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Austria Vienna landed 2.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.90 / defence 1.23 against Austria Vienna attack 1.09 / defence 1.07, drawn from 36/36 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 22% | Draw 21% | Austria Vienna 58%, with Austria Vienna to win its most likely call at 58%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 21% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 89% and missed. Over 3.5 was 51% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 69% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 64% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 72%, Austria Vienna 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (46 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Austria Vienna's trading profile (46 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 1.30 PPG, Austria Vienna 1.48 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.64 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.59 average — tighter than their form line. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.