SCR Altach 0-2 Austria Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Austria Vienna at 51% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 19 sees Austria Vienna travel to CASHPOINT Arena to take on SCR Altach. The game is scheduled for Saturday 12 February 2022, 16:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, SCR Altach stand at 1W 1D 8L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 0.40 PPG. Last five: L L L L L. They are averaging 0.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach at CASHPOINT Arena this season: 1W 2D 6L from 9 home games — 0.56 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game.
Across all Bundesliga games this season, Austria Vienna have recorded 3W 4D 3L from 10 outings — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L D W D L. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.40. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Austria Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, Austria Vienna have posted 2W 4D 3L from 9 away outings — 1.11 PPG. Away from home they average 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 56% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Austria Vienna — 0.90 PPG ahead of the hosts (1.30 vs 0.40). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
In-Play Data
SCR Altach trading profile (18 games, 9 at home): they score before half-time in 89% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 44% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games); they fail to score in 56% of games.
Austria Vienna trading profile (18 games, 9 at away): they score before half-time in 44% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 39% versus Austria Vienna 67%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 44% | Austria Vienna 39%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 0.78 xG and Austria Vienna 1.39 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.628 / defence 1.301 | Austria Vienna attack 0.789 / defence 1.034. League average goals — home 1.198 / away 1.357. SCR Altach's attack strength of 0.628 is below the league average — the 0.78 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 18 SCR Altach games / 18 Austria Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 21% | Draw 28% | Austria Vienna 51%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 4.76 | Draw 3.57 | Austria Vienna 1.96. Austria Vienna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 41% | Total xG 2.17. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.17 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 41% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Austria Vienna are the pick at 51% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Austria Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.17 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 37% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 41% on No. Form rates are neutral: SCR Altach 44% | Austria Vienna 56%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 19 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 12 Feb 2022, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 21% | Draw 28% | Austria Vienna 51% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 41% | xG SCR Altach 0.78 / Austria Vienna 1.39 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.628 / def 1.301 | Austria Vienna attack 0.789 / def 1.034 | league avg home 1.198 / away 1.357 • Poisson stance: Austria Vienna (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.78
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.39
Austria Vienna xG
41%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna kick off?
SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 12 February 2022 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?
SCR Altach 0 - 2 Austria Vienna.
Where is SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna part of?
SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna is a Regular Season - 19 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 21% chance of winning, Austria Vienna a 51% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Austria Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?
Our model estimates a 41% probability that both SCR Altach and Austria Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Austria Vienna?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are SCR Altach and Austria Vienna in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.30 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-L-L-L. Austria Vienna (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-D-W-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from SCR Altach's attack rating (0.63) and Austria Vienna's defence rating (1.03), the model arrives at 0.78 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Austria Vienna's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 1.39 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 18/18 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.3%. Close behind: 1-1 (14.0%), 0-0 (13.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Austria Vienna Win
21%
4.84
28%
3.55
51%
1.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
0 – 0
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.78
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.17
1.39
Austria Vienna xG
4.84
21%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
1.96
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.44
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
25%
4.02
46%
2.18
Win to Nil
5%
19.45
23%
4.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.4 | 15.9 | 11.1 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 12.4 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 0-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Austria Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 0.78 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.39 for Austria Vienna, a combined total of 2.17.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 18 games, going 3W 4D 11L for 0.72 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-L-L-L. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Austria Vienna sit at 1.17 PPG from 18 outings (4W 9D 5L), a run that reads L-D-W-D-L across their last five. The sample for Austria Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Austria Vienna carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.45 PPG clear of SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
SCR Altach's home form reads 1W 2D 6L across 9 games on their own ground, a 0.56 PPG return.
Away from home, Austria Vienna have taken 1.11 points per game from 9 outings (2W 4D 3L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Austria Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 0.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game recently; Austria Vienna are on 1.33 scored and 1.22 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Austria Vienna in 67%.
Last 18 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
Austria Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Austria Vienna in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 3W 4D 11L in their last 18 games (0.72 PPG), while Austria Vienna have gone 4W 9D 5L in their last 18 (1.17 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Austria Vienna away?
Austria Vienna's away record (1.11 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.56 PPG; Austria Vienna away: 1.11 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 21 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 8 Dec 2024, when Austria Vienna won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Austria Vienna specifically: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
SCR Altach
3
Draws
4
Austria Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Austria Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 3, Austria Vienna have won 4, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Austria Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 21 February 2026, when SCR Altach 2-1 Austria Vienna.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and Austria Vienna?
Austria Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 89% of their matches.
Austria Vienna see a goal before the break in 44% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 44%, Austria Vienna 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (SCR Altach) and 33% (Austria Vienna).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 56% of games; Austria Vienna in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Austria Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Austria Vienna?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 44% of SCR Altach's recent matches and 56% of Austria Vienna's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of SCR Altach's recent games and 33% of Austria Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and Austria Vienna tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 89% of their recent matches, Austria Vienna in 44% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Austria Vienna cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over SCR Altach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Austria Vienna beat SCR Altach 0-2 at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 19, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 0.78 xG and Austria Vienna 1.39 xG, a combined 2.17. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.63 / defence 1.30 against Austria Vienna attack 0.79 / defence 1.03, drawn from 18/18 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 21% | Draw 28% | Austria Vienna 51%, with Austria Vienna to win its most likely call at 51%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 44%, Austria Vienna 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (18 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 56% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Austria Vienna's trading profile (18 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Austria Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.17 PPG against 0.72. Form held, and they took the win. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.